Do anyn counties shift D or R by more than 20%, and what county has the biggest
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  Do anyn counties shift D or R by more than 20%, and what county has the biggest
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Author Topic: Do anyn counties shift D or R by more than 20%, and what county has the biggest  (Read 643 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« on: April 27, 2019, 03:00:04 PM »

I honestly do not think so
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Politician
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« Reply #1 on: April 27, 2019, 03:03:24 PM »

Possibly Norman, MN
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Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
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« Reply #2 on: April 27, 2019, 03:42:06 PM »

Do you mean the Democrat does 10% better and Trump does 10% worse, compared to 2016?


If so, I'm sure there's going to be at least a couple counties with that kind of swing.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #3 on: April 27, 2019, 03:49:56 PM »

Hays County could shift D significantly, Kenedy County (TX) and some counties in UT could shift significantly the other way
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: April 27, 2019, 06:37:27 PM »

If Sanders is the nominee, I can see some rural VT counties shifting >20% D, as well as a few others in rural New England (thinking about Maine in particular). A few suburban Utah counties will shift >20% R without a McMullin-like candidate (Utah, Davis, etc).
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lfromnj
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« Reply #5 on: April 27, 2019, 09:57:04 PM »

If Sanders is the nominee, I can see some rural VT counties shifting >20% D, as well as a few others in rural New England (thinking about Maine in particular). A few suburban Utah counties will shift >20% R without a McMullin-like candidate (Utah, Davis, etc).

Yeah I just remembered to come back to this thread after I remembered VT and the sanders vote in 2016.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #6 on: April 27, 2019, 10:10:40 PM »

A lot of Mormon Belt counties should go more R, with Madison, ID taking back the shame of being the most Republican County in the nation.

As for more Democratic, likely Hays and Tarrant, TX
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #7 on: April 27, 2019, 10:23:18 PM »

A lot of Mormon Belt counties should go more R, with Madison, ID taking back the shame of being the most Republican County in the nation.

As for more Democratic, likely Hays and Tarrant, TX

Tarrant swingsing D by 20+ points probably means that Republicans are losing the state. Did you mean Travis? I wouldn’t be surprised to see some Banana Republic 78-20 margins out of there

...My maths isn't good. I was thinking it was 10%.

Yes, Travis would make more sense.
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #8 on: April 27, 2019, 10:25:20 PM »

A lot of Mormon Belt counties should go more R, with Madison, ID taking back the shame of being the most Republican County in the nation.

As for more Democratic, likely Hays and Tarrant, TX
Mitt Romney isn’t gonna be the nominee, my friend.
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LiberalDem19
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« Reply #9 on: May 13, 2019, 08:50:30 AM »

Probably some smaller, more agricultural county could shift D by that much, such as Freeborn County, MN.

The big counties are for the most part, fairly blue, and it's hard to see a mass amount of voters in those counties switching.

I don't know who shifts to Trump by over 20%. Maybe some Rust Belt county where steel is a big part of their economy?
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Gracile
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« Reply #10 on: May 13, 2019, 10:25:11 AM »

Maybe one of the rural counties in the South that is fast losing black residents could shift Republican by 20%.
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