Rate NJ-03
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April 29, 2024, 02:37:47 PM
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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Your rating
#1
Safe R		  
#2
Likely R		  
#3
Lean R		  
#4
Tilt R		  
#5
Toss up		  
#6
Tilt D		  
#7
Lean D		  
#8
Likely D		  
#9
Safe D		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 48

Author Topic: Rate NJ-03  (Read 843 times)
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,110


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30

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« on: June 18, 2019, 12:21:15 PM »
?
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,281
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #1 on: June 18, 2019, 12:23:15 PM »
Toss-Up/Tilt R for now.
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beesley
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,101
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: 2.61

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« Reply #2 on: June 18, 2019, 12:51:29 PM »


Tossup/Tilt D for now.
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,275


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« Reply #3 on: June 18, 2019, 01:00:47 PM »
Tilt D for the moment
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
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Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

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« Reply #4 on: June 18, 2019, 01:17:28 PM »
Strong Lean R
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😥
andjey
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,504
Ukraine
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« Reply #5 on: June 18, 2019, 02:18:14 PM »
Tossup/Tilt D
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Brittain33
brittain33
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« Reply #6 on: June 18, 2019, 02:20:33 PM »
Do the Rs have a candidate here yet? Not that it would be hard to find one.
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

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« Reply #7 on: June 18, 2019, 02:25:52 PM »
Tossup, though ultimately I think Republicans will pick up this seat by a narrow margin.
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S019
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Ukraine


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E: -4.13, S: -1.39

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« Reply #8 on: June 18, 2019, 02:38:04 PM »

This, closer to Tilt than Tossup
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cvparty
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United States


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« Reply #9 on: June 18, 2019, 02:40:49 PM »
tilt D. who even is the R candidate going to be tho
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UncleSam
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« Reply #10 on: June 18, 2019, 03:05:26 PM »
Tossup - it’ll be Lean R if and only if Rs find a top tier candidate. They have not as of yet.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
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« Reply #11 on: June 18, 2019, 06:23:35 PM »
Tilt D
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Esteemed Jimmy
Jimmy7812
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,402
United States
Political Matrix
E: 2.47, S: -1.05

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« Reply #12 on: June 18, 2019, 06:40:27 PM »
Tossup
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Epaminondas
Jr. Member
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« Reply #13 on: June 18, 2019, 06:52:59 PM »
Isn't this exactly the sort of district that was thrown away by Democrats unenthused by certain-to-win Clinton?

She garnered 80k votes fewer than Obama 2008 while still comfortably winning, doesn't that reveal a wellpring of potential Dem votes in this reliably blue state?
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We Live in Black and White
SvenTC
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,697
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.81, S: -6.82

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« Reply #14 on: June 18, 2019, 06:53:58 PM »
About as pure a tossup as tossups get. If I had to smack down a solid guess, I'd say Kim narrowly retains, as the Trump backlash in suburban New Jersey was absolutely bananas.
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HarrisonL
Jr. Member
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« Reply #15 on: June 19, 2019, 05:29:46 PM »
I believe this seat is a tossup for now.
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nerd73
Jr. Member
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Posts: 969
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -7.83

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« Reply #16 on: June 20, 2019, 10:25:33 PM »
Pure tossup.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 33,177
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

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« Reply #17 on: June 24, 2019, 06:54:18 PM »
Tossup. It's definitely one of the Republicans' best targets.
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wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
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Posts: 2,600
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.13

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« Reply #18 on: June 24, 2019, 07:29:09 PM »
Tossup. Definitely one of the best GOP targets, probably in the top 10, but I wouldn't say they have an advantage this early. Kim is a good incumbent and I don't know if the GOP has a superstar lined up in this district. Median outcome is Kim squeaks it out again, but that could easily swing in the other direction.
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