Hotter, Badder, and Unpopularer Takes (user search)
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  Hotter, Badder, and Unpopularer Takes (search mode)
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Author Topic: Hotter, Badder, and Unpopularer Takes  (Read 93196 times)
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« on: March 22, 2019, 04:35:34 PM »
Quote from: 90s Hippie on March 22, 2019, 04:30:17 PM
Rhode Island will never be anything other than a solidly Democratic state at the Presidential level.
I agree with this.

A hot take of my own:
The biggest swing to the Democrats in 2020 will come from Obama-Trump areas (fight me)
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2019, 11:24:25 AM »
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbedk on March 23, 2019, 06:58:28 PM
Quote from: AP on March 22, 2019, 11:22:27 PM
Quote from: Neoliberalbusters on March 22, 2019, 04:35:34 PM
Quote from: 90s Hippie on March 22, 2019, 04:30:17 PM
Rhode Island will never be anything other than a solidly Democratic state at the Presidential level.
I agree with this.

A hot take of my own:
The biggest swing to the Democrats in 2020 will come from Obama-Trump areas (fight me)
Now hold on ✋ You don't understand Huh that 2016 trends are permanent Cheesy

Texas Wink will vote to the left Shocked of Wisconsin
2020 is too soon, but watch this happen someday!

Democrats will lose St Louis County MN Smiley and make up for it with a pickup in Carver County MN imo imo because demographics imo Smiley
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #2 on: March 25, 2019, 01:59:15 PM »
Ohio is more competitive than Georgia.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #3 on: April 01, 2019, 06:45:10 AM »
IL-12 is more likely to flip than IL-17.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #4 on: April 27, 2019, 03:41:29 PM »
Quote from: RINO Tom on April 27, 2019, 03:28:24 PM
*TRENDS* and *SWINGS* are only so important and only deserve so much attention ... definitely less than the 2020 board spammers give them.  If a county/state voted  for a party, they voted for that party.  Period.  Wait until the place flips to give it so much attention.  “RI might be competitive soon!”  Kay, well it’s not.  Not yet.  So give it a rest, lol.
How dare you! Don't you know 2016 trends are set in stone? You know Trump will carry Athens County, OH while losing Delaware County, OH because of how fast these TRENDS are!!! Texas is Safe D in 2020! Rhode Island is Safe R in 2020!
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #5 on: May 04, 2019, 07:13:44 PM »
Trump is extremely unlikely to win Mahoning County, OH.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #6 on: June 25, 2019, 05:32:19 PM »
MN-08 is almost as vulnerable for Republicans as MN-01.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #7 on: July 03, 2019, 02:54:15 PM »
Quote from: #Kavanaugh For Prison on July 03, 2019, 01:50:24 PM
Democrats completely failed to play their hand to the extent they could done with regards to the Kavanaugh situation in late 2018, very much severely underplaying their hand, as had they focused heavily on pushing the point to the maximum possible extent, instead of just not really talking about the issue very much if at all for the most part, then they could have easily gotten the disapproval ratings of Kavanaugh up to the low-70s, with the following electoral effects:

Bill Nelson, Beto O Rourke, Claire McCaskill, Joe Donnelly, Mike Espy, Phil Bredesen, Heidi Heitkamp win their Senate races; 54-46 Democratic Senate

Andrew Gillum, Stacey Abrams, Fred Hubbell, Billie Sutton, Richard Cordray, Mark Begich, Molly Kelly, James Smith, Ben Jealous, Drew Edmondson win their Gubernatorial races; 33-17 Democratic Distribution

296 to 139 Democratic Control of the House by winning the following Districts:

NC-09, GA-07, NY-27, TX-23, MN-01, IL-13, KS-02, NE-02, PA-01, TX-21, PA-10, TX-31, TX-24, KY-06, IA-04, CA-50, MO-02, NY-01, OH-12, TX-10, PA-16, OH-01, MI-06, MT-01, TX-22, NY-24, WA-03, CA-22, MN-08, NC-02, FL-15, NC-13, IL-12, NY-02, AR-02, VA-05, AK-01, TX-02, MI-07, TX-06, CO-03, CA-04, NY-23, FL-18, TX-25, FL-16, WA-05, IN-02, CA-01, TX-03, AZ-06, VA-01, OH-14, NC-08, AZ-08, WV-02, WI-06, MI-03, WI-01, NJ-04, MI-02
NUT
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #8 on: July 19, 2019, 12:53:02 PM »
Atlas WAY overrates the speed of "trends" (that often don't exist anyway).
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Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
« Reply #9 on: August 06, 2019, 03:30:58 PM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on August 06, 2019, 02:45:47 PM
Scalding take: Joe Biden would narrowly beat Trump in PA 8th CD.
Don't let IceSpear here you

I actually agree though. Bernie could win it too.
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