MO Gov Galloway in
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  MO Gov Galloway in
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Author Topic: MO Gov Galloway in  (Read 10782 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« on: June 26, 2019, 08:27:20 PM »

https://www-kmov-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.kmov.com/news/top-democrat-auditor-galloway-plans-to-run-for-governor/article_7afb57c0-2103-5bc0-a95d-fecf2f41bcd4.amp.html?amp_js_v=a2&amp_gsa=1&usqp=mq331AQA#referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&amp_tf=From%20%251%24s

Galloway challenges Parsons
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #1 on: June 26, 2019, 09:00:19 PM »
« Edited: June 26, 2019, 09:09:24 PM by Epaminondas »

Great news, that's the only chance.

If she loses she doesn't have to resign from Auditor, correct?

And if she wins, she names her replacement?
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Nutmeg
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« Reply #2 on: June 26, 2019, 09:06:00 PM »

Olawakandi, thanks for this scoop. This is great news!

She doesn't have to resign from Auditor if she loses, right?

Correct.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #3 on: June 26, 2019, 11:55:26 PM »

Few chances for victory, but - the best Democrats can offer in this state..
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andjey
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« Reply #4 on: June 27, 2019, 05:54:26 AM »

Few chances for victory, but - the best Democrats can offer in this state..
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #5 on: June 27, 2019, 09:17:00 AM »

It's probably not a good look to be campaigning for 6 months while on the Gov payroll, but her reasoning must be that

- if Trump loses, no way MO is electing a Dem governor under Dem presidency so she'd have to wait until 2032. Long wait!

- if Trump crushes it in MO and she gets swamped, she's not out of job and has raised her profile waiting for the next shot in 2024.

When's the last time an auditor has turned governor? Can't find one, though McCaskill and Bob Casey jumped from Auditor to Senator.
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MarkD
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« Reply #6 on: June 27, 2019, 10:11:58 AM »

When's the last time an auditor has turned governor? Can't find one, though McCaskill and Bob Casey jumped from Auditor to Senator.

McCaskill tried in 2004; she beat the incumbent Governor -- Bob Holden -- in the Democratic primary but lost the general election to Matt Blunt. Another Missouri Auditor who tried and failed was Margaret Kelly in 1996. Kit Bond was elected Auditor in 1970 and then made a successful transition to Governor in 1972.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #7 on: June 27, 2019, 04:15:06 PM »

This has been telegraphed for a while. I saw her speak in Columbia in April, and she had introduced subtle changes from their auditor stump speech and was much more dynamic and partisan. I expect her to give Parson a hell of a race.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #8 on: June 27, 2019, 04:35:23 PM »
« Edited: February 22, 2021, 01:14:51 PM by jimmie »

She will get 45% minimum.

I know she defeated a literal crazy person but now that she won her election she has more good will.

Galloway seems lucky as a rule. I would not be shocked if that luck continues


edit: awful prediction
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Pericles
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« Reply #9 on: June 27, 2019, 05:22:33 PM »

She will get 45% minimum.

I know she defeated a literal crazy person but now that she won her election she has more good will.

Galloway seems lucky as a rule. I would not be shocked if that luck continues

Claire McCaskill was lucky too, until she wasn't.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: June 27, 2019, 05:40:56 PM »
« Edited: June 27, 2019, 06:26:28 PM by Anthony Davis is Awesome »

She will get 45% minimum.

I know she defeated a literal crazy person but now that she won her election she has more good will.

Galloway seems lucky as a rule. I would not be shocked if that luck continues

Claire McCaskill was lucky too, until she wasn't.

This is a Presidential year, McCaskill won in 2012, in a presidential year, MO does vote GOP in presidential years, but Trump might only win MO by 6, not 11
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Gracile
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« Reply #11 on: June 27, 2019, 06:27:12 PM »

She's the Democrats' best option for sure, but it's hard to imagine a winning path.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #12 on: June 27, 2019, 06:50:52 PM »

She's the Democrats' best option for sure, but it's hard to imagine a winning path.

Trump can underperform in MO, and Dems wont win the state, but 2012, Romney underperformed in MO, allowing McCaskill to win. Trump isnt gonna win MO by double digits, by a 3-5 point win, by Trump, can allow the Gov race to be close. The NC gov race is 3-4 points now, too
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #13 on: June 27, 2019, 07:12:18 PM »

Not the best recruit, but they recruited so well in 2016 for Governor, Lieutenant Governor, and Senator that they’re out of most other options. Stephen Webber would be a pretty good gubernatorial candidate, but he’d be perfect for Lieutenant, AG, or Treasurer down the ballot.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #14 on: June 27, 2019, 07:17:01 PM »

Not the best recruit, but they recruited so well in 2016 for Governor, Lieutenant Governor, and Senator that they’re out of most other options. Stephen Webber would be a pretty good gubernatorial candidate, but he’d be perfect for Lieutenant, AG, or Treasurer down the ballot.

