Which GOP-held seats should the DCCC aggressively contest in 2020?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 22, 2024, 10:28:54 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Which GOP-held seats should the DCCC aggressively contest in 2020?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Which GOP-held seats should the DCCC aggressively contest in 2020?  (Read 505 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,666
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: May 10, 2019, 01:14:04 PM »

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in my opinion should consider aggressively targeting GOP races that could go their way. They contested KS-03 and OK-05, in red Oklahoma in 2018.

Can House Democrats expand their majority in 2020?

My take:

AK-AL
AR-02
AZ-06
CA-22
CA-23 (Kevin McCarthy)
CA-50
CO-03
IA-04 (Steve King)
KS-02
MO-02
KY-06


Any others you can think of?
Logged
S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,455
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: May 10, 2019, 01:30:23 PM »

GA-07
IL-13
IA-04 (with King)
NE-02
NY-24
NY-27
PA-1
TX-23
TX-24
TX-31

Anything else is throwing money right into the fire
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,068


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: May 10, 2019, 01:30:48 PM »
« Edited: May 10, 2019, 02:06:45 PM by gracile »

GA-07, TX-23, and PA-01 are no-brainers. After that, I think the following seats are realistic pick-up targets (roughly in the order they can be flipped):

TX-24
NE-02
NY-24
TX-22
TX-21
TX-10
MO-02
TX-31
IL-13
NY-02
WA-03
NY-01

Democrats have fewer offensive targets than in 2018, but they are not completely devoid of opportunities to expand the map.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,328
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: May 10, 2019, 03:08:30 PM »

GA-07
IL-13
IA-04 (with King)
NE-02
NY-24
NY-27
PA-1
TX-23
TX-24
TX-31

Anything else is throwing money right into the fire

This, but replace IA-04 and NY-27 with PA-10, TX-10, and TX-21.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: May 10, 2019, 06:30:15 PM »

Depends. If the presidential race is remotely close, then anything other than GA-07/TX-23/PA-01/NE-02 and maybe a few of those random unexpectedly close TX districts will be a waste of time and money. If it's looking like a blowout then the playing field could expand significantly.
Logged
MapModerate
Rookie
**
Posts: 17
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: May 11, 2019, 01:38:57 PM »

Tier one:
GA-07
TX-23
TX-24
PA-01
NE-02

Tier Two:

IL-13
TX-10
TX-21
TX-22
MO-02
PA-10
WA-03
PA-16
MI-06
OH-01
OH-12
CA-50
NY-24

Tier Three (Only spend money if chances look really good)

TX-02
TX-06
AR-02
AZ-06
NY-01
NY-02
IN-05
NC-02
NC-13
CA-04
CA-22
MT-AL
Logged
😥
andjey
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,504
Ukraine
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: May 11, 2019, 03:24:50 PM »

AZ-06
CA-50 (with Hunter)
GA-07
IA-04 (with King)
IL-13
MT-al
NC-02
NC-09
NE-02
NY-27 (with Collins)
PA-01
PA-10
TX-10
TX-21
TX-22
TX-23
TX-24
TX-32
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.033 seconds with 12 queries.