KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Yup. Looks like McGrath has this.

[2016]

If I had to guess I'd say McGrath would be able to gain the lead? There doesn't seem to be enough friendly areas for Booker left.

WaPo has her up by less than 2k votes now. Outstanding counties are likely going to be favorable to her. Final margin may be super slim and we might see quite a few challenges from the Booker campaign.

It's hilarious how bad Booker is doing in the Rual Areas. If you look at the NBC D-SEN Map Booker won only 9 Counties thus far. You never win Statewide doing that!

[Holmes]

Wasserman’s not calling it even though he’s called other races with far less.

[n1240]

Wasserman’s not calling it even though he’s called other races with far less.

It's obviously over.

McGrath wins by around 4 in the end.

[Oryxslayer]

Wasserman’s not calling it even though he’s called other races with far less.

He's not using DDHQ, so he doesn't see about 30 of the rurals.

[Oryxslayer]

In Other News:

https://twitter.com/electionwatchus/status/1277977909253165058?s=20

Based out of Oldham and eastern Jefferson.

[2016]

Bruce Lunsford ran a good Race against McConnell in 2008.

The last two Candidates though, Alison Lundergan-Grimes and Amy McGrath (Should this stand which I think it will) are total Gaffee Machines.
Prolly Alison didn't even want to tell whom she voted for in 2014.

[DINGO Joe]

If I had to guess I'd say McGrath would be able to gain the lead? There doesn't seem to be enough friendly areas for Booker left.

WaPo has her up by less than 2k votes now. Outstanding counties are likely going to be favorable to her. Final margin may be super slim and we might see quite a few challenges from the Booker campaign.

It's hilarious how bad Booker is doing in the Rual Areas. If you look at the NBC D-SEN Map Booker won only 9 Counties thus far. You never win Statewide doing that!

Oh, you could.  Just has to be the right 9 counties.  And in the end Booker is only going to win 4 counties (possibly 5)

[ON Progressive]

If I had to guess I'd say McGrath would be able to gain the lead? There doesn't seem to be enough friendly areas for Booker left.

WaPo has her up by less than 2k votes now. Outstanding counties are likely going to be favorable to her. Final margin may be super slim and we might see quite a few challenges from the Booker campaign.

It's hilarious how bad Booker is doing in the Rual Areas. If you look at the NBC D-SEN Map Booker won only 9 Counties thus far. You never win Statewide doing that!

Oh, you could.  Just has to be the right 9 counties.  And in the end Booker is only going to win 4 counties (possibly 5)

Yeah, Booker could have actually won with even like the number of counties he won if he got far bigger Jefferson and Fayette margins (in Fayette in particular) than what he actually got.

[2016]

If I had to guess I'd say McGrath would be able to gain the lead? There doesn't seem to be enough friendly areas for Booker left.

WaPo has her up by less than 2k votes now. Outstanding counties are likely going to be favorable to her. Final margin may be super slim and we might see quite a few challenges from the Booker campaign.

It's hilarious how bad Booker is doing in the Rual Areas. If you look at the NBC D-SEN Map Booker won only 9 Counties thus far. You never win Statewide doing that!

Oh, you could.  Just has to be the right 9 counties.  And in the end Booker is only going to win 4 counties (possibly 5)

No, you can't. Booker is going to lose by 10-15K+ Votes when all is said and done!

[FlyoverCoast]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1277981872849588224?s=20

[Roll Roons]

Bruce Lunsford ran a good Race against McConnell in 2008.

The last two Candidates though, Alison Lundergan-Grimes and Amy McGrath (Should this stand which I think it will) are total Gaffee Machines.
Prolly Alison didn't even want to tell whom she voted for in 2014.

Yeah, 2008 was really their last chance to take him down. Maybe they could have done it if they'd run Ben Chandler.

[Lambsbread]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1277981872849588224?s=20

F

[Landslide Lyndon]

In Other News:

https://twitter.com/electionwatchus/status/1277977909253165058?s=20

Based out of Oldham and eastern Jefferson.

Isn't this the race where the Democrat was losing 75-25 on election night?

[2016]

Bruce Lunsford ran a good Race against McConnell in 2008.

The last two Candidates though, Alison Lundergan-Grimes and Amy McGrath (Should this stand which I think it will) are total Gaffee Machines.
Prolly Alison didn't even want to tell whom she voted for in 2014.

Yeah, 2008 was really their last chance to take him down. Maybe they could have done it if they'd run Ben Chandler.

AG Daniel Cameron is hopefully going to replace Mitch in 2026 unless he wants to run for Governor in 2023.
I though think State Treasurer Allison Ball will run against Beshear.

[Oryxslayer]

In Other News:

https://twitter.com/electionwatchus/status/1277977909253165058?s=20

Based out of Oldham and eastern Jefferson.

Isn't this the race where the Democrat was losing 75-25 on election night?

Somewhere around that - that was certainly the margin in Oldham E-Day. People need to learn fast that the election isn't over until all votes are counted or else they are in for some heavy duty whiplash.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

In Other News:

https://twitter.com/electionwatchus/status/1277977909253165058?s=20

Based out of Oldham and eastern Jefferson.

Isn't this the race where the Democrat was losing 75-25 on election night?

I hope not.

If so, it's probably foreshadowing the hell that will be election day week.

[n1240]

Booker+11 in Christian, can't see where else he might win

[n1240]

The margin in KY-06 seems fairly close as a whole but turnout is consistently up throughout the district, probably somewhere around 30% higher than 2016, whilst the rest of the state excluding Jefferson and burbs, and Cincy burbs are struggling to hit 2016 turnout.

[2016]

And here we go

NBC NEWS PROJECTION

Democrat Amy McGrath wins Kentucky Senate Democratic Primary; faces Republican Mitch McConnell in November

[blackentheborg]

And here we go

NBC NEWS PROJECTION

Democrat Amy McGrath wins Kentucky Senate Democratic Primary; faces Republican Mitch McConnell in November

oh for S SAKE

[ON Progressive]

Looking forward to what will be on track to be the worst Democratic Senate campaign since Alvin Greene in 2010.

[2016]

Looking forward to what will be on track to be the worst Democratic Senate campaign since Alvin Greene in 2010.

If that's the case here is my Question:

Will McGrath win a bigger Percentage of the Vote compared to Grimes in 2014? I think Grimes got 42 % in 2014.

[Lambsbread]

Looking forward to what will be on track to be the worst Democratic Senate campaign since Alvin Greene in 2010.

Whole lotta YASSS QUEENs and BEAT MOSCOW MITCH tweets to endure until this sh*t is over

[Alben Barkley]

Well looks like it's gonna turn out just about exactly how I predicted: Quite close due to Booker's dominance in Jefferson/Fayette in the same day vote, but his getting crushed elsewhere in the state combined with the early mail-in vote favoring McGrath in a big way killed his chances.

Still a very weak performance for McGrath, however. And it's quite possible Booker would have won if there was no early vote due to his late surge. Just like Biden probably would have won some of the Super Tuesday states without the heavy mail-in vote that Bernie won, as he surged late as well.