Trump approval ratings thread 1.5

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, July 14-16, 1500 adults including 1140 RV

Adults:

Approve 44 (+4)
Disapprove 48 (-3)

Strongly approve 26 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 40 (nc)

Generic D 39 (-2), Trump 37 (+3)

RV:

Approve 46 (+3)
Disapprove 51 (-2)

Strongly approve 30 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 44 (-2)

Generic D 46 (-3), Trump 42 (+4)

GCB (RV only): D 47 (nc), R 40 (+2)

Do you think people are rallying behind Trump's racism or is this just noise?

Could be either; I don't like to draw conclusions from a single poll (outliers happen, and this pollster is not immune to them).  Let's see what other polls look like, and especially what this one looks like in its next couple of weekly samples.

EDIT: Sample differences may explain at least part of the Trump bump from last week to this week:

Last week-

Northeast 17%
Midwest 23%
South 34%
West 25%

Liberal 32%
Moderate 26%
Conservative 30%
Not sure 12%

This week –

Northeast 19%
Midwest 22%
South 38%
West 21%

Liberal 29%
Moderate 28%
Conservative 32%
Not sure 11%

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Well duh his support went up. He ran as close as you can to an open racist in 2016 without actually saying he is racist and he got 46% of the vote. That was the central theme of his candidacy.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Trumps strategy is clearly to stir up racial resentment against minorities among white working class people and have their anger turn into votes for him

[Progressive Pessimist]

So his approvals went up after his latest idiotic racism and Epstein scandals?

It's not necessarily because of that, but I also wouldn't be surprised if it was.

[Gass3268]

[Person Man]

Still stable

[GeorgiaModerate]

Still stable

Kind of ironic when nothing else about Trump is.

[junior chįmp]

So his approvals went up after his latest idiotic racism and Epstein scandals?

Of course they went up. Nobody is paying attention and even if they are...they dont really care. The voters of this country are no different than the voters of any other country including the ones that live under brutal governments that routinely violate human rights.

It's cute to think that when voters vote...they are exercising opinions with facts and logic but what's really going on is that clueless voters are exercising their vote based on identity and present moment circumstances.

In other words...Trump could do a speech donning a Klan hood saying the N word and he's still at a 50/50 chance at winning re-election.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

In other words...Trump could do a speech donning a Klan hood saying the N word and he's still at a 50/50 chance at winning re-election.

This is 100% true, and the sooner people stop pretending otherwise the better. There is zero use trying to reason with a Republican Party where some 90% of them are apologists for racist behavior.

[pbrower2a]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, July 14-16, 1500 adults including 1140 RV

Adults:

Approve 44 (+4)
Disapprove 48 (-3)

Strongly approve 26 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 40 (nc)

Generic D 39 (-2), Trump 37 (+3)

RV:

Approve 46 (+3)
Disapprove 51 (-2)

Strongly approve 30 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 44 (-2)

Generic D 46 (-3), Trump 42 (+4)

GCB (RV only): D 47 (nc), R 40 (+2)

Do you think people are rallying behind Trump's racism or is this just noise?

I regret to say that people really are rallying to his racism. It is the only political appeal that he has that has any effectiveness.  But that has its limits. Someone seems to always to go too far in accepting such as inspiration, and when that happens the support for Trump falls. The only other possible explanation is that his supporters rally around him as mainstream media start exposing the alleged criminal sexuality of Donald Trump.

For our safety as a people we would be better off if he made such an appeal as "the super-rich need your help so that we can all prosper".

[Annatar]

Latest Gallup poll, Trump approval at 44-51, up from 41-54. Overall Trump averaged 42.7% in 10th quarter in office, compared to Obama's 46.8%, so Trump averaged 4% lower than Obama.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/260780/trump-averages-job-approval-10th-quarter.aspx

[Brittain33]

Morning Consult/Politico weekly tracker, July 12-14, 1984 RV

Approve 40 (nc)
Disapprove 56 (nc)

Strongly approve 23 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 42 (-2)

Definitely vote for Trump 28
Probably vote for Trump 8
Probably someone else 8
Definitely someone else 45

GCB: D 44, R 35

I love that “Definitely someone else” is greater than all three categories combined.

[pbrower2a]

Georgia, PPP:

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump’s job performance?

45% approve, 49% disapprove

Q2 Generally speaking if the election for President was today, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or his Democratic opponent?

46% Donald Trump 50% the Democratic opponent

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/GeorgiaResults.pdf

North Carolina, PPP:

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump’s job performance?

