KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in

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Hopefully, she wins

Her mistake in 2018 was not going after her opponent aggressively enough. If she does that again, she would be annihilated.

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You know what...the more I read about McGrath and her campaign message, the more I get the feeling that I'm not even sure I know what she stands for. It's not enough to just say "I'm not ______", so I now think that if McGrath were to continue down her current path, she could end up just like McConnell's previous opponent in terms of the final election margin.

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So much sexism in this thread. Typical atlas.

Is lack of authenticity sexist? I don't think so.

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If Matt Bevin just barely lost, it proves Mitch McConnell is safe.

Let's compare:

2014-Sen: R+15.5
2015-Gov: R+8.7
2019-Gov: D+0.4 (a 9.1-point shift)

If we were to apply the 2015-2019 shift to McConnell, he would end up with a margin of R+6.4, which is very close to his 2008 margin of R+5.9. Yes, I agree that McConnell is still favored, but that kind of margin suggests that he could fall if he tried to sleepwalk to victory (so I would rate him likely rather than safe).

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McConnell challenges McGrath to 'socially distanced, Lincoln-Douglas style' debate

Why would he even debate McGrath? Is he worried that he might win by less that 20?

Remember that he did debate his last opponent, and wound up crushing her. Perhaps he wants to repeat the same feat with this opponent.

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https://twitter.com/ryangrim/status/1311734993186480128
Who does she think she's convincing with these?

In her campaign's mind, a great number of voters.

In reality, a statistically insignificant number of voters.