The 150th Edition of College Football - Discussion and Pick 'Em Thread
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  The 150th Edition of College Football - Discussion and Pick 'Em Thread
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Author Topic: The 150th Edition of College Football - Discussion and Pick 'Em Thread  (Read 26589 times)
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #250 on: September 20, 2019, 06:46:19 PM »
« edited: September 20, 2019, 07:07:53 PM by Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ »

Wow. American Conference football between two teams that may not see a bowl this year* is such a treat on a Thursday night. Who would've guessed?

*Yes, Tulane will probably beat one or both of the service academies to get a bowl bid, but I am holding out hope.

I think the AAC is going to be down this year compared to the last few.  UCF for one isn't as good as their ranking would indicate (although I still believe they'll beat Pitt).  

Hard for me to judge. We're a page removed from saying they clearly are better than the non Clemson-ACC. Houston is down, but SMU is prepped for their best season in years, ditto Tulane. Memphis and Temple remain teams that could get ranked in a few weeks (though Memphis slightly down), and I thought consensus was that this is UCF's best team yet. Suspect Navy is not far from being back too.

The conference just has three teams that are historically awful, one who will be kicked out at season end.

e: Just got around to looking at the data. Conference average S&P+ went from -3 last year (full season) to -1.7 this week.

S&P+       2018     2019   Difference
UCF               16.5   16.3   -0.2
Memphis       9.2   12.2   +3.0
Cincinnati      5.4   2.1   -3.3
Temple          2.9   6.6   +3.7
Houston        2.3   0.2   -2.1
USF              -1.2   -8.3   -7.1
Tulane           -3.5   -0.8   +2.7
SMU             -5.4   1.2   +6.6
Navy            -10.2   -9.9   +0.3
Tulsa              -11.2   -4.4   +6.8
East Carolina     -14.9   -13.8   +1.1
Connecticut      -26.4   -21.8   +4.6



My impression is that I expect Navy to make a similar gain to Tulsa by year-end. Better than USF at least! And I think SMU and Temple could stand to rise about 2-3 points. UConn still seems too much improved though!
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #251 on: September 20, 2019, 08:00:06 PM »

 Friday games ... guess you amateurs can even things up this week. Tongue

Week 4 FBS/FCS matchups:

Saturday, September 21st

#11 Michigan @ #13 Wisconsin Noon EDT FOX

#23 California @ Ole Miss Noon EDT ESPNU

Michigan State @ Northwestern Noon EDT ABC

#8 Auburn @ #17 Texas A&M 3:30 PM EDT CBS

#15 UCF @ Pitt 3:30 PM EDT ABC/ESPN2

#22 Washington @ BYU 3:30 PM EDT ABC/ESPN2

SMU @ #25 TCU 3:30 PM EDT FS1

Louisville @ Florida State 3:30 PM EDT ESPN

Appalachian State @ North Carolina 3:30 PM EDT ACCNX

Central Michigan @ Miami (FL) 4 PM EDT ACCN

Kentucky @ Mississippi State 4 PM EDT SECN

South Carolina @ Missouri 4 PM EDT SECN

West Virginia @ Kansas 4:30 PM EDT ESPN+

#16 Oregon @ Stanford 7 PM EDT ESPN

Oklahoma State @ #12 Texas 7:30 PM EDT ABC

UTSA @ North Texas 7:30 PM EDT

#7 Notre Dame @ #3 Georgia 8 PM EDT CBS ... classic exposing Notre Dame game.

Nebraska @ Illinois 8 PM EDT ... Nebraska by a in' billion.

Colorado @ #24 Arizona State 10 PM EDT

UCLA @ #19 Washington State 10:30 PM EDT ESPN

Utah State @ San Diego State 10:30 PM EDT CBSSN

FCS:

Villanova @ Towson 6 PM EDT

Northern Arizona @ Illinois State 7:30 PM EDT

I'll be busy watching one of my other teams (Cubs) play itself into irrelevance tomorrow, so I won't see the midday action.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #252 on: September 20, 2019, 11:04:59 PM »

looks like the pac 12 is gonna be out of the playoff again....
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Donerail
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« Reply #253 on: September 20, 2019, 11:18:28 PM »

looks like the pac 12 is gonna be out of the playoff again....
12-0 Arizona State when
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #254 on: September 20, 2019, 11:20:13 PM »

looks like the pac 12 is gonna be out of the playoff again....

Oregon remains one of the ten most likely participants. They unfortunately have a brutal three game stretch where they are projected to lose one, but if any of the North trio sweeps the other two and sweeps USC, they are very much in the picture. Oregon would especially be strong enough to get in over 1-loss Ohio State or maybe even Oklahoma.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #255 on: September 21, 2019, 12:06:11 AM »

looks like the pac 12 is gonna be out of the playoff again....