46% approve, 48% disapprove
 
Q2 Generally speaking if the election for President was today, would you vote for Republican Donald Trump or his Democratic opponent?

Donald Trump 44%,  the Democratic nominee 49%

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/NorthCarolinaResults.pdf

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

NBC/Survey Monkey-

Trump approval-

Approve: 48%
Disapprove: 51%

Kemp approval-

Approve: 61%
Disapprove: 37%

Interesting caveat: Georgians support Roe v. Wade 59-37%

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/6206541-NBC-News-SurveyMonkey-Georgia-Poll-7-19.html

[pbrower2a]

Florida, PPP (for the League of Conservation Voters):

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump’s job performance?

approve 45 disapprove 50

Q2 If the election for President were held today, would you vote to re-elect Republican Donald Trump or would you vote for his Democratic opponent? 

44 % Donald Trump  51 % Democratic opponent

https://www.lcv.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/FL-LCV-Memo-June-19.pdf

I am not going into the details, but Trump does far worse on the environment (including climate change and renewable energy)  than on many other issues. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

So his approvals went up after his latest idiotic racism and Epstein scandals?

Clinton and Gore had high favorability; however, the ethics was the underlying issue, Trump not only has impeachment over his head, but legal issues once he leaves office as private citizen Trump. With no executive privilege

[Gass3268]

NPR-PBS-Marist National:

44% Approve (+3)
52 Disaprove (+3)

41% Srongly Disapprove (+5)
29% Stronlgy Approve (+1)

Source

[GeorgiaModerate]

NPR-PBS-Marist National:

44% Approve (+3)
52 Disaprove (+3)

41% Srongly Disapprove (+5)
29% Stronlgy Approve (+1)

Source

Those numbers are among all adults.  Among RV it's

Approve 44 (+1)
Disapprove 52 (+3)

Strongly approve 30 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 42 (+4)

[Person Man]

NPR-PBS-Marist National:

44% Approve (+3)
52 Disaprove (+3)

41% Srongly Disapprove (+5)
29% Stronlgy Approve (+1)

Source

Those numbers are among all adults.  Among RV it's

Approve 44 (+1)
Disapprove 52 (+3)

Strongly approve 30 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 42 (+4)

Its almost as if its not he's not "improving" but a lot of people who want to have an opinion have an opinion. I imagine that most that ultimately are against him are already against him and unless things go bad, most of those who don't care for him will forgive him or at least give him the benefit of the doubt.

[GeorgiaModerate]

More from the NPR/Marist poll:

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1153343240306864129

[afleitch]

Trump's approval on 538 is now at 43%, his highest since March 2017.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

More from the NPR/Marist poll:

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1153343240306864129

This just shows how bad the Democratic Party is at messaging. With support for policies like these, we should be crushing the GOP at every turn. Of course, difficult turnout amongst our base (young people and minorities) is also a factor in our hardships.

[henster]

More from the NPR/Marist poll:

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1153343240306864129

This just shows how bad the Democratic Party is at messaging. With support for policies like these, we should be crushing the GOP at every turn. Of course, difficult turnout amongst our base (young people and minorities) is also a factor in our hardships.

Why do people pretend Dems didn't pick up 40 seats and flip 7 Governorships? They won because they had a better message than the GOP/Trump. Republicans don't even have a coherent message on healthcare.

[Person Man]

More from the NPR/Marist poll:

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1153343240306864129

This just shows how bad the Democratic Party is at messaging. With support for policies like these, we should be crushing the GOP at every turn. Of course, difficult turnout amongst our base (young people and minorities) is also a factor in our hardships.

Why do people pretend Dems didn't pick up 40 seats and flip 7 Governorships? They won because they had a better message than the GOP/Trump. Republicans don't even have a coherent message on healthcare.

They do. That if you can’t afford  healthcare, you can’t afford to live here.

[Gustaf]

More from the NPR/Marist poll:

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1153343240306864129

This just shows how bad the Democratic Party is at messaging. With support for policies like these, we should be crushing the GOP at every turn. Of course, difficult turnout amongst our base (young people and minorities) is also a factor in our hardships.

Why do people pretend Dems didn't pick up 40 seats and flip 7 Governorships? They won because they had a better message than the GOP/Trump. Republicans don't even have a coherent message on healthcare.

I think the point is that the Democratic margin of victory last year (about 8%) was still less than their lead on most of those issues.