As someone who has met Webber many times... he is a moron.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #15 on: June 27, 2019, 07:17:08 PM »

She's the Democrats' best option for sure, but it's hard to imagine a winning path.

Trump can underperform in MO, and Dems wont win the state, but 2012, Romney underperformed in MO, allowing McCaskill to win. Trump isnt gonna win MO by double digits, by a 3-5 point win, by Trump, can allow the Gov race to be close. The NC gov race is 3-4 points now, too
Lol Trump won Missouri by 20 points in 2016 and likely will again even if he loses
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Cuca_Beludo
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« Reply #16 on: June 27, 2019, 07:23:18 PM »

She will get 45% minimum.

I know she defeated a literal crazy person but now that she won her election she has more good will.

Galloway seems lucky as a rule. I would not be shocked if that luck continues

Claire McCaskill was lucky too, until she wasn't.

This is a Presidential year, McCaskill won in 2012, in a presidential year, MO does vote GOP in presidential years, but Trump might only win MO by 6, not 11

He won it by 18.5, not 11.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #17 on: June 27, 2019, 07:40:49 PM »

This race is now Tilt D if there is a recession.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #18 on: June 27, 2019, 07:53:32 PM »

She will get 45% minimum.

I know she defeated a literal crazy person but now that she won her election she has more good will.

Galloway seems lucky as a rule. I would not be shocked if that luck continues

Claire McCaskill was lucky too, until she wasn't.

This is a Presidential year, McCaskill won in 2012, in a presidential year, MO does vote GOP in presidential years, but Trump might only win MO by 6, not 11

He won it by 18.5, not 11.

He's likely to win it by 9, like Romney did, not 18, Clinton underperformed
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UncleSam
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« Reply #19 on: June 27, 2019, 10:04:22 PM »

Lol Trump won this state by 20 and McCaskill lost by 6 in a D+9 wave. Governor races aren’t as partisan and Parsons isn’t a super strong incumbent but Galloway’s odds here are not good.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #20 on: June 27, 2019, 10:10:05 PM »

Lol Trump won this state by 20 and McCaskill lost by 6 in a D+9 wave. Governor races aren’t as partisan and Parsons isn’t a super strong incumbent but Galloway’s odds here are not good.

Trump is more likely to carry MO by Mitt Romney number 9-11, not 20.
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Cuca_Beludo
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« Reply #21 on: June 27, 2019, 10:29:00 PM »

She will get 45% minimum.

I know she defeated a literal crazy person but now that she won her election she has more good will.

Galloway seems lucky as a rule. I would not be shocked if that luck continues

Claire McCaskill was lucky too, until she wasn't.

This is a Presidential year, McCaskill won in 2012, in a presidential year, MO does vote GOP in presidential years, but Trump might only win MO by 6, not 11

He won it by 18.5, not 11.

He's likely to win it by 9, like Romney did, not 18, Clinton underperformed

You said Trump might only win by 6. Now it's 9 or even 11. Ok, lol.

Anyway, why is that? What makes you think that Missouri wiil swing 9 points to the left in 2020?

Last year was a wave year, and an incumbent "moderate" US senator from Missouri lost by 6 points. Let's not forget that McCaskill outspent Hawley 3:1.

BUT ALL STATES WILL TREND D AND ALL STATES WILL BE D AFTER THE DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES. - Atlas in a nutshell.



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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #22 on: June 28, 2019, 03:12:56 AM »

She will get 45% minimum.

I know she defeated a literal crazy person but now that she won her election she has more good will.

Galloway seems lucky as a rule. I would not be shocked if that luck continues

She will get 45% minimum at the best.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #23 on: June 28, 2019, 03:14:54 AM »

She's the Democrats' best option for sure, but it's hard to imagine a winning path.

Trump can underperform in MO, and Dems wont win the state, but 2012, Romney underperformed in MO, allowing McCaskill to win. Trump isnt gonna win MO by double digits, by a 3-5 point win, by Trump, can allow the Gov race to be close. The NC gov race is 3-4 points now, too
Lol Trump won Missouri by 20 points in 2016 and likely will again even if he loses

Yeah, it's really hard to see why democrats would suddenly rebound in MO
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jamestroll
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« Reply #24 on: June 28, 2019, 03:22:51 AM »

She will get 45% minimum.

I know she defeated a literal crazy person but now that she won her election she has more good will.

Galloway seems lucky as a rule. I would not be shocked if that luck continues

She will get 45% minimum at the best.

I am studying all Midwestern suburban areas very thoroughly.  This is something god told to me do and she will earn between 45 and 47% of the vote.
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