Quinnipiac: Biden 29, Sanders 19, O'Rourke 12

[Skye]

Biden 29
Sanders 19
O'Rourke 12
Harris 8
Warren 4
Buttigieg 4
Booker 2
Klobuchar 2
Castro 1
Hickenlooper 1
Undecided 14

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2611

inb4 this is a bad poll for Biden.

[Zaybay]

We dont have any poll to compare this to, but its a pretty good poll for Biden and Beto BUTTIGIEG!

[wbrocks67]

Sanders numbers are probably the worst here. He's a known commodity and can't even get 20%. Good poll for O'Rourke. Dissapointed a bit in Kamala, though it's just one poll, but I'd like to see her in double digits.

[wbrocks67]

This is pretty interesting:

VERY LIBERAL
Bernie Sanders 21%
Kamala Harris 15%
Joe Biden 14%
Elizabeth Warren 14%
Beto O’Rourke 10%

SOMEWHAT LIBERAL
Joe Biden 26%
Bernie Sanders 23%
Beto O’Rourke 12%
Kamala Harris 10%
Elizabeth Warren 5%

MODERATE/CONSERVATIVE DEM
Joe Biden 37%
Bernie Sanders 15%
Beto O’Rourke 14%
Kamala Harris 5%
Pete Buttigieg / Amy Klobuchar 3%

WHITES
Joe Biden 29%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Beto O’Rourke 9%
Kamala Harris 8%
Elizabeth Warren 7%

BLACKS
Joe Biden 44%
Bernie Sanders 17%
Beto O’Rourke 16%
Kamala Harris 8%
Julian Castro 3%

I'd be very surprised to see Kamala only getting 8% of the black vote. Not saying that she would get a huge % just because she is black, but Beto even getting double her %? That seems unlikely. I'd venture to say 17% is about Bernie's cap overall in that department.

[Mr. Morden]

Biden 29
Sanders 19
O'Rourke 12
Harris 8
Warren 4
Buttigieg 4
Booker 2
Klobuchar 2
Castro 1
Hickenlooper 1
Undecided 14

Also...
Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Williamson, Yang 0%

[Sirius_]

Obviously not a bad poll for Biden, but... awful for Booker.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Imagine being The Annointed One and stuck at 8% in like... EVERY poll besides the one released by the subsidiary of your top campaign contributor. 

TERRIBLE news for Officer Harris.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Hopefully Buttigieg can steal 2 percent from Harris and assert himself into the top 5

[Bumaye]

Buttimentum!

Also the numbers for Biden among very liberals show a lot to gain for Bernie and Warren if they call him out as the moderate he simply is. Still of course a rather bad poll for Bernie but hey its early.

Any numbers for 2nd choice?

[Sirius_]

Buttimentum!

Also the numbers for Biden among very liberals show a lot to gain for Bernie and Warren if they call him out as the moderate he simply is. Still of course a rather bad poll for Bernie but hey its early.

Any numbers for 2nd choice?

Biden isn't doing well with "very liberal" and still leading, which should indicate that the "very liberal" group isn't going to win the primary. He is leading with the mainstream democrat, which is still clearly the majority.

[OneJ]

Interestingly, Democratic voters prefer a candidate who is "Progressive" rather than "Moderate" by a 49-44 margin. Why did they use progressive if they already use "liberal?" White voters prefer a moderate by a 45-47 split, while black voters prefer a progressive by a 51-44 margin.

I'd be very surprised to see Kamala only getting 8% of the black vote. Not saying that she would get a huge % just because she is black, but Beto even getting double her %? That seems unlikely. I'd venture to say 17% is about Bernie's cap overall in that department.

I wouldn't be so confident to say this. This looks like his worst poll when it comes to black voters in a while. Quite a few other polls had his black support in the 20s and one was in the 30s, IIRC. It's too early to say for sure, but I expect that he should do reasonably well with black voters more than what many might think.

[lfromnj]

The 11% for Buttigieg was obviously a major outlier but I think he has broken out of the 1-2% area atleast.

[Mr. Morden]

The 11% for Buttigieg was obviously a major outlier

To be clear, that was a poll of Iowa, not nationally.  I'm still assuming it was an outlier, but it's fairly common for the situation in Iowa or New Hampshire to be quite different from the national picture.

[Eraserhead]

It's kind of weird that Sanders is doing worse among whites and blacks than he is overall. He must be doing very well among "others".

[RI]

It's kind of weird that Sanders is doing worse among whites and blacks than he is overall. He must be doing very well among "others".

He's consistently polled well with Hispanics

[Sestak]

Hasn’t Biden usually been above 30, though?

Could just be variance, or could be a trend, we’ll see.

[Mr. Morden]

Hasn’t Biden usually been above 30, though?

No.  Of the five national polls that preceded this one, he was in the 30s in two of them, and in the high 20s in the other three.  29% is right in line with his polling average.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Hopefully Buttigieg can steal 2 percent from Harris and assert himself into the top 5

Their bases of support are completely different, so that won't happen. Happy to burst your bubble though!

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Hopefully Buttigieg can steal 2 percent from Harris and assert himself into the top 5

Their bases of support are completely different, so that won't happen. Happy to burst your bubble though!

Yes, I know, it's unfortunate that Buttigieg gets the votes of people who actually care about educated, accomplished, moral and well-spoken people running this country and Kamala gets the votes of people who care about winning the Intersectionality Oppression Olympics even as she is the most oppressive candidate in the field. I suspect white women will continue to pile on the Kamala bandwagon but fortunately that should be a solid ceiling.

[Sestak]

Hasn’t Biden usually been above 30, though?

No.  Of the five national polls that preceded this one, he was in the 30s in two of them, and in the high 20s in the other three.  29% is right in line with his polling average.

Okay. So he’s floating around 30.

Clearly a good position to be in, but not unreachable at all.

[Beet]

Good poll for... O'Rourke. I guess all that standing on tables is paying off.

Warren is at 4%.

Nowhere to go but up.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Castro getting more black votes than Booker? Oof.

[Hoosier_Nick]

Castro getting more black votes than Booker? Oof.

That seems weird to me, the sample of black voters within the poll was probably a little small and isn't super statistically significant

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Not the best poll for Bernie. But that only 13% should really kill the myth that Bernie's supporters are all white with anyone who is remotely intellectually honest.

[TML]

Note that if you break down voters by various demographic groups, you will notice that Sanders has the edge among younger voters. Most polls with Biden ahead oversample older voters.