What were the surprise states in the 1980 election? (user search)
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  What were the surprise states in the 1980 election? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What were the surprise states in the 1980 election?  (Read 3157 times)
buritobr
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« on: July 20, 2019, 02:40:35 PM »
If you look to newspapers from November 4th 1980, the polls were showing this:



The green states are the undecided ones
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buritobr
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« Reply #1 on: August 01, 2019, 09:31:55 PM »
Maybe the opposite surprise was Mississippi being so narrow. When the polls in the eve showed that the national margin would be 3 points for Reagan, the pollls were already predicting Reagan winning in Mississippi. The national margin was 10 points, and even though, the margin in Mississippi was <2%. There was a narrow victory for Reagan in 1980 in Arkansas and Mississippi. In 1976, there was a landslide for Carter in Arkansas and a narrow victory for Carter in Mississippi. Maybe, the black turnout in Mississippi in 1980 was higher than expected.
Reagan started his campaign there, talking about the states' rights.
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