Prediction: MS Gov. Primary Tues.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Tate Reeves is a sweaty ginger and gives off Fat Pat vibes.

Jim Hood to pull a Joe Manchin?

[MT Treasurer]

Tate Reeves is a sweaty ginger and gives off Fat Pat vibes.

Jim Hood to pull a Joe Manchin?

I mean, I’m one of like three people on this forum who thinks he’s more likely to win than Beshear. It obviously won’t be easy, but I think people are underrating his chances.

[Del Tachi]

Tate Reeves is a sweaty ginger and gives off Fat Pat vibes.

Jim Hood to pull a Joe Manchin?

I mean, I’m one of like three people on this forum who thinks he’s more likely to win than Beshear. It obviously won’t be easy, but I think people are underrating his chances.

A Reeves-Waller runoff probably means a lot of Waller voters get their feelings hurt and either vote for Hood or stay home.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Tate Reeves is a sweaty ginger and gives off Fat Pat vibes.

Jim Hood to pull a Joe Manchin?

I mean, I’m one of like three people on this forum who thinks he’s more likely to win than Beshear. It obviously won’t be easy, but I think people are underrating his chances.

You, me and IceSpear. Mississippi is a much more favorable state for Hood than KY is for Bevin. But whatever. Guess people didn’t learn from Mary Fallin

[Roll Roons]

Bill Waller dropped out

Source? Not seeing this anywhere.

Didn't actually happen. It's based on the "Bill Walker dropped out" meme.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Also for those using Survey Monkey polls to justify MS Gov being Safe R: the primary polls were way off base in Mississippi

[7,052,770]

The real kick in the balls is Michael Watson winning the R Secretary of State primary and being the presumptive winner in November. He's a lunatic in the mold of Kris Kobach and plans to use his office to catch all the illegal immigrants he claims are registering to vote in Mississippi.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Tate Reeves is a sweaty ginger and gives off Fat Pat vibes.

Jim Hood to pull a Joe Manchin?

How did Hood manage to become Attorney General? And even more important: How did manage to get re-elected so many times?
It's remarkable that the Mississippians think that that department is made for Democrats only; only one single Republican has occupied that post in the history of that state.

[smoltchanov]

The real kick in the balls is Michael Watson winning the R Secretary of State primary and being the presumptive winner in November. He's a lunatic in the mold of Kris Kobach and plans to use his office to catch all the illegal immigrants he claims are registering to vote in Mississippi.

Well, it's Mississippi.. Watson is well-known as state Senator and one of the chief McDaniel supporters in his nearly successfull race against Cochran in 2014.

[smoltchanov]

Tate Reeves is a sweaty ginger and gives off Fat Pat vibes.

Jim Hood to pull a Joe Manchin?

How did Hood manage to become Attorney General? And even more important: How did manage to get re-elected so many times?
It's remarkable that the Mississippians think that that department is made for Democrats only; only one single Republican has occupied that post in the history of that state.

In 2003 Mississippi Democratic statewide official wasn't such rarity as now.

Couple of interesting results for state Legislature: the most liberal (by far) white state Senator Deborah Dawkins (SD-48) lost her Democratic primary. If her seat goes Republican in November (and it can) together with SD-05 and SD-37 (both - likely) and SD-08 (possible) - only 2 white Democratic state Senators will remain in Legislature. On the other hand - one of the leaders of conservative attempt to wrestle Speakership from more moderate Democrats in 2007-2008, then a very conservative Democrat (later - Republican) Jeffrey Smith was defeated as well (in Republican primary).

[gespb19]

I voted this morning.

I think Reeves will avoid a runoff but it’ll be close.  Something like 53-38-9.  Reeves will run strong in South MS, Rankin Co and Tupelo/NE.  Waller will do better in Hinds/Madison, the Delta and College Counties.  AG primary seems very unpredictable too.  I’ll predict wins for McRae, Watson as well (sadly).  

Hood could fall into a runoff but his name recognition + high Democratic balloting by North MS whites should get him >55%.

