KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 02:37:13 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 25 26 27 28 29 [30] 31 32 33 34 35 ... 39
Author Topic: KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in  (Read 58586 times)
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,689
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #725 on: June 30, 2020, 08:52:33 AM »

McGrath wins Kenton by 20pts up 16000 votes statewide
Logged
n1240
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,207


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #726 on: June 30, 2020, 08:56:59 AM »

McGrath margin currently about 19% in counties with finished vote excluding Fayette.
Logged
Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,188
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #727 on: June 30, 2020, 09:03:45 AM »

McGrath did everything she could to lose and still won (probably) while progressives prove how ineffective they are at winning big races yet again (though tbf this wasn’t seen as competitive until a couple weeks out)...
Booker would have won if not for the massive mail in voting happening before and during McGrath's collapse. Unlike most progressive socialists, Booker had strong Black support due to BLM & Breonna Taylor's murder.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,518


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #728 on: June 30, 2020, 09:05:14 AM »

NBC NEWS KY-SEN D-Primary

47 % IN

McGrath 123.681 = 47.4 %

Booker 101.653 = 38.9 %

That is WITHOUT Fayette and Jefferson Counties. This is going to be very, very close.
Logged
Lambsbread
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,358
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #729 on: June 30, 2020, 09:06:19 AM »

So what are the odds that Booker somehow wins this at this point?
Logged
n1240
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,207


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #730 on: June 30, 2020, 09:07:31 AM »

NBC NEWS KY-SEN D-Primary

47 % IN

McGrath 123.681 = 47.4 %

Booker 101.653 = 38.9 %

That is WITHOUT Fayette and Jefferson Counties. This is going to be very, very close.

Fayette is included

So what are the odds that Booker somehow wins this at this point?

Less than 1%, requires absentee trend to be bucked in Jefferson.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,689
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #731 on: June 30, 2020, 09:09:58 AM »

McGrath wins Madison by less than 1%, would look good without knowing Fayette's numbers
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,518


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #732 on: June 30, 2020, 09:11:24 AM »

NBC NEWS KY-SEN D-Primary

47 % IN

McGrath 123.681 = 47.4 %

Booker 101.653 = 38.9 %

That is WITHOUT Fayette and Jefferson Counties. This is going to be very, very close.

Fayette is included

So what are the odds that Booker somehow wins this at this point?

Less than 1%, requires absentee trend to be bucked in Jefferson.

Yes now Fayette (Lexington) is IN 100 % and Booker won there only by 3000 Votes. That's not gonna cut it for him.

Big Advantage McGrath at this Point!
Logged
n1240
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,207


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #733 on: June 30, 2020, 09:12:24 AM »

McGrath wins Madison by less than 1%, would look good without knowing Fayette's numbers

Booker+6 in Warren
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,689
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #734 on: June 30, 2020, 09:12:58 AM »

McGrath only wins Oldham by 70 votes
Logged
Lambsbread
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,358
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #735 on: June 30, 2020, 09:14:37 AM »

RIP Charles Sad
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,518


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #736 on: June 30, 2020, 09:16:48 AM »

55 % IN

301.840 Votes in Total BTW.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,689
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #737 on: June 30, 2020, 09:18:47 AM »

McGrath wins Franklin by 4 pts
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,518


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #738 on: June 30, 2020, 09:21:23 AM »

There is obviously a massive Discrepancy between the Mail-In Vote and the In-Person Vote.

I suspect this and I voiced that a week ago on Election Day/Night. No one wanted to believe me!
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,527
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #739 on: June 30, 2020, 09:21:43 AM »

Dang, Trump only got 72.3% of the vote in Fayette County.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,245


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #740 on: June 30, 2020, 09:22:22 AM »

There is obviously a massive Discrepancy between the Mail-In Vote and the In-Person Vote.

I suspect this and I voiced that a week ago on Election Day/Night. No one wanted to believe me!

Huh? I think everyone figured Booker would do better with in-person since he had momentum later in the race
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,689
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #741 on: June 30, 2020, 09:25:53 AM »

There is obviously a massive Discrepancy between the Mail-In Vote and the In-Person Vote.

I suspect this and I voiced that a week ago on Election Day/Night. No one wanted to believe me!

Yeah, by no one, i assume you mean everyone
Logged
n1240
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,207


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #742 on: June 30, 2020, 09:28:42 AM »

Booker+24 with 150k total votes in jeff
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,689
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #743 on: June 30, 2020, 09:30:47 AM »

Booker+24 with 150k total votes in jeff

Booker only 300 votes behind statewide.  Of course it all downhill from here
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,756
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #744 on: June 30, 2020, 09:37:32 AM »

Yeah, I think McGrath’s got this.
Logged
Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,794


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #745 on: June 30, 2020, 09:39:04 AM »

Booker+24 with 150k total votes in jeff

GG McGrath wins.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,689
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #746 on: June 30, 2020, 09:40:22 AM »

Booker does win Boyle county (small college there)
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,518


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #747 on: June 30, 2020, 09:42:22 AM »

NBC NEWS 81 % IN

Amy McGrath 215.609 = 44.6 %

Charles Booker 213.182 = 44.1 %
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,581
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #748 on: June 30, 2020, 09:44:19 AM »

If I had to guess I'd say McGrath would be able to gain the lead? There doesn't seem to be enough friendly areas for Booker left.
Logged
Lambsbread
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,358
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #749 on: June 30, 2020, 09:45:21 AM »

If I had to guess I'd say McGrath would be able to gain the lead? There doesn't seem to be enough friendly areas for Booker left.

WaPo has her up by less than 2k votes now. Outstanding counties are likely going to be favorable to her. Final margin may be super slim and we might see quite a few challenges from the Booker campaign.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 25 26 27 28 29 [30] 31 32 33 34 35 ... 39  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.059 seconds with 11 queries.