Spring 2019 Atlas Senate consensus predictions
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  Spring 2019 Atlas Senate consensus predictions
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Poll
Question: Which of these 2020 Senate elections will be the most interesting (not necessarily competitive in the generally election)?
#1
AR
 
#2
DE
 
#3
ID
 
#4
IL
 
#5
LA
 
#6
MA
 
#7
NE
 
#8
NJ
 
#9
OK
 
#10
OR
 
#11
RI
 
#12
SC
 
#13
SD
 
#14
WV
 
#15
WY
 
#16
None
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 26

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Spring 2019 Atlas Senate consensus predictions  (Read 319 times)
Orser67
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,946
United States


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« on: May 07, 2019, 05:25:13 PM »

Here are the ratings assigned to 2020 Senate races in a series of polls conducted in April/May 2019:



Polling threads:
AL, AZ, CO, GA, IA, KS/KY, ME, MI, MN, MS/MT, NH, NM/VA, NC, TN/AK, TX

Some quick observations:
-Unlike Cook/Sabato/Inside Elections, Atlas voters are pretty sure that Gardner and Jones are going to lose
-Atlas is also less optimistic for the Democratic incumbent in MI and the Republican incumbents in AZ, AK, TX, MT, and KS
-Atlas is more optimistic for Democrats in NM and for Republicans in KY
-Otherwise, Atlas is pretty much in line with pundits

Thoughts? Any safe states that you think are competitive?
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