GA-SEN 2020 Class III Megathread: She Who Loeffs Last

[MillennialModerate]

What are the odds that Dems pick up both seats?

0% - Georgia is fools gold barring a TSNUAMI

Odds are better Harrison wins South Carolina

[wbrocks67]

What are the odds that Dems pick up both seats?

0% - Georgia is fools gold barring a TSNUAMI

Odds are better Harrison wins South Carolina

Sure jan

[Canis]

What are the odds that Dems pick up both seats?

0% - Georgia is fools gold barring a TSNUAMI

Odds are better Harrison wins South Carolina

Sure jan

I'd say like 5% Id say its like a 35% chance Dems win at least one of those seats the one with the highest percent chance to happen is the regular seat tho because if Perdue goes down its likely Biden Carries the state and  Republicans will really be out in force in the special but if say the senate majority was on the line id say turnout between the 2 sides in the run off would be even Im really glad Warnock is surging it looks like a Warnock vs Loeffler Runoff is the most likely out come but Collins is very close behind Loeffler. I hope it is a Warnock vs Loeffler runoff shes a much weaker opponent than Collins. Thankfully a Loeffler vs Collins runoff is looking almost impossible at this point with the Lieberman and Tarver collapse

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://twitter.com/KLoeffler/status/1312018923420778496

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/KLoeffler/status/1312018923420778496

This is why shes 10% down in the runoff

[QAnonKelly]

https://twitter.com/KLoeffler/status/1312018923420778496

I didn't realize China was a person.

[Lognog]

https://twitter.com/KLoeffler/status/1312018923420778496

I didn't realize China was a person.

Is that what  Don Blankenship meant when he called Mitch McConnell a "chinaperson"

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

American politics in 2020, folks:
https://mobile.twitter.com/KLoeffler/status/1313201217309417478

[😥]

American politics in 2020, folks:
https://mobile.twitter.com/KLoeffler/status/1313201217309417478

What is it, in the hell, are we sure that she is a U.S. Senator?

[Astatine]

American politics in 2020, folks:
https://mobile.twitter.com/KLoeffler/status/1313201217309417478

What is it, in the hell, are we sure that she is a U.S. Senator?

Remember when Jim Inhofe throwing a snowball in the chamber was the most obscure thing a sitting Senator was doing?

[😥]

American politics in 2020, folks:
https://mobile.twitter.com/KLoeffler/status/1313201217309417478

What is it, in the hell, are we sure that she is a U.S. Senator?

Remember when Jim Inhofe throwing a snowball in the chamber was the most obscure thing a sitting Senator was doing?

Oh, it was good times

[QAnonKelly]

American politics in 2020, folks:
https://mobile.twitter.com/KLoeffler/status/1313201217309417478

Like Daddy Kemp, her whole political schtick is “senpai notice me”.

[7,052,770]

Serious question, is Loeffler throwing this on purpose? Does she honestly think she's going to beat Warnock in January?

What does she think the political environment of 2 months of Lame Duck Trump is going to be like?

[Ferguson97]

Serious question, is Loeffler throwing this on purpose? Does she honestly think she's going to beat Warnock in January?

What does she think the political environment of 2 months of Lame Duck Trump is going to be like?

Democrats usually have lower turnout for runoffs, no?

[GALeftist]

Serious question, is Loeffler throwing this on purpose? Does she honestly think she's going to beat Warnock in January?

What does she think the political environment of 2 months of Lame Duck Trump is going to be like?

Democrats usually have lower turnout for runoffs, no?

In Georgia, it seems that that impact is actually not as pronounced. Dems came pretty close in runoffs in 2018 despite deflated turnout.

[Heebie Jeebie]

Serious question, is Loeffler throwing this on purpose? Does she honestly think she's going to beat Warnock in January?

What does she think the political environment of 2 months of Lame Duck Trump is going to be like?

Democrats usually have lower turnout for runoffs, no?

In Georgia, it seems that that impact is actually not as pronounced. Dems came pretty close in runoffs in 2018 despite deflated turnout.

And I think that's a trend we'll see carry over to other states.  With the Democratic base becoming more highly educated and affluent (thanks, suburban women!), I wouldn't be surprised if the presidential-year/mid-term boom-and-bust cycle Democrats have suffered from is more muted than it was in the previous generation.  Republicans have picked up a lot of the uneducated white male vote (not dependable voters) in exchange for losing a lot of educated female vote (very dependable voters).  It may not be a sea change, but it has to have some effect.

[Horus]

Seems like a bunch of Warnock signs popped up overnight in Decatur

[7,052,770]

Serious question, is Loeffler throwing this on purpose? Does she honestly think she's going to beat Warnock in January?

What does she think the political environment of 2 months of Lame Duck Trump is going to be like?

Democrats usually have lower turnout for runoffs, no?

Maybe, but suburban Georgians don't want to be represented by someone who claims to be the most conservative and most Trumpy Senator. Warnock's path to victory doesn't solely rely on a huge black turnout.

[Calthrina950]

Serious question, is Loeffler throwing this on purpose? Does she honestly think she's going to beat Warnock in January?

What does she think the political environment of 2 months of Lame Duck Trump is going to be like?

Democrats usually have lower turnout for runoffs, no?

Maybe, but suburban Georgians don't want to be represented by someone who claims to be the most conservative and most Trumpy Senator. Warnock's path to victory doesn't solely rely on a huge black turnout.

Georgia's shift to the left has been due to a combination of these factors: high black turnout paired with the Democratic trend among college-educated suburbanites. Stacey Abrams made massive gains in the Atlanta Metropolitan Area, and Biden, Warnock, and Ossoff will need to build on those gains to win the state. The polls indicate that they are doing so.

[7,052,770]

Serious question, is Loeffler throwing this on purpose? Does she honestly think she's going to beat Warnock in January?

What does she think the political environment of 2 months of Lame Duck Trump is going to be like?

Democrats usually have lower turnout for runoffs, no?

Maybe, but suburban Georgians don't want to be represented by someone who claims to be the most conservative and most Trumpy Senator. Warnock's path to victory doesn't solely rely on a huge black turnout.

Georgia's shift to the left has been due to a combination of these factors: high black turnout paired with the Democratic trend among college-educated suburbanites. Stacey Abrams made massive gains in the Atlanta Metropolitan Area, and Biden, Warnock, and Ossoff will need to build on those gains to win the state. The polls indicate that they are doing so.

Yep. Loeffler's not playing to win in modern Georgia.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Serious question, is Loeffler throwing this on purpose? Does she honestly think she's going to beat Warnock in January?

What does she think the political environment of 2 months of Lame Duck Trump is going to be like?

Democrats usually have lower turnout for runoffs, no?

In the South overall, yes, Democrats have terrible turnout in off cycles in general (hence why the South had low turnout in 2018, and didn't swing as heavily towards the Democrats as other parts of the country where people vote religiously). If the race got lots of national attention, turnout could be ok though, but that would likely only happen if this were to decide the balance of power and it isn't an R v R runoff (which it prolly won't be at this point)

[MT Treasurer]

The way I see it Biden wins the state by 1-2% or so and both GA-R and GA-S go to a runoff (with Ossoff getting very close to 50%+1 in November but no cigar). If Republicans pull off an upset in one of NC/ME/MI and hold the other competitive races (big if), Senate control will then come down to the January runoff elections in Georgia, and it won’t be pretty.

[freepcrusher]

Loeffler is acting kind of erratically. I assumed she would be a generic R backbencher not unlike Isakson. She seems to be kind of overcompensating for some of her supposed weaknesses (being from IL, not being seen as conservative enough) and it just comes across as strange. Kind of the "how do you do fellow sh-tlords" type thing.

[Skill and Chance]

The way I see it Biden wins the state by 1-2% or so and both GA-R and GA-S go to a runoff (with Ossoff getting very close to 50%+1 in November but no cigar). If Republicans pull off an upset in one of NC/ME/MI and hold the other competitive races (big if), Senate control will then come down to the January runoff elections in Georgia, and it won’t be pretty.

I just can't see Dems winning a runoff in Georgia if Biden has already won.  There's a scenario in there where Trump squeaks by and Republicans lose the senate due to a double runoff.

[Horus]

The way I see it Biden wins the state by 1-2% or so and both GA-R and GA-S go to a runoff (with Ossoff getting very close to 50%+1 in November but no cigar). If Republicans pull off an upset in one of NC/ME/MI and hold the other competitive races (big if), Senate control will then come down to the January runoff elections in Georgia, and it won’t be pretty.

I just can't see Dems winning a runoff in Georgia if Biden has already won.  There's a scenario in there where Trump squeaks by and Republicans lose the senate due to a double runoff.

Our best chance at the runoff is ironically if Trump wins in November. Democrats would be infuriated and marginal Republicans wouldn't show.

Loeffler is acting kind of erratically. I assumed she would be a generic R backbencher not unlike Isakson. She seems to be kind of overcompensating for some of her supposed weaknesses (being from IL, not being seen as conservative enough) and it just comes across as strange. Kind of the "how do you do fellow sh-tlords" type thing.

She's a pathetic empty suit but she's so rich and shameless she'll probably get the second spot. I'm sure the Warnock campaign doesn't mind assisting either, as terrible as Collins is he's genuine in his terribleness and from the state.