MO Gov Galloway in

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Well I guess this is a less futile challenge than Beshear’s inevitable loss to Bevin, but not by much.

Sifton running for AG would be stupid. MO-2 is much more winnable, particularly since Galloway has a good shot of carrying it in the gubernatorial race and providing him coattails there.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

She will do around what McCaskill did.

She will likely do worse

1. 2020 likely won’t be a D+9 year
2. Contrary to McCaskill, Galloway won’t have $40M to spend
3. Parson is a popular incumbent
4. Running on abortion is not a winning issue in MO
5. Trump will likely carry this state by +15 and will provide coattails to other conservative candidates

It is dumb to campaign solely on abortion in  Missouri but even Mississippi rejected a life at conception amendment, Considering Missouri is more liberal than MS going against hardcore abortion bans can work.

It worked pretty well for Wendy Davis....

Are we talking about the same Missouri that re-elected Claire McCaskill by 16% because of her oponent’s extreme stance on abortion?

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

If anyone could find a way to blow a sure thing, it’s the Missouri Republican Party

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

She will do around what McCaskill did.

She will likely do worse

1. 2020 likely won’t be a D+9 year
2. Contrary to McCaskill, Galloway won’t have $40M to spend
3. Parson is a popular incumbent
4. Running on abortion is not a winning issue in MO
5. Trump will likely carry this state by +15 and will provide coattails to other conservative candidates

It is dumb to campaign solely on abortion in  Missouri but even Mississippi rejected a life at conception amendment, Considering Missouri is more liberal than MS going against hardcore abortion bans can work.

It worked pretty well for Wendy Davis....

Are we talking about the same Missouri that re-elected Claire McCaskill by 16% because of her oponent’s extreme stance on abortion?

Defending rapists =/= Being pro life

splitting hairs. He made that a part of his abortion stance defense.

Back to the matter, yeah this is a Likely R race. But not safe. Never underestimate the ability of the Missouri GOP to screw up. These are the same idiots who, in reverse chronological order:

1. Managed to get an unelected Democrat re-elected State Auditor by running a fraud against her
2. Put an inexperienced egotist who happened to be a rapist in the Governor’s office
3. Nearly pissed away a Senate seat in 2016 despite Trump landslide get
4. Actually pissed away a Senate seat in 2012 along with all but one row office

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Morning Consult has Parsons at 49 approve, 25 disapprove and he's at +19 with independents. I imagine picking someone with a very low profile was part of his appeal after Erotic Eric.

This would probably be a barn burner of a race had Greitens stayed on. Galloway might even be leading. But Parson is just too popular.