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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: ON Progressive)
  Most surprising single county of 2012?
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Author Topic: Most surprising single county of 2012?  (Read 1875 times)
bagelman
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« on: April 07, 2019, 06:35:47 am »

Were there any surprising county results in 2012?
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politicalmasta73
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« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2019, 07:45:58 pm »

In hindsight, it is pretty surprising that Elliott stuck with Obama even as the rest of Appalachia fell to Romney.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2019, 08:27:49 pm »

Lake and Peninsula Borough, AK (and the number of McCain 2008/Obama 2012 boroughs in AK in general)
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Rep. Gracile
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« Reply #3 on: June 19, 2019, 08:40:30 pm »

At the time I remember being surprised that Obama managed to carry several of the big suburban Bush - Obama '08 counties against Romney (Loudoun, DuPage, Ventura, Jefferson, CO).

In hindsight though, it is a bit shocking that Obama did so well in Ohio given what happened in 2016. So because of that, I'll say Trumbull, OH because it swung toward Obama and then promptly shifted heavily toward Trump.
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marty
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« Reply #4 on: June 20, 2019, 10:44:14 pm »

Not a single county, but Obama's performance in southern and south east ohio. He improved on his 2008 margins all over the region.
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Skye
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« Reply #5 on: June 21, 2019, 06:29:09 am »

Miami-Dade, how it swung so heavily towards Obama.
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President Biden
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« Reply #6 on: June 21, 2019, 03:39:52 pm »

Not a single county, but Obama's performance in southern and south east ohio. He improved on his 2008 margins all over the region.
Given how strongly Appalachia swung against him, why did this particular region swing towards him? Ross County swung 6 points towards him.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #7 on: July 30, 2019, 03:37:02 am »

Miami-Dade, how it swung so heavily towards Obama.

This. I remember MDC turnout was surprisingly massive in 2012.
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#Solid4096
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« Reply #8 on: July 30, 2019, 07:35:41 pm »

The general fact that Ohio had a huge cluster of D trending Counties in the South-Central area of the state that just entirely stopped at the Kentucky border, and then Kentucky also had a huge cluster of D trending Counties in the North-Central area of the state that just entirely stopped at the Indiana border.
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annecortez
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« Reply #9 on: April 18, 2020, 09:25:18 pm »

Well, I know that it has been days. But I guess 2012 election remains to be one of the best! Some may not agree with me, but that's according to my own perception.
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Sol
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« Reply #10 on: May 14, 2020, 03:27:56 pm »

In hindsight though, it is a bit shocking that Obama did so well in Ohio given what happened in 2016.

If I remember correctly, Obama actually underperformed his polling in Ohio, where he had a fairly narrow but consistent lead.

Obama's strong performance in a lot of declining ex-industrial communities isn't too surprising if you remember that Obama's 2012 campaign ran to the left on economic issues, smearing Mitt Romney's record at Bain Capital, opposition to the auto bailout, etc.
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El Betico
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« Reply #11 on: May 30, 2020, 06:35:38 pm »

Maybe I was gullible, but I thought Romney would have narrowly won Hamilton County, OH.
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #12 on: June 15, 2020, 09:00:00 am »

In hindsight though, it is a bit shocking that Obama did so well in Ohio given what happened in 2016.

If I remember correctly, Obama actually underperformed his polling in Ohio, where he had a fairly narrow but consistent lead.

Obama's strong performance in a lot of declining ex-industrial communities isn't too surprising if you remember that Obama's 2012 campaign ran to the left on economic issues, smearing Mitt Romney's record at Bain Capital, opposition to the auto bailout, etc.

 think he underperformed expectations in Oho but not polling
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