Hotter, Badder, and Unpopularer Takes (user search)
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  Hotter, Badder, and Unpopularer Takes (search mode)
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Author Topic: Hotter, Badder, and Unpopularer Takes  (Read 93223 times)
S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« on: March 20, 2019, 11:21:40 PM »

Harley Rouda is vulnerable in 2020
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #1 on: March 21, 2019, 01:51:57 PM »


How is that controversial? I think he loses by 5-7 points.

I think he loses by 2-3, but Trump anger could help him win, Lean D is the most R friendly rating I've seen anywhere
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #2 on: March 21, 2019, 04:08:08 PM »

Sherrill's race is decided by single digits


Malinowski wins by more than Sherrill
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #3 on: March 21, 2019, 04:10:25 PM »

Kind and Bustos win by double digits


Steve Daines wins by more than 6 points
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #4 on: March 21, 2019, 08:49:40 PM »

Sherrill's race is decided by single digits


Malinowski wins by more than Sherrill

Does this count as controversial

Here are more:

Warner will win by single digits
Casten is vulnerable
Stevens and Slotkin both lose
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #5 on: March 22, 2019, 02:19:12 PM »

If Joe Neguse is nominated, Gardner has a viable path to victory
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #6 on: March 31, 2019, 09:44:53 PM »

Dave Loebsack is Safe D in 2020, and Trump wins the district by 3-5
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #7 on: March 31, 2019, 10:48:20 PM »

One vote doesn't make a moderate an extremist (example: Susan Collins and Kavanaugh).

This is only bold on Atlas, Maine still loves Susan Collins and she’ll win, regardless of Atlas’ insistence that this is Tossup/Tilt D

But I mostly agree with you, which is why Ben Nelson is a moderate, he made one bad vote on the ACA and everyone’s opinion of him soured and he immediately become this “Obama-Reid-Pelosi rubber stamp”, if he had voted “NO” on the ACA, he probably would still be a Senator and he would be viewed as a true centrist rather than a somewhat moderate
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #8 on: March 31, 2019, 11:05:22 PM »

North Carolina's Senate and Presidential races will be well to the left of Georgia's in 2020.

This isn’t really that bold, GA will move left of NC in either 2024 or 2028

I expect Trump to win GA by 4 and NC by 3

I expect Perdue to win by 5 and Tillis by 2
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #9 on: April 01, 2019, 06:33:45 AM »



So do I, I think they can help us fight terrorism
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #10 on: April 17, 2019, 11:48:27 PM »

Susan Collins and John Cornyn are fools gold (for the Democratic Party)
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #11 on: May 01, 2019, 10:17:03 PM »

College should not, under any circumstance, be free.

And I say this as someone who graduated with $23,000 in student loan debt, and is now paying an additional $30,000 out of my own pocket for my masters degree.

I agree, free college=higher taxes for families like mine
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #12 on: May 01, 2019, 10:19:17 PM »

Cory Gardner has a feasible, but tough path to victory in 2020

Also Roy Moore, if nominated, would beat Doug Jones in 2020

Also Michael Grimm, is literally the only candidate who can lose to Max Rose

Bernie Sanders is likelier to crash and burn as a candidate than Joe Biden
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #13 on: May 04, 2019, 12:21:55 PM »

Shalala wins by less than Mucarsel Powell

Powell wins by double digits, Shalala by mid to high single digits

Mucarsel-Powell is more vulnerable than most people think and will be up for another close GE in 2020.

Only if Curbelo or Tomas Regalado run for the seat, Miami R's have a strong down-ballot bench, can't be that hard to find someone to run against her
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #14 on: May 05, 2019, 11:54:26 AM »

*takes deep breath*

Iowa will vote to the left of Georgia.

Hahahahahahahahahahahahahaha!!!!🤣🤣🤣🤣

NO!!!

Are you aware of political trends, IA is trending Republican, and that trend has accelerated, recently. GA is trending Democratic, another trend that is accelerating
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #15 on: May 08, 2019, 06:28:52 PM »

Christians should not watch Game of Thrones, as the show crosses the line (so I've heard, I've never seen it) from a TV show to outright pornography.  It's one thing if a show implies that people are having sex, but to actually show it on TV, as GoT apparently does, is a completely different thing and warrants a boycott from Christians.

Christians are not the only moral religion Tongue

There are other moral religions, that shall not watch this morally-scarring atrocity
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #16 on: June 09, 2019, 12:35:04 PM »

Cory Gardner loses by less than 3
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,327
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #17 on: May 02, 2020, 09:22:55 PM »

Susan Collins is favored in Maine, and Maine will not be part of a path of least resistance for the Senate. Tillis, Purdue, McSally, Loeffler, Daines, Gardner are all more vulnerable than her. Honestly, I'd say her seat is only slightly more competitive than Iowa and Texas, it's a tossup, but one with a clear Republican lean. Feel free to bump this and yell at me, if Collins loses, but I don't see it happening.
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