ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet
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  ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet
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Author Topic: ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet  (Read 76170 times)
UncleSam
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« Reply #75 on: June 16, 2019, 08:13:31 PM »

Is RCV used for this
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mcmikk
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« Reply #76 on: June 17, 2019, 05:46:48 PM »

Reminder is that Collins has a low approval rating because she runs low among republicans. All of those Republicans who disapprove of her will vote for her. And she has 31% approval among Dems... ought to be <10 for her to lose.

Yeah. I’d say the winning strategy here is to nationalize/polarize this race if Dems want to win.
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Ilhan Apologist
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« Reply #77 on: June 18, 2019, 10:38:49 AM »

Reminder is that Collins has a low approval rating because she runs low among republicans. All of those Republicans who disapprove of her will vote for her. And she has 31% approval among Dems... ought to be <10 for her to lose.

Yeah. I’d say the winning strategy here is to nationalize/polarize this race if Dems want to win.

I mean, it worked fine for the GOP in Indiana, Missouri and North Dakota; so I'm staying hopeful.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #78 on: June 18, 2019, 12:28:30 PM »

ME is a Democrat state now, the worst judge Collins voted for was Neil Gorsuch whom is against McCain moderation of environmental,  immigration and feminism. Collins will lose
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Brittain33
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« Reply #79 on: June 18, 2019, 02:21:25 PM »


If it was used for ME-2, it must be.
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Horsemask
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« Reply #80 on: June 19, 2019, 09:18:16 PM »

Troy Jackson remains my dream candidate, but I'd vote for Gideon or Sweet.
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HarrisonL
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« Reply #81 on: June 20, 2019, 08:16:31 AM »

Sara Gideon is about to become the most overrated Democratic Candidate of this whole election. Collins will literally turn around and win by 15% still you watch.
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Politician
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« Reply #82 on: June 20, 2019, 08:19:29 AM »

Sara Gideon is about to become the most overrated Democratic Candidate of this whole election. Collins will literally turn around and win by 15% still you watch.
Dude, you literally said Moore would defeat Jones because of polarization, you can't actually believe Collins can win by 15% simultaneously.
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HarrisonL
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« Reply #83 on: June 20, 2019, 08:20:37 AM »

Sara Gideon is about to become the most overrated Democratic Candidate of this whole election. Collins will literally turn around and win by 15% still you watch.
Dude, you literally said Moore would defeat Jones because of polarization, you can't actually believe Collins can win by 15% simultaneously.

I believe Maine is more elastic than Southern States in Senate races in recent years.
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HarrisonL
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« Reply #84 on: June 20, 2019, 08:22:11 AM »

Also why are the predictions associated with my Atlas Account incorrect. I know for a fact I did not predict Steve Pearce winning the New Mexico governorship. Why are the predictions not my actual ones I remember making on here. Anyone know?
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HarrisonL
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« Reply #85 on: June 20, 2019, 08:23:07 AM »

Because I uh...I only predicted KS Gov incorrect last time, I got higher accuracy than it gives me.
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Canis
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« Reply #86 on: June 20, 2019, 10:27:56 AM »

Ik this doesn't sound like it makes sense but I hope a strong independent jumps in because I think it's more likely we get democrats who would vote for Colin's showing up and voting for a Indy and they might rank the democrat above Collins. What do you think? Does a third party help or hurt Collins with rcv or no effect?
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #87 on: June 20, 2019, 10:48:46 PM »

What do you think? Does a third party help or hurt Collins with rcv or no effect?
The RCV completely eliminates the spoiler vote effect. If you favourite candidate is the weakest in the first round, then he is eliminated and your vote is carried over to your second favourite candidate.

It may take a few cycles, but the RCV guarantees that independant candidates will become more and more important in Maine.
No surprise if both Senators are independants in a few decades. Why be shacked by the two-party system when you can vote for who you want and not worry your vote will be a spoiler?
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MRS DONNA SHALALA
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« Reply #88 on: June 24, 2019, 09:20:59 AM »

Sara Gideon officially in:

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Theodore
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« Reply #89 on: June 24, 2019, 12:45:13 PM »

Sara Gideon officially in:




Lean R, closer to Likely than Tilt
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Gracile
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« Reply #90 on: June 24, 2019, 12:51:19 PM »

Troy Jackson would have a better chance at beating Collins IMO.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #91 on: June 24, 2019, 03:33:31 PM »

All of the races are tilt R except for AZ and Co, but Gideon is much better than Teresa Greenfield and MJ Hegar
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Horsemask
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« Reply #92 on: June 24, 2019, 08:57:47 PM »

Interesting to note that Troy Jackson wasn't included in the first wave of Gideon endorsements, which includes AG Frey, Senate Majority Leader Nate Libby, and Hannah Pingree, along with a long list of a lot of state rep Dems and state senate dems.
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GoldenMainer
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« Reply #93 on: June 24, 2019, 09:17:54 PM »

Interesting to note that Troy Jackson wasn't included in the first wave of Gideon endorsements, which includes AG Frey, Senate Majority Leader Nate Libby, and Hannah Pingree, along with a long list of a lot of state rep Dems and state senate dems.

Interestingly, I only saw 3 state senators on there and they are from solid blue Bangor, Portland, and Eliot. No state senators from swingier districts or rural areas. I did not see state senator Erin Herbig on there who was in state house leadership with Gideon. And I did not see Jared Golden on the list (he was also in state house leadership with Gideon). I wonder if some people are waiting to see what Jackson will do.
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OneJ
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« Reply #94 on: June 24, 2019, 11:34:29 PM »

She seems decent, but we obviously need someone better.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #95 on: June 25, 2019, 12:43:46 AM »

All of the races are tilt R except for AZ and Co, but Gideon is much better than Teresa Greenfield and MJ Hegar

I will not stand for this, MJ Hegar is a far better candidate.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #96 on: June 25, 2019, 01:59:29 AM »
« Edited: June 25, 2019, 02:04:05 AM by Lou Barletta's Teeth »

Nonsense. Gideon is the best possible candidate the Dems could’ve pulled for this race and anybody rating this any redder than Tilt R is being ridiculous. She’s gonna start off in the general with over $4 million on hand. She’s going to (hopefully) hammer Collins on her partisanship in every corner of the state.

She needs to convince those 31% of Democrats who, for some reason, approve of Collins that she is nothing but a rubber stamp for Trump’s agenda, and not the standard bearer of American centrism as she has always claimed.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #97 on: June 25, 2019, 02:07:55 AM »

All of the races are tilt R except for AZ and Co, but Gideon is much better than Teresa Greenfield and MJ Hegar

I will not stand for this, MJ Hegar is a far better candidate.

Last poll had her at 12%
Cornyn polling well ahead of her
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #98 on: June 25, 2019, 02:09:59 AM »

She seems decent, but we obviously need someone better.

You all keep saying this, but you can’t come up with anybody.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #99 on: June 25, 2019, 08:54:06 AM »

She seems decent, but we obviously need someone better.

You all keep saying this, but you can’t come up with anybody.

If Troy Jackson would get up already, heck even Stephen King lol.
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