TX-23 Hurd Retiring

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Would sure be great to get more Texas-23 discussion in here while the Georgia discussion moves to the Georgia thread

[libertpaulian]

Hurd is probably sick of the racism in the Trump GOP.  I wouldn't be surprised if Tim Scott announces his retirement in 2022.

[Virginiá]

Please move discussions about Georgia politics to another thread

[President Johnson]

Hurd is probably sick of the racism in the Trump GOP.  I wouldn't be surprised if Tim Scott announces his retirement in 2022.

Yeah. Funny, because Scott was considered a hard-right Tea Partier. How things change for the worse, it's sad. During the Dubya era, some thought Jeff Flake was too right-wing. And Ronnie would be a moderate today, Tricky Dick almost a Democrat.

Hurd probably would have gotten primaried if he ran and lose if the God Emperor endorsed his opponent. As a Democratic supporter, I should be happy about a likely pickup, but it's no good if all somewhat reasonable Republicans disappear.

[Epaminondas]

As a Democratic supporter, I should be happy about a likely pickup, but it's no good if all somewhat reasonable Republicans disappear.

Yeah. Cantor, Rohrabacher, Walker or Kobach losing were much more enjoyable.

Hurd genuinely seems like an old-style socially liberal Republican in the vein of the New England governors.

[The Mikado]

Hurd genuinely seems like an old-style socially liberal Republican in the vein of the New England governors.

More that Hurd, a CIA vet whose primary interest in politics is intelligence and national security concerns, really dislikes the changes to American foreign policy from the Trump era, and, more to the point, actually cares about them. The immigrants in cages thing is obviously one factor, but I think Trump's open disdain for the CIA and the intelligence services in general is another big thing that makes him unsatisfied with the current GOP.

[beesley]

Hurd was a much nicer guy than most Congressman too.

[Nutmeg]

Sad, I liked him. Maybe he can get an appointment in a Biden Administration.

Lean R - > Lean D for 2020. Please run again Gina Ortiz-Jones!

She's running.

[NOVA Green]

Sad, I liked him. Maybe he can get an appointment in a Biden Administration.

Lean R - > Lean D for 2020. Please run again Gina Ortiz-Jones!

She's running.

Well considering how well she was able to do in the San Antonio Republican Upper-Income suburbs of the district (Bexar County overall went from +14k R in '16 to +4.6k R in '18), and that DEM votes in El Paso County (+ 13.6k D in '16 and + 10.7k D in '18), I would say she has a good shot of winning in a Presidential Election Year, especially with Hurd opting out for '20.

Bexar County will likely be about 50% of the CD-23 County Vote Share in 2020, so unless 2018 was some sort of weird fluke among these types of Anglo 'Pub Upper-Income voters in the district, where the biggest turnout drops where in working-class Latino precincts that tend to be the most Democratic precincts, looks like the PUB might be fighting against the wind.....

[libertpaulian]

Hurd is probably sick of the racism in the Trump GOP.  I wouldn't be surprised if Tim Scott announces his retirement in 2022.

And right on cue:

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/456876-gop-sen-tim-scott-says-if-he-runs-in-2022-it-will-be-his-last-race

Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) said Thursday that a potential reelection campaign in 2022 would be his final Senate bid.

“I plan to run for reelection, but that will be my last one if I run,” Scott told The Post and Courier.

Scott also said he would not run for governor.

He's framing a 2022 run in hypothetical terms instead of definite ones.  Watch him retire in 2022 if Trump is re-elected.

[Strudelcutie4427]

Hurd is probably sick of the racism in the Trump GOP.  I wouldn't be surprised if Tim Scott announces his retirement in 2022.

And right on cue:

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/456876-gop-sen-tim-scott-says-if-he-runs-in-2022-it-will-be-his-last-race

Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) said Thursday that a potential reelection campaign in 2022 would be his final Senate bid.

“I plan to run for reelection, but that will be my last one if I run,” Scott told The Post and Courier.

Scott also said he would not run for governor.

He's framing a 2022 run in hypothetical terms instead of definite ones.  Watch him retire in 2022 if Trump is re-elected.

Retiring in 2028 after 18 years in the soul sucking swamp that is DC. Can you blame him? I’d want out of there too. DC is actually a horribly boring city

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/GinaOrtizJones/status/1161719699010392064

Gallego endorses GOJ, ending speculation of a comeback on his part.

[beesley]

https://twitter.com/GinaOrtizJones/status/1161719699010392064

Gallego endorses GOJ, ending speculation of a comeback on his part.

Gallego I seem to recall was a blue dog. Is GOJ one too?

[Gracile]

Gina Ortiz-Jones has now raised over $1M since starting her campaign:

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1163891624218386434

[IceSpear]

I wonder how much money the GOP will light on fire here.

[Saint Milei]

dude sucks anyways

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/CesarJBlanco/status/1173625982470762496

The Democrat who represents a loosely contiguous house seat will not go for GOJ in the primary, and instead challenge the GOP dude who won a low turnout special.

[Gracile]

^This means GOJ pretty much has the race (on the D side) to herself, and seems well-positioned to win against a lesser known Republican opponent.

[Zaybay]

Blanco endorsed her a while back, so this really isnt surprising.

[Badger]

https://twitter.com/CesarJBlanco/status/1173625982470762496

The Democrat who represents a loosely contiguous house seat will not go for GOJ in the primary, and instead challenge the GOP dude who won a low turnout special.

If I remember this is a heavily Democratic District where are the Republican winning was considered quite a fluke due to abysmal turn out. Hopefully Blanco flips this!

[The Mikado]

If I remember this is a heavily Democratic District where are the Republican winning was considered quite a fluke due to abysmal turn out. Hopefully Blanco flips this!

This is exactly right. An extremely low turnout special election in an area where the Democratic vote is all basically "unlikely voters." He'll win in a general election in a Presidential year.

It's also basically the only pickup opportunity Dems have in the state Senate this year. Would bring State Senate from 19 R 12 D to 18 R 13 D.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/CesarJBlanco/status/1173625982470762496

The Democrat who represents a loosely contiguous house seat will not go for GOJ in the primary, and instead challenge the GOP dude who won a low turnout special.

If I remember this is a heavily Democratic District where are the Republican winning was considered quite a fluke due to abysmal turn out. Hopefully Blanco flips this!

Its a pretty Democratic district but not Titanium D. I think about Clinton +9?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://twitter.com/CesarJBlanco/status/1173625982470762496

The Democrat who represents a loosely contiguous house seat will not go for GOJ in the primary, and instead challenge the GOP dude who won a low turnout special.

If I remember this is a heavily Democratic District where are the Republican winning was considered quite a fluke due to abysmal turn out. Hopefully Blanco flips this!

Its a pretty Democratic district but not Titanium D. I think about Clinton +9?

Yeah, Likely D in 2020 dude, we have a full bench of A tier candidates here.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

nice to see the stars are aligning for GOJ.

[Mr. Smith]

He's gonna be speaking at my University, I'm considering going.