IA-Emerson: Trump -6 to +8
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  IA-Emerson: Trump -6 to +8		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: IA-Emerson: Trump -6 to +8  (Read 3124 times)
Skye
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« on: March 24, 2019, 01:53:45 PM »

Quote
When Howard Schultz was added to a general election matchup between Elizabeth Warren and Donald Trump in Iowa, both President Trump and Senator Warren dropped 3% -- Schultz received 7%, Trump 48%, and Warren 45%. When asked if respondents would support Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, or Howard Schultz, Sanders loses his lead in the general with 47% supporting President Trump, 45% supporting Senator Sanders, and 8% supporting Howard Schultz.

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/iowa-2020-biden-and-sanders-neck-and-neck-in-democratic-field-mayor-pete-jumps-to-double-digits

Pretty terrible poll for Trump.
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Xing
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« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2019, 01:55:31 PM »
Even if we saw Trump slightly down in Iowa in the summer of 2020, he could still win it, given how Iowa polling has been over the past couple of cycles.
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #2 on: March 24, 2019, 02:45:24 PM »
Yep....Harris is a disastrous candidate
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« Reply #3 on: March 24, 2019, 02:48:34 PM »
*Biden is 6 points ahead of Trump in IA*

RIP IndyRep
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: March 24, 2019, 03:20:46 PM »
IA isnt even a battleground state anymore. Polls showing Sanders well ahead of Trump, just isnt true. Due to fact, Trump will label him
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S019
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« Reply #5 on: March 24, 2019, 03:23:43 PM »
Likely R

NV is likelier to flip than IA

OH is likelier to flip than IA
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #6 on: March 24, 2019, 03:24:23 PM »
WOW @ Harris. I think it's safe to say we should triage IA in 2020 if she's the nominee
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: March 24, 2019, 03:25:42 PM »
Ernst is safe anyways
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DrScholl
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« Reply #8 on: March 24, 2019, 03:26:50 PM »
Seems a lot like name recognition. Based on what happened in 2018, I'd say Iowa will be on the table regardless of who the nominee is. The congressional delegation went from 3-1 Republican to 3-1 Democratic and the supposedly unbeatable Governor only barely survived. That was a swing back that suggest that state is winnable.
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Xing
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« Reply #9 on: March 24, 2019, 03:34:52 PM »

Maybe, we'll see.


LOL
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S019
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« Reply #10 on: March 24, 2019, 03:36:20 PM »
IA-Likely R
OH-Lean/Likely R
NV-Lean D
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #11 on: March 24, 2019, 04:10:30 PM »
« Edited: March 24, 2019, 04:16:02 PM by Lou Barletta's Teeth »
Quote from: Mondale on March 24, 2019, 02:45:24 PM
Yep....Harris is a disastrous candidate

Glad to see you chimed in for this one poll!

Harris has half the name rec of the other candidates polled here. There's no reason to believe Booker would do any better. Plus, this poll has Buttigieg at frickon 11% for God's sake.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: March 24, 2019, 04:12:38 PM »
Quote from: Mondale on March 24, 2019, 02:45:24 PM
Yep....Harris is a disastrous candidate

The election is in 2020, not 2019
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #13 on: March 24, 2019, 04:37:29 PM »
Quote from: olowakandi on March 24, 2019, 04:12:38 PM
Quote from: Mondale on March 24, 2019, 02:45:24 PM
Yep....Harris is a disastrous candidate

The election is in 2020, not 2019

Time is a man made creation. There's no such thing as 2019 or 2020 except in our heads
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #14 on: March 24, 2019, 04:53:52 PM »
Anyone who doesn't realize this is a result of name recognition is being clouded by their own biases. Besides, this poll has Buttigieg at 11% while he's still hovering at 1% nationally.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #15 on: March 24, 2019, 05:05:52 PM »
Quote from: Mondale on March 24, 2019, 02:45:24 PM
Yep....Harris is a disastrous candidate

Yup!  If Officer Harris is the candidate you can just smooch IA, WI, MI, PA... all of ‘em bye-bye again.
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LAKISYLVANIA
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« Reply #16 on: March 24, 2019, 05:29:51 PM »
Hmm, honestly i think it's hard to make conclusions about IA this far out... It's still 18 months before the elections, a lot will happen yet, but Trump still has the advantage IMO at this point.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #17 on: March 24, 2019, 05:39:28 PM »
Quote from: HokeyDood on March 24, 2019, 05:05:52 PM
Quote from: Mondale on March 24, 2019, 02:45:24 PM
Yep....Harris is a disastrous candidate

Yup!  If Officer Harris is the candidate you can just smooch IA, WI, MI, PA... all of ‘em bye-bye again.


Okay and polling this far out had Clintonslide in 2016. Dems can count these polls as credible as those
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: March 24, 2019, 05:52:35 PM »
« Edited: March 24, 2019, 05:55:41 PM by olowakandi »

Underestimate Biden strength at your will in IA and OH, eventhough Harris with Brown as Veep can win them as well.
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henster
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« Reply #19 on: March 24, 2019, 06:54:08 PM »
The results are a combination of bad methodology, low sample size/no undecideds and low name ID in regards to Harris.
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #20 on: March 24, 2019, 07:58:26 PM »
Iowa is a true tossup, IMO.  I view Trump's strong win in 2016 as a bit of an aberration, one not to be repeated.

Iowa was more Republican than Ohio in 2016, despite the fact that it has been less Republican at the Presidential level over the years.
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Beet
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« Reply #21 on: March 24, 2019, 08:02:04 PM »
Quote from: HokeyDood on March 24, 2019, 05:05:52 PM
Quote from: Mondale on March 24, 2019, 02:45:24 PM
Yep....Harris is a disastrous candidate

Yup!  If Officer Harris is the candidate you can just smooch IA, WI, MI, PA... all of ‘em bye-bye again.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #22 on: March 24, 2019, 08:10:53 PM »
Quote from: Beet on March 24, 2019, 08:02:04 PM
Quote from: HokeyDood on March 24, 2019, 05:05:52 PM
Quote from: Mondale on March 24, 2019, 02:45:24 PM
Yep....Harris is a disastrous candidate

Yup!  If Officer Harris is the candidate you can just smooch IA, WI, MI, PA... all of ‘em bye-bye again.

I'm still not so sure of that. For any Democratic candidate that is where the majority of their energy will (or at least, should) be.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #23 on: March 24, 2019, 08:14:58 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on March 24, 2019, 08:10:53 PM
Quote from: Beet on March 24, 2019, 08:02:04 PM
Quote from: HokeyDood on March 24, 2019, 05:05:52 PM
Quote from: Mondale on March 24, 2019, 02:45:24 PM
Yep....Harris is a disastrous candidate

Yup!  If Officer Harris is the candidate you can just smooch IA, WI, MI, PA... all of ‘em bye-bye again.

I'm still not so sure of that. For any Democratic candidate that is where the majority of their energy will (or at least, should) be.

Nobody is. Beet and Hokey are just two of the biggest loons on Atlas.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #24 on: March 24, 2019, 09:20:27 PM »
Trump is a weak incumbent, no matter what the Mueller report says and wont carry the upper midwest against Biden or Harris
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