Beshear or Hood, who’s more likely to win in November?
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  Beshear or Hood, who’s more likely to win in November?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: More likely to win?
#1
Andy Beshear (D-KY)		  
#2
Jim Hood (D-MS)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 144

Author Topic: Beshear or Hood, who’s more likely to win in November?  (Read 3550 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: July 25, 2019, 07:01:51 PM »
In spite of current polling and the consensus among pundits and most posters here, I’d still rather be Hood than Beshear. Both races are definitely competitive, though.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2019, 08:21:52 PM »
Beshear. I'd rather be down by 6 like him than down by 10 like Hood seems to be as of late.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2019, 09:04:29 PM »
Hood, because he at least has a chance.
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #3 on: July 25, 2019, 09:11:29 PM »
Beshear has a much better chance, although people here seem to resist that idea.

KY is far more unionized than MS, which makes it more elastic.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #4 on: July 25, 2019, 09:19:22 PM »
« Edited: July 25, 2019, 09:30:30 PM by TrendsareReal »
Quote from: IceSpear on July 25, 2019, 09:04:29 PM
Hood, because he at least has a chance.

Yeah, Hood has a solid floor of about 42% thanks to Mississippi’s black vote. Beshear has no such thing and he needs like 30% of Trump supporters. That is...not going to happen

I can’t believe people are taking both Kentucky polls (which always overestimate Democrats) and SurveyMonkey polls seriously. Does anyone learn their lesson?
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #5 on: July 25, 2019, 09:37:55 PM »
While I'd say Hood at face-value, there is the Electoral College to consider in MS that will almost certainly vote for Reeves.

So Beshear it is, since he only needs a plurality.
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We Live in Black and White
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« Reply #6 on: July 25, 2019, 10:55:39 PM »
Beshear, just to piss IceSpear off.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #7 on: July 25, 2019, 11:14:40 PM »
Obviously Beshear.
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #8 on: July 25, 2019, 11:15:12 PM »
Doesn’t Hood have to win the majority of state House districts or something?

I choose Beshear for that reason.
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One Term Floridian
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« Reply #9 on: July 25, 2019, 11:21:57 PM »
It's obviously Beshear, y'all. He has the benefit of running against the least popular Governor in the country. And before anyone brings up Hood's record as a successful statewide Dem, there's no way Hood can muster up his old double-digit win coalitions in a gubernatorial election in this climate. So his only path is a narrow win that isn't so narrow that he loses in a state electoral college system that's exclusive to Mississippi.

KY - Tilt R
MS - Likely R
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #10 on: July 25, 2019, 11:29:11 PM »
Beshear only because of MS electoral college. Neither will win
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #11 on: July 26, 2019, 12:18:41 AM »
Quote from: swamiG on July 25, 2019, 11:21:57 PM
It's obviously Beshear, y'all. He has the benefit of running against the least popular Governor in the country. And before anyone brings up Hood's record as a successful statewide Dem, there's no way Hood can muster up his old double-digit win coalitions in a gubernatorial election in this climate. So his only path is a narrow win that isn't so narrow that he loses in a state electoral college system that's exclusive to Mississippi.

KY - Tilt R
MS - Likely R

As much as want Hood to win - i MUST agree...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: July 26, 2019, 12:38:55 AM »
Hood has to get 50% or state legislators decides the final outcome of the election
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: July 26, 2019, 12:40:04 AM »
Quote from: swamiG on July 25, 2019, 11:21:57 PM
It's obviously Beshear, y'all. He has the benefit of running against the least popular Governor in the country. And before anyone brings up Hood's record as a successful statewide Dem, there's no way Hood can muster up his old double-digit win coalitions in a gubernatorial election in this climate. So his only path is a narrow win that isn't so narrow that he loses in a state electoral college system that's exclusive to Mississippi.

KY - Tilt R
MS - Likely R

Gonzalez and Cook has KY as tossup
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andjey
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« Reply #14 on: July 26, 2019, 05:02:14 AM »
Andy Beshear
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #15 on: July 26, 2019, 10:48:53 AM »
I think they both lose :/
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lfromnj
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« Reply #16 on: July 26, 2019, 11:18:19 AM »
Quote from: L.D. Smith on July 25, 2019, 09:37:55 PM
While I'd say Hood at face-value, there is the Electoral College to consider in MS that will almost certainly vote for Reeves.

So Beshear it is, since he only needs a plurality.

Electoral college is only if Hood doesn't get a majority.
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S019
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« Reply #17 on: July 26, 2019, 12:16:54 PM »
Beshear
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: July 26, 2019, 03:56:10 PM »
MS House will install Reeves as Governor, there isnt no statewide office that Dems can win, in MS, anyways
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #19 on: July 28, 2019, 10:50:04 AM »
Beshear

KY : Lean R
MS : Likely R

LA : tilt D
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #20 on: July 28, 2019, 01:01:44 PM »
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on July 25, 2019, 11:29:11 PM
Beshear only because of MS electoral college. Neither will win

Hmmm... anyone else think SCOTUS will strike down that law if it decides the election? 
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #21 on: July 28, 2019, 06:14:57 PM »
Surprised by how lopsided this poll is. Will be a fun bump in November if Hood does better than Beshear. Tongue
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #22 on: July 29, 2019, 08:14:04 PM »
Quote from: Lfromnj stands with Sanchez. on July 26, 2019, 11:18:19 AM
Quote from: L.D. Smith on July 25, 2019, 09:37:55 PM
While I'd say Hood at face-value, there is the Electoral College to consider in MS that will almost certainly vote for Reeves.

So Beshear it is, since he only needs a plurality.

Electoral college is only if Hood doesn't get a majority.

He won't. The votes aren't there for Hood to hit 50%+
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: July 29, 2019, 08:16:21 PM »
Beshear will win due to the low approvals of Leader McConnell.  Bevin is no Mitch and his approvals are low
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #24 on: July 30, 2019, 08:12:10 AM »
Quote from: L.D. Smith on July 29, 2019, 08:14:04 PM
Quote from: Lfromnj stands with Sanchez. on July 26, 2019, 11:18:19 AM
Quote from: L.D. Smith on July 25, 2019, 09:37:55 PM
While I'd say Hood at face-value, there is the Electoral College to consider in MS that will almost certainly vote for Reeves.

So Beshear it is, since he only needs a plurality.

Electoral college is only if Hood doesn't get a majority.

He won't. The votes aren't there for Hood to hit 50%+



It’s much easier to envision a map for a Democrat to win Mississippi than in kentucky
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