Ipsos/Reuters: Biden +14, Sanders +9, Warren +5, Buttigieg +2, Harris +3

[Alben Barkley]

https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/12/1525/1504/2019%20Reuters%20Tracking%20-%20Democratic%20Primary%20Poll%2006%2005%202019.pdf

Among registered voters:

Joe Biden: 50%
Donald Trump: 36%

Bernie Sanders: 46%
Donald Trump: 37%

Elizabeth Warren: 43%
Donald Trump: 38%

Pete Buttigieg: 39%
Donald Trump: 37%

Kamala Harris: 41%
Donald Trump: 38%

[Politician]

[Woody]

Excellent numbers for Trump.

[Podgy the Bear]

Excellent numbers for Trump.

Absolutely.  He keeps his base--and that's it.

[Politician]

Excellent numbers for Trump.

I don't even know what to say

[GeorgiaModerate]

Excellent numbers for Trump.

I don't even know what to say

Could be a bot programmed to respond that way to every poll.

[Frenchrepublican]

Pollsters have become crazy over the past two weeks

National : Biden +14
PA : Biden +13
NC : Biden +12
TX : Biden +4

What’s next ? Biden winning KS and AL  !!

[GeorgiaModerate]

Pollsters have become crazy over the past two weeks

National : Biden +14
PA : Biden +13
NC : Biden +12
TX : Biden +4

What’s next ? Biden winning KS and AL  !!

Or maybe it could be that the voters are turning against Trump and the polls are picking this up?  Crazy thought, I know.

[Frenchrepublican]

Pollsters have become crazy over the past two weeks

National : Biden +14
PA : Biden +13
NC : Biden +12
TX : Biden +4

What’s next ? Biden winning KS and AL  !!

Trump is the underdog at the moment, I admit it, but the idea that he is losing by 14 or that he is losing NC by double digits is just ridiculous.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Pollsters have become crazy over the past two weeks

National : Biden +14
PA : Biden +13
NC : Biden +12
TX : Biden +4

What’s next ? Biden winning KS and AL  !!

Trump is the underdog at the moment, I admit it, but the idea that he is losing by 14 or that he is losing NC by double digits is just ridiculous.

TBH, I agree with you that those numbers are a little too extreme.  But I don't think it's much of a stretch to envision Trump losing the PV by 8-10 points.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great poll

[Alben Barkley]

Pollsters have become crazy over the past two weeks

National : Biden +14
PA : Biden +13
NC : Biden +12
TX : Biden +4

What’s next ? Biden winning KS and AL  !!

“Am I so out of touch? No, it’s the numbers that are wrong.”

[Frenchrepublican]

Pollsters have become crazy over the past two weeks

National : Biden +14
PA : Biden +13
NC : Biden +12
TX : Biden +4

What’s next ? Biden winning KS and AL  !!

Trump is the underdog at the moment, I admit it, but the idea that he is losing by 14 or that he is losing NC by double digits is just ridiculous.

TBH, I agree with you that those numbers are a little too extreme.  But I don't think it's much of a stretch to envision Trump losing the PV by 8-10 points.

I don’t see Biden winning by more than seven points, the country is too polarised and Trump has a floor of 46% of the electorate

[GeorgiaModerate]

Pollsters have become crazy over the past two weeks

National : Biden +14
PA : Biden +13
NC : Biden +12
TX : Biden +4

What’s next ? Biden winning KS and AL  !!

Trump is the underdog at the moment, I admit it, but the idea that he is losing by 14 or that he is losing NC by double digits is just ridiculous.

TBH, I agree with you that those numbers are a little too extreme.  But I don't think it's much of a stretch to envision Trump losing the PV by 8-10 points.

I don’t see Biden winning by more than seven points, the country is too polarised and Trump has a floor of 46% of the electorate

Funny, I would call this (46%) his ceiling.

[Frenchrepublican]

Pollsters have become crazy over the past two weeks

National : Biden +14
PA : Biden +13
NC : Biden +12
TX : Biden +4

What’s next ? Biden winning KS and AL  !!

“Am I so out of touch? No, it’s the numbers that are wrong.”

It’s funny how gullible you are. No incumbent president has lost reelection by more than 10 points with the exception of Hoover during the Great Depression and you think that Trump will lose by 14 ?!

[Frenchrepublican]

Pollsters have become crazy over the past two weeks

National : Biden +14
PA : Biden +13
NC : Biden +12
TX : Biden +4

What’s next ? Biden winning KS and AL  !!

Trump is the underdog at the moment, I admit it, but the idea that he is losing by 14 or that he is losing NC by double digits is just ridiculous.

TBH, I agree with you that those numbers are a little too extreme.  But I don't think it's much of a stretch to envision Trump losing the PV by 8-10 points.

I don’t see Biden winning by more than seven points, the country is too polarised and Trump has a floor of 46% of the electorate

Funny, I would call this (46%) his ceiling.

In my opinion he has a floor of 46% and a ceiling of 48%, look at his approval rate, it has been fairly stable over the past two years (never in positive territory but never abysmal either)

[Progressive Pessimist]

Biden at 50 already is a pretty good sign. There is a lot of time for that to change though.

[Alben Barkley]

Excellent numbers for Trump.

There is absolutely no universe in which numbers which show an incumbent President unable to break even 40%, not even against a little-known gay mayor of a small Indiana town, could be construed as “excellent” for that President.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Uncle Joe is knocking it out of the park!

[President Johnson]

Pathetic numbers for Trump. Biden and Bernie's advantage over the others may mostly be name ID, though Uncle Joe is still the strongest candidate for the moment. 2003 Dubya and 2011 Obama were in much stronger positions.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Clearly a 3-4 point win is in realm of possibility for Biden, these polls just show Trump struggling in low 40's, and Trump needs to stay above 50 to win, like Obama and Dubya did, when they won reelection

[pbrower2a]

Pollsters have become crazy over the past two weeks

National : Biden +14
PA : Biden +13
NC : Biden +12
TX : Biden +4

What’s next ? Biden winning KS and AL  !!

It's Donald Trump who is crazy.

I see the potential for the biggest collapse of a re-election bid for an incumbent President since Carter, if for different reasons. People who knew Donald Trump mostly for being famous in 2016 now know him better.

Start with recognizing that Trump was best known in the New York metro area, encompassing parts of Connecticut, New Jersey, and New York. Those were three of his worst state in the election. Ordinarily a political figure gets much recognition, often positive, in an area in which he has the most attention in the media. Trump was known intimately in Greater Gotham -- intimately in the sense that the close relatives know an obnoxious lout.

Ask yourself this question: is he really likeable? 

[Frenchrepublican]

Pollsters have become crazy over the past two weeks

National : Biden +14
PA : Biden +13
NC : Biden +12
TX : Biden +4

What’s next ? Biden winning KS and AL  !!

It's Donald Trump who is crazy.

I see the potential for the biggest collapse of a re-election bid for an incumbent President since Carter, if for different reasons. People who knew Donald Trump mostly for being famous in 2016 now know him better.

Start with recognizing that Trump was best known in the New York metro area, encompassing parts of Connecticut, New Jersey, and New York. Those were three of his worst state in the election. Ordinarily a political figure gets much recognition, often positive, in an area in which he has the most attention in the media. Trump was known intimately in Greater Gotham -- intimately in the sense that the close relatives know an obnoxious lout.

Ask yourself this question: is he really likeable? 

Biden won’t be likeable either by November 2020

Considering the states you are quoting, CT/NJ/NY are all very progressive, it’s not about Trump, it’s just that these states are D strongholds, but even if Trump lost them biggly he still did better than Romney.