Who is the Most Likely Next UK Prime Minister?

[CumbrianLefty]

The "favourite" at this point is certainly Johnson, but past experience shows that counts for relatively little.

My personal hunch is it will be Gove, FWIW.

(he certainly has more chance than some in the poll - I would seriously put Stewart at about 200/1)

[CumbrianLefty]

I'd say that there's about 30% chance Boris takes it, which technically makeshim the "most likely" as I can also see Raab, Gove, Mordaunt, Hancock, McVey etc also winning, but there is no clear "anti-Boris" candidate yet.

Zero percent chance of someone like Stewart taking it.

Absolutely no way. Thankfully.

[CumbrianLefty]

It should be Farage, but probably Johnson.  Farage needs to finish the job he started and those usually who don't want to lead are some of the best leaders.

Farage would be a disaster that would ruin the UK's reputation abroad and destroy the nations economy with a no deal Brexit.

A "no deal" Brexit is probably going to happen anyway.

We were told this before March also.

It becomes likelier the longer this impasse carries on, but there are still formidable obstacles to it.