Quinnipiac-PA: Biden +11, Sanders +7, Waren +3, Harris Tied, Butti +1, Beto -2

[Gass3268]

Biden 53
Trump 42

Sanders 50
Trump 43

Warren 47
Trump 44

Harris 45
Trump 45

Buttigieg 45
Trump 44

Trump 46
O'Rourke 44

Source

[Gass3268]

If a mod could merge this thread with the other Q-PA poll, that would be great!

[Gass3268]

Trump approval is -12 which is certainly too low especially considering his national approval rate which is around -8

Trump's approval in the 538 average is currently -10.9, which is where it's roughly been for a long time.  The RCP average has it closer, but the 538 methodology is arguably better.  It's also not implausible for Trump to have lost significant ground in PA in 2016.  

Having said that, I do agree that the poll looks a little too unfriendly for Trump (but not ridiculously so).

Yet this poll isn't that out of place when you considering just how much the PA electorate rejected the Republican Party in 2018. There are going to be some places in 2020 that snap back to Democrats like Indiana did for Republicans in 2012. PA is the best bet for that to happen.

[Gass3268]

Trump approval is -12 which is certainly too low especially considering his national approval rate which is around -8

Trump's approval in the 538 average is currently -10.9, which is where it's roughly been for a long time.  The RCP average has it closer, but the 538 methodology is arguably better.  It's also not implausible for Trump to have lost significant ground in PA in 2016. 

Having said that, I do agree that the poll looks a little too unfriendly for Trump (but not ridiculously so).

Yet this poll isn't that out of place when you considering just how much the PA electorate rejected the Republican Party in 2016. There are going to be some places in 2020 that snap back to Democrats like Indiana did for Republicans in 2012. PA is the best bet for that to happen.

Do you mean 2018 ?

Sorry yes, got my years mixed up.