Monmouth: Biden 28, Sanders 25

[Skye]

If Biden doesn't run:

Bernie Sanders   32%
Kamala Harris   15%
Elizabeth Warren   10%
Beto O’Rourke   7%
Cory Booker   6%
Amy Klobuchar   3%
Mike Bloomberg   2%

Importantly, most GOP voters say they stand firmly with Trump in a couple of potential matchups. Trump claims a majority base of support (54%) against former Massachusetts Gov. William Weld, who recently launched a presidential exploratory committee.  Another 20% say they are with Trump now, but could possibly be swayed to support Weld.  Only 8% say that they would vote for Weld now and another 10% are uncommitted but could possibly support Weld.  The incumbent has a similarly firm 55% base of support against current Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan, who has been mentioned as a potential challenger. Another 20% of Republicans say they are with Trump now but could possibly be swayed to support Hogan.  Only 6% say that they would vote for Hogan now and another 11% are uncommitted but could possibly support Hogan.

“Republican voters appear to say ‘no thanks’ as the potential for a nomination challenge to Trump becomes more real,” said Murray.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_US_031119/

[Shadows]

Biden 28
Sanders 25
Harris 10
Warren 8
Beto 6
Booker 5
Klobuchar 3

[Xing]

Hard to argue that this isn't a good poll for Sanders. Yeah, it's early, usual words of caution apply, but he has the momentum right now, and Biden's lead is tenuous.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Hard to argue that this isn't a good poll for Sanders. Yeah, it's early, usual words of caution apply, but he has the momentum right now, and Biden's lead is tenuous.

[Mr. Morden]

Full horserace #s:

Biden 28%
Sanders 25%
Harris 10%
Warren 8%
O’Rourke 6%
Booker 5%
Klobuchar 3%
Bloomberg 2%
Brown 1%
Castro 1%
de Blasio 1%
Hickenlooper 1%
Yang 1%
Bennet, Buttigieg, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Holder, Inslee, McAuliffe, Willamson, Bullock, Delaney 0%

They asked the GOP horserace question in a weird way, with these choices for Trump vs. Weld:

firmly for Trump 54%
lean Trump but possible Weld 20%
undecided but possible Weld 10%
Weld 8%

Then for Hogan…

firmly for Trump 55%
lean Trump but possible Hogan 20%
undecided by possible Hogan 11%
Hogan 6%

[Zaybay]

Damn it, the poll took my job!

It takes a lot of work to make those comparison charts, you know?

[7,052,770]

Yang outpolling multiple governors, representatives, and Gillibrand.

[Mr. Morden]

Fav/unfav % among Dems (not sure why they picked people like Williamson for this, but not some of the other candidates):

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Harris keeps posting impressive favorable numbers. Still has the lowest unfavorable rating out of all the front runners. It declined 2 points from their last one.

[junior chįmp]

Terrible poll for clown Biden

[Beet]

Good poll for Sanders. But heartening to see Warren holding strong despite all the new entrants into the race. She's the only one of the top 5 other than Sanders who didn't decline.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Anyone who thinks Biden will win the nomination is delusional.

[MAINEiac4434]

If anything Kamala seems to have lost momentum since announcing.

[cvparty]

i feel so bad for gillibrand lmfao

If anything Kamala seems to have lost momentum since announcing.

i wouldnt read much into it considering there's another year to go until the actual elections

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

RIP Atlas RINOs

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

If anything Kamala seems to have lost momentum since announcing.

I know I sound like the usual Kamala shill that I am, but we still have 11 months till Iowa and the poll states that her favorability rating had the largest jump.