Why did you expect Waller to do well in Hinds/Madison but not Rankin?

Reeves is from Rankin, and it is generally considered the most “conservative” of the Metro Jackson counties.  

Waller winning it is the story of the night (thus far).  

I prefer the term “new money.”

[gespb19]

Deborah Dawkins got primaried. As did Jeff Smith.

Sounds like Dawkins opponent was AA and she didn’t campaign much.

[Del Tachi]

Reeves creeping up (now up to 48.7 percent) now that pretty much all of South MS is in, other considerable counties still not fully-reported are Lee, Lauderdale and Oktibbeha.  I expect OK to flip to Waller.

[gespb19]

Not a lot of precinct results out but Waller carried NE JXN with like 80% of the vote.

In Forrest, Waller did well in Hattiesburg but did poorly in Petal + rural areas.

[smoltchanov]

It seems Waller played a role of "moderate suburban Republican" in this race...

P.S. Run-off is very likely on Republican side for Governor. Reeves will win it, probably (most of the Foster vote will go to him, and he needs very little), but, given his enormous money advantage, the very fact of his inability to win outright will be a hit...

[Landslide Lyndon]

The real kick in the balls is Michael Watson winning the R Secretary of State primary and being the presumptive winner in November. He's a lunatic in the mold of Kris Kobach and plans to use his office to catch all the illegal immigrants he claims are registering to vote in Mississippi.

What kind of person leaves his country to immigrate to Mississippi?

(no offense Harry)

[GeorgiaModerate]

The real kick in the balls is Michael Watson winning the R Secretary of State primary and being the presumptive winner in November. He's a lunatic in the mold of Kris Kobach and plans to use his office to catch all the illegal immigrants he claims are registering to vote in Mississippi.

What kind of person leaves his country to immigrate to Mississippi?

(no offense Harry)

And then registers to vote there?

[Meatball Ron]

Bill Waller dropped out

Source? Not seeing this anywhere.

Didn't actually happen. It's based on the "Bill Walker dropped out" meme.

Dumb

[Frenchrepublican]

Also for those using Survey Monkey polls to justify MS Gov being Safe R: the primary polls were way off base in Mississippi

What the hell are you talking about ? Surveymonkey didn’t poll the primary

[Annatar]

Most of the votes in so we can make some comments on turnout vs 2015.

For democrats, turnout was 300,000 in 2015, will be 280,000 in 2019, so similar level overall.
For Republicans, turnout was 280,000 in 2015, will be around 370,000 in 2019.

Combined partisan turnout will be up to 650,000 it seems this year vs 580,000 in 2015, hardly surprising as people are more engaged in politics in 2019 then they were in 2015.

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1159060288924262405

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Most of the votes in so we can make some comments on turnout vs 2015.

For democrats, turnout was 300,000 in 2015, will be 280,000 in 2019, so similar level overall.
For Republicans, turnout was 280,000 in 2015, will be around 370,000 in 2019.

Combined partisan turnout will be up to 650,000 it seems this year vs 580,000 in 2015, hardly surprising as people are more engaged in politics in 2019 then they were in 2015.

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1159060288924262405

Republicans also had major primaries this year unlike in 2015. That probably contributes to most of it

[Annatar]

Most of the votes in so we can make some comments on turnout vs 2015.

For democrats, turnout was 300,000 in 2015, will be 280,000 in 2019, so similar level overall.
For Republicans, turnout was 280,000 in 2015, will be around 370,000 in 2019.

Combined partisan turnout will be up to 650,000 it seems this year vs 580,000 in 2015, hardly surprising as people are more engaged in politics in 2019 then they were in 2015.

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1159060288924262405

Republicans also had major primaries this year unlike in 2015. That probably contributes to most of it

I agree, there were more things to vote for, for Republican voters.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Reeves will win the runoff and this race will be Likely R.

[smoltchanov]

I would say Lean R. Lot of Republicans seem to be not especially fond of Reeves...

[MT Treasurer]

My guess: Reeves will win the runoff by a very underwhelming margin and the GE will be a Tossup.