LA-Verne Kennedy/MRI: Edwards 46, Abraham 17, Rispone 5

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/Politics1com/status/1142161096234586112

[Politician]

But but but... SNJC told me Edwards is going to lose by double digits!

I'm pretty sure when you add in undecided black voters, Edwards is at 58% (!)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Leans D

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

There's no way Edwards is actually ahead by this much, but I think he'll still win the jungle primary and win the GE narrowly too.

[MT Treasurer]

JBE is heavily favored, but I’d take this poll with a ton of salt. Trump approval is +1 (47/46) and 2020 numbers are 37% Reelect Trump, 54% "Someone Else". Not to mention that this is from April.

[ElectionsGuy]

JBE is heavily favored, but I’d take this poll with a ton of salt. Trump approval is +1 (47/46) and 2020 numbers are 37% Reelect Trump, 54% "Someone Else". Not to mention that this is from April.

lol, so hot garbage is what this is.

[Xing]

Yeah, no way is Abraham only at 17%, though I do still think Edwards is favored.

[S019]

But but but... SNJC told me Edwards is going to lose by double digits!

I'm pretty sure when you add in undecided black voters, Edwards is at 58% (!)

Politician,

I'm going to spell a word

P-O-L-A-R-I-Z-A-T-I-O-N

[We Live in Black and White]

But but but... SNJC told me Edwards is going to lose by double digits!

I'm pretty sure when you add in undecided black voters, Edwards is at 58% (!)

Politician,

I'm going to spell a word

P-O-L-A-R-I-Z-A-T-I-O-N

I can do that too!

D-E-L-U-S-I-O-N-A-L

[Annatar]

I would trust this poll more if it didn't have Trump's approval at 47%, that is lower than his approval rating was in in Wisconsin in the midterm exit polls, the poll reminds me of the infamous Fox news poll that had Trump's approval at 50% and Donnelly up 7%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kennedy would have won this race, without him, race goes Dem

[President Johnson]

Seems a bit too Democratic friendly, but it would be interesting if JBE avoids the runoff by winning 50% outright.

[One Term Floridian]

Almost had my hopes up. Still just Lean D in my book, I doubt Edwards wins on the first ballot

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Abraham will pull it off

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Almost had my hopes up. Still just Lean D in my book, I doubt Edwards wins on the first ballot

...Why?

[One Term Floridian]

Almost had my hopes up. Still just Lean D in my book, I doubt Edwards wins on the first ballot

...Why?

At first glance, the poll clearly looks fantastic for Edwards. Looking at the crosstabs leads me to believe it's a junk poll, however

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

LA will go blue, while MS and KY stay red

[Sir Mohamed]

I'm not sure to take this seriously. But even if this was the result of round #1, JBE can still lose. Jon Ossoff got 48% and then lost the runoff to someone not making it to 20% at first.

Lean D for now. JBE is favored to win reelection, but he shouldn't take it for granted. He should send Kennedy a postcard, thanking him for not running.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Anyone who thinks that there is any chance of Edwards winning re-election in 2019 barring a recession happening between now and election day clearly has not learned their lesson from IN-SEN and MO-SEN 2018.

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

Anyone who thinks that there is any chance of Edwards winning re-election in 2019 barring a recession happening between now and election day clearly has not learned their lesson from IN-SEN and MO-SEN 2018.

Lol, quality analysis.

[Pericles]

Anyone who thinks that there is any chance of Edwards winning re-election in 2019 barring a recession happening between now and election day clearly has not learned their lesson from IN-SEN and MO-SEN 2018.

Gubernatorial elections ≠ Senate elections.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Anyone who thinks that there is any chance of Edwards winning re-election in 2019 barring a recession happening between now and election day clearly has not learned their lesson from IN-SEN and MO-SEN 2018.

Gubernatorial elections ≠ Senate elections.

When it comes to the impact of geographical polarization on elections, Congressional Elections fall far closer to Gubernatorial Elections than they do to Presidential Elections.

[Politician]

Where's ShadowOfTheWave?