MS GOV : Hood losing to Reeves 36/48
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 08:25:57 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections
  2023 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  MS GOV : Hood losing to Reeves 36/48
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: MS GOV : Hood losing to Reeves 36/48  (Read 2886 times)
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,275


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 27, 2019, 10:19:40 AM »
« edited: June 27, 2019, 10:22:43 AM by Frenchrepublican »

https://fr.scribd.com/document/414537699/IMG-MS-Statewide-Survey-Analysis-Released#from_embed

Tate Reeves : 48%
Jim Hood : 36%

The poll was done for Y'all Politics and has Reeves winning by 12.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2019, 10:22:21 AM »
« Edited: June 30, 2019, 06:31:46 AM by ElectionsGuy »

The poll is only 27% black and 51/28 R/D. It's also 40% seniors. Given that, it's obviously unreliable and too friendly to Reeves.
Logged
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,275


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 27, 2019, 10:27:55 AM »

The poll is only 27% white and 51/28 R/D. It's also 40% seniors. Given that, it's obviously unreliable and too friendly to Reeves.

Yeah, it's probably a bit too friendly to Reeves, now I don't expect a sky high turnout, so seniors representing 40% of electorate is plausible. 

Anyway, even if black voters are a bit undersampled in this poll, it's clear that Reeves has the advantage.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 27, 2019, 10:31:54 AM »

Junk!
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,380
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 27, 2019, 10:50:24 AM »

The poll is only 27% white and 51/28 R/D. It's also 40% seniors. Given that, it's obviously unreliable and too friendly to Reeves.

Yeah, it's probably a bit too friendly to Reeves, now I don't expect a sky high turnout, so seniors representing 40% of electorate is plausible.  

Anyway, even if black voters are a bit undersampled in this poll, it's clear that Reeves has the advantage.

The small one - probably (voting is extremely polarized in Mississippi now). But - no more..
Logged
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,275


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 27, 2019, 11:08:32 AM »


Your logic anyway is :
1. A poll has a republican candidate leading : Junk !
2. A poll has a democrat leading : if don’t trust polls, you are a moron
Logged
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,275


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 27, 2019, 11:09:47 AM »

The poll is only 27% white and 51/28 R/D. It's also 40% seniors. Given that, it's obviously unreliable and too friendly to Reeves.

Yeah, it's probably a bit too friendly to Reeves, now I don't expect a sky high turnout, so seniors representing 40% of electorate is plausible.  

Anyway, even if black voters are a bit undersampled in this poll, it's clear that Reeves has the advantage.

The small one - probably (voting is extremely polarized in Mississippi now). But - no more..

But no more ?
Logged
Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
Enlightened_Centrist 420
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,599


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 27, 2019, 11:33:09 AM »

Reeves will probably get at least 48% of the vote, but he's not winning by 12 points. I expect that at the very least Hood will do better than Mike Espy did.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,280
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 27, 2019, 11:34:02 AM »

Republicans do not have a 20% registration advantage in Mississippi, so that's very suspicious. Probably junk, but I do have to admit that it not looking great for Hood.
Logged
The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,269
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -7.48

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 27, 2019, 11:56:41 AM »

Quote
Jesus said to take care of the widows, orphans, the elderly, and the least among us. When it comes to health care, Mississippi has not followed His word.

Not many states where you'll find a Democrat who talks like this.

Of course, Mississippi would vote for Satan (R) over Jesus (D) any day of the week and twice on Sunday.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,689
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 27, 2019, 01:22:29 PM »

I doubt it
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,380
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 27, 2019, 01:52:30 PM »

The poll is only 27% white and 51/28 R/D. It's also 40% seniors. Given that, it's obviously unreliable and too friendly to Reeves.

Yeah, it's probably a bit too friendly to Reeves, now I don't expect a sky high turnout, so seniors representing 40% of electorate is plausible.  

Anyway, even if black voters are a bit undersampled in this poll, it's clear that Reeves has the advantage.

The small one - probably (voting is extremely polarized in Mississippi now). But - no more..

But no more ?

No more then small. 5% - i would believe. 12 - not.
Logged
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,639
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 30, 2019, 02:59:57 AM »

And the "elastic MS" crowd is dead silent.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,689
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: June 30, 2019, 04:37:04 AM »

If Hood doesn't get 50%, it's over anyways, due to GOP assembly chosing winner
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,666
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: June 30, 2019, 12:48:16 PM »

Hood wins 50-48

Hood becomes the next MS gov.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,689
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 30, 2019, 01:16:02 PM »

Hood wins 50-48

Hood becomes the next MS gov.

Cook has KY as a tossup and MS as likely R
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,380
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: June 30, 2019, 01:34:14 PM »

Hood wins 50-48

Hood becomes the next MS gov.

Cook has KY as a tossup and MS as likely R

I have both as Lean R
Logged
Bojack Horseman
Wolverine22
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,374
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: June 30, 2019, 01:43:12 PM »

Alison Lundergan Grimes taught me not to get my hopes up about supposedly-competitive races in the south. I’m applying that lesson to Hood as well.
Logged
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,639
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: June 30, 2019, 01:46:10 PM »

Hood wins 50-48

Hood becomes the next MS gov.

Reeves wins 52-46

Reeves becomes the next MS gov.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,689
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: June 30, 2019, 02:41:38 PM »

MS elected Haley Barbour,  who was an Entitlement cutter and a tax cutter. MS is a traditional state
Logged
Comrade Funk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,185
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -5.91

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: June 30, 2019, 02:48:33 PM »


Your logic anyway is :
1. A poll has a republican candidate leading : Junk !
2. A poll has a democrat leading : if don’t trust polls, you are a moron
This coming from you.

Logged
henster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,993


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: June 30, 2019, 02:53:38 PM »

Hood's fundraising $$ are the bigger issue he's been badly outraised by Reeves despite not having a competitive primary.
Logged
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,275


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: June 30, 2019, 05:38:54 PM »


Your logic anyway is :
1. A poll has a republican candidate leading : Junk !
2. A poll has a democrat leading : if don’t trust polls, you are a moron
This coming from you.



I’m sorry dude, but Biden is not winning PA by 13, at worst he will win it by Obama 2008 numbers, but he is not doing even better than Casey
Logged
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,275


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: June 30, 2019, 05:39:30 PM »

Alison Lundergan Grimes taught me not to get my hopes up about supposedly-competitive races in the south. I’m applying that lesson to Hood as well.

This
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,689
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: June 30, 2019, 06:41:34 PM »

Alison Lundergan Grimes taught me not to get my hopes up about supposedly-competitive races in the south. I’m applying that lesson to Hood as well.

This

Dems did have a 12 point lead, supposedly on the generic ballot.  During that time, all three Dems had leads, bit Democratic spending proposals were added up and add more to debt of 22 T
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.077 seconds with 12 queries.