Oregon remains one of the ten most likely participants. They unfortunately have a brutal three game stretch where they are projected to lose one, but if any of the North trio sweeps the other two and sweeps USC, they are very much in the picture. Oregon would especially be strong enough to get in over 1-loss Ohio State or maybe even Oklahoma.
It's the pac 12 lol, they love to cannibalize
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Saint Milei
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« Reply #256 on: September 21, 2019, 03:35:26 AM »

i didnt know there was a thread for this
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #257 on: September 21, 2019, 07:31:12 AM »

Last night's results:

2-0: GeorgiaModerate, Green Line

1-1: 1184AZ, Dereich, dfw, ExtremeRepublican, Illiniwek, JGibson, sjoyce, Sprouts, Sunrise

0-2: peenie_weenie, RINO Tom (he didn't pick the Friday games)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #258 on: September 21, 2019, 07:34:52 AM »


If you want to join the weekly pick'em game: dfw posts a list of 25 games (including 2 FCS games) at the beginning of the week.  You can submit picks by posting in this thread up to 5 minutes before the start of a game.  This week's picks are listed here.
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💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)
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« Reply #259 on: September 21, 2019, 12:01:51 PM »

Last night's results:

2-0: GeorgiaModerate, Green Line

1-1: 1184AZ, Dereich, dfw, ExtremeRepublican, Illiniwek, JGibson, sjoyce, Sprouts, Sunrise

0-2: peenie_weenie, RINO Tom (he didn't pick the Friday games)

why you gotta be like that man
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #260 on: September 21, 2019, 12:10:26 PM »

Last night's results:

2-0: GeorgiaModerate, Green Line

1-1: 1184AZ, Dereich, dfw, ExtremeRepublican, Illiniwek, JGibson, sjoyce, Sprouts, Sunrise

0-2: peenie_weenie, RINO Tom (he didn't pick the Friday games)

why you gotta be like that man

Take it up with USC and Boise State. Smiley
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #261 on: September 21, 2019, 12:22:47 PM »

LSU has a wide receiver named Racey McMath, look kids, you can be an athlete and a scholar.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #262 on: September 21, 2019, 12:51:51 PM »

Shocker, Michigan is a pretender.  You’re getting a preview of Notre Dame’s fate tonight.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #263 on: September 21, 2019, 12:56:24 PM »

Shocker, Michigan is a pretender.  You’re getting a preview of Notre Dame’s fate tonight.

What's surprising is that Wisconsin is dominating even with Taylor out of the game.
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💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)
peenie_weenie
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« Reply #264 on: September 21, 2019, 12:58:04 PM »

Last night's results:

2-0: GeorgiaModerate, Green Line

1-1: 1184AZ, Dereich, dfw, ExtremeRepublican, Illiniwek, JGibson, sjoyce, Sprouts, Sunrise

0-2: peenie_weenie, RINO Tom (he didn't pick the Friday games)

why you gotta be like that man

Take it up with USC and Boise State. Smiley

at least I can take solace in the fact that I correctly predicted my favorite team would get annihilated today
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Green Line
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« Reply #265 on: September 21, 2019, 01:46:31 PM »

Dirty, dirty Wisconsin!  I thought Michigan wasn't quite as bad as they've played this year, and Wisconsin wasn't as good as they've looked.  Boy, I was wrong.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #266 on: September 21, 2019, 02:16:04 PM »

It's weird watching an LSU team that can throw the ball at will, but has numerous defensive breakdowns.  It's like the Twilight Zone.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #267 on: September 21, 2019, 02:18:04 PM »

Ole Miss just lost in a way only Ole Miss can lol
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #268 on: September 21, 2019, 02:18:51 PM »

Ole Miss just lost in a way only Ole Miss can lol

What happened?  I'm watching another game.
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Dereich
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« Reply #269 on: September 21, 2019, 02:20:11 PM »

It's weird watching an LSU team that can throw the ball at will, but has numerous defensive breakdowns.  It's like the Twilight Zone.

Let's hope this the Twilight Zone is complete and we get to watch LSU inexplicably shutting out Bama in Tuscaloosa.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #270 on: September 21, 2019, 02:20:23 PM »

Ole Miss just lost in a way only Ole Miss can lol

What happened?  I'm watching another game.
They got down to 1st and goal down 28-20 with 1 minute left, then they kept trying to run the ball (they didn't have any timeouts lol), they might have gotten in on 3rd and goal but officials said no td (didn't review though), Ole Miss couldn't stop the clock though, they tried to run it in on 4th and goal and were stopped, clock then ran out, lol
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Green Line
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« Reply #271 on: September 21, 2019, 02:21:40 PM »

That was a very dumb ending to the Ole Miss game.  Smh
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #272 on: September 21, 2019, 02:25:49 PM »

Well, Michigan is making this at least a little bit interesting.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #273 on: September 21, 2019, 02:28:29 PM »

Well, Michigan is making this at least a little bit interesting.

...but not for long.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #274 on: September 21, 2019, 04:54:23 PM »

Not looking good folks, warned it could be an upset Sad
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