Change Research - VIRGINIA: Biden leads Sanders by 21 points.
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  Change Research - VIRGINIA: Biden leads Sanders by 21 points.
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Author Topic: Change Research - VIRGINIA: Biden leads Sanders by 21 points.  (Read 1288 times)
henster
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« on: May 03, 2019, 05:28:23 PM »

Quote
Joe Biden captures 41% of vote share among likely Democratic primary voters. Bernie Sanders is in a distant second place with 20%, followed by Pete Buttigieg (12%), Elizabeth Warren (10%), Kamala Harris (5%), Beto O’Rourke (4%), and Cory Booker (3%). All other candidates poll at 2% or less.

https://medium.com/change-research/biden-leads-sanders-by-21-points-in-virginia-primary-d7a8f1239907
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Xing
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« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2019, 05:47:40 PM »

Usual precautions about early polling apply, though 41% is a strong number for Biden. Sanders doesn't need to win Virginia, but he'll need to come closer than this.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: May 03, 2019, 05:57:43 PM »

Biden 41%
Sanders 20%
Buttigieg 12%
Warren 10%
Harris 5%
O’Rourke 4%
Booker 3%
Castro 2%
Yang 1%
Klobuchar 1%
Abrams 1%
Swalwell 1%
Gabbard, Gillibrand, Delaney, Williamson, Inslee, Ryan 0%
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #3 on: May 03, 2019, 06:08:05 PM »

Hopefully Buttigieg plummets after the debates and Warren can begin chipping away at Sanders.

My hope is Sanders goes full on negative to Biden and turns everyone but his cultists off.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #4 on: May 04, 2019, 08:08:14 AM »

Hopefully Buttigieg plummets after the debates and Warren can begin chipping away at Sanders.

My hope is Sanders goes full on negative to Biden and turns everyone but his cultists off.
the 15% support he has IS his cultists, lol.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: May 04, 2019, 08:31:06 AM »

Shocking. NoVA elitists don't like Bernie.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #6 on: May 04, 2019, 08:56:25 AM »

Shocking. NoVA elitists don't like Bernie.

We see national poll after national poll showing Biden absolutely crushing the field with non-whites. Your Excel spreadsheet mind seems to have ignored that lots of black people live in Virginia and instead defaulted to trite, deranged squawks about NOVA ELITES
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OneJ
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« Reply #7 on: May 04, 2019, 09:15:32 AM »
« Edited: May 04, 2019, 09:51:50 AM by OneJ »

I don’t trust Change much, but Warren seems to be doing surprisingly well here. Now, of course, we still have a long time until Super Tuesday.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: May 04, 2019, 09:22:52 AM »
« Edited: May 04, 2019, 09:30:22 AM by ElectionsGuy »

Shocking. NoVA elitists don't like Bernie.

We see national poll after national poll showing Biden absolutely crushing the field with non-whites. Your Excel spreadsheet mind seems to have ignored that lots of black people live in Virginia and instead defaulted to trite, deranged squawks about NOVA ELITES

It was a joke. It's telling though how you took my post to heart, it's almost like you wanted to take time to insult my judgment anyway.
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User155815470020
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« Reply #9 on: May 04, 2019, 09:50:20 AM »

VA is clearly not a good fit for Bernie. I support Sanders, but am predicting now that if Trump keeps OH, IA, and FL in the GOP column and low turnout in VA causes Sanders to lose  the state to Trump (narrowly with 47%) Trump will win the EV 272-266.
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Gracile
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« Reply #10 on: May 04, 2019, 10:01:38 AM »

VA is clearly not a good fit for Bernie. I support Sanders, but am predicting now that if Trump keeps OH, IA, and FL in the GOP column and low turnout in VA causes Sanders to lose  the state to Trump (narrowly with 47%) Trump will win the EV 272-266.

There is no way Bernie will lose VA to Trump despite not being a "good fit" for the state.
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Zyzz
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« Reply #11 on: May 04, 2019, 03:26:44 PM »

Shocking. NoVA elitists don't like Bernie.

DC and NOVA will be Mayor Pete's best regions for sure.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #12 on: May 04, 2019, 03:37:05 PM »

Shocking. NoVA elitists don't like Bernie.

DC and NOVA will be Mayor Pete's best regions for sure.
How does Pete win DC when a majority of the Democratic voters are black?
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #13 on: May 05, 2019, 04:19:26 PM »

Shocking. NoVA elitists don't like Bernie.

DC and NOVA will be Mayor Pete's best regions for sure.
How does Pete win DC when a majority of the Democratic voters are black?

The DC press corps loves Pete.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #14 on: May 06, 2019, 01:24:53 PM »

Shocking. NoVA elitists don't like Bernie.

DC and NOVA will be Mayor Pete's best regions for sure.
How does Pete win DC when a majority of the Democratic voters are black?

The DC press corps loves Pete.

While the Republican DC primary electorate is basically just DC lobbyists, I don't think that's true of the Democratic one. For reference, Al Sharpton got a 3rd of the DC primary vote in 2004.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: May 06, 2019, 01:29:11 PM »

Biden is cruising to the nomination
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