KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in

[Continential]

The real question is if KentuckyWildman will volunteer for McGrath.

[Continential]

Had Jim Gray won the primary, he would have won in KY-06.

[Continential]

Also, I'd support Matt Jones and not Rocky Adkins in the primary.

[Continential]

Hours after the El Paso shooting, Massacre Mitch tweets photo with McGrath's name on a tombstone:

https://twitter.com/Team_Mitch/status/1157782112914890758?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7C...
Alas, karma always hits ya:

https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1158106381372801030

Where's Bruce Lunsford's grave? I guess Mitch only enjoys beating women...

And Steve Beshear's grave.

[Continential]

https://twitter.com/courierjournal/status/1164630332232077312

If Atkins had won the nomination over Beshear earlier this year, he would probably be on track to defeat Bevin. Against McConnell, however, it's a different story. I think Atkins would do as well as Gray did in 2016, and he would definitely win Elliott County (where he has a base, and where he did exceptionally well against Beshear and Edelen). But McConnell would still win by around 12-15 points in the end, though.

I doubt he would win the primary against McGrath though, especially if Jones runs too.
Amy McGrath will have a small fortune to spend

She’ll probably have a big fortune to spend because idiots keep on pumping money into a lost cause in some vain effort to beat bogeyman McConnell. She raised $2.5 million on the first day alone. Talk about money on fire

Forget donating to other political candidates, that money could've gone to like...feeding hungry kids or something. Instead it will become mere ash. Sad!

TBF it goes to stimulating the Kentucky economy. Wait nvm just goes to DC consultants.

And McConnell gets his money from corperations and Kentucky doesn't care because "Open Borders and Black man bad"

[Continential]

Not sure why people think Amy doesn't have a chance to win?

Because it is Kentucky.

[Continential]

inb4 McConnell only wins by like 7 or something

Should that happen, hopefully we flip KY06

[Continential]

1+2 =/= 4. Just because Gray carried KY06 in 2016 does not mean he would carry it in 2018. When one runs statewide they end up with a brand more generic than a district brand. The less constituents, the more tailored your campaign and brand must be. Ossoff is going to learn this in a few months when he carries GA06, even if loses the state. More relevant to the discussion though is Paul Davis in KS-02, who carried the seat when he ran against Brownback, but then lost the seat in 2018.

Am I defending McGrath? Nope, all I am saying is that both Gray and McGrath would have lost KY06 by a small margin. There are just too many ancestral democrats in the seat for a democrat to win when running a focused district campaign.

Similarly, Democrats are going to lose KY-Sen by at least 20 points no matter who is nominated, so who cares who wins the seat next week.

Jim Gray was the mayor of Lexington.

[Continential]

Gray won Ky06 not just because he did better than Hillary in the coalfields but also because he was mayor of Lexington, he broke 60% in Fayette in 2016 of all years which is the first time I think that a Democrat has broken 60% in Fayette, in a statewide race this century.

Jim Gray was the mayor of Lexington.

I see you guys ignored the example of KS02, which I think is the most relevant example of what a hypothetical KY-06 election with Gray would have looked like. Davis kept his margin from 2014 in Lawrence, but lost ground everywhere else, leading to a close loss.

The majority of the district is urban/suburban and there are two cities Frankfrot and Lexington. McGrath only won Fayette county 59-39

[Continential]

Who do you think would have ran had Grimes not run?