Emerson head to heads
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Author Topic: Emerson head to heads  (Read 1115 times)
Minnesota Mike
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« on: May 13, 2019, 06:37:56 PM »

2020 Head to Heads

Biden 54%, Trump 46%
Sanders 54%, Trump 46%
O’Rourke 52%, Trump 48%
Warren 51%, Trump 48%
Harris 51%, Trump 49%
Buttigieg 50%, Trump 50%

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/may-national-poll-biden-back-in-the-lead-for-the-democratic-nomination
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2019, 06:45:57 PM »
« Edited: May 13, 2019, 07:12:36 PM by Frenchrepublican »


1. 36% of the sample is composed of self described liberal voters, it’s very high, probably too high
2. 48% of the sample is composed of college educated voters which is far too much.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: May 13, 2019, 07:26:58 PM »

Good news for the Biden/Bullock team
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #3 on: May 14, 2019, 01:37:07 AM »

> m e m e r s o n

Seriously, who are these people who vote for both Biden and Sanders and not Harris and Buttigieg? It's weird since the polls add up to 100%, so it's not about name ID.

Good news for the Biden/Bullock team

LOL, Biden won't pick Bullock for VP.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #4 on: May 14, 2019, 11:56:34 AM »

Seriously, who are these people who vote for both Biden and Sanders and not Harris and Buttigieg? It's weird since the polls add up to 100%, so it's not about name ID.


Seriously, like 3% of this country is composed of non-college educated swing voters who care about having a president that empowers working people (even if by rhetoric/personal experience alone) and/or want to say "Screw you" to pretentious achievers/loony Californians. Is that so difficult to believe? That's how people vote.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #5 on: May 14, 2019, 06:11:47 PM »

If this is accurate, only Sanders and Biden have clear EC wins. 

Harris almost surely loses the EC with 51/49 and Buttigieg with 50/50.  Warren probably wins with <280 EV at 51/48.  I want to say O'Rourke would be fine with a 4% margin, but maybe not if he's only losing Texas by 3 again.   

I think O'Rourke would be in decent shape. I'm under the impression that if a Democrat is polling at over 50% nationally with at least a three point margin, they'll be able to pull off an electoral win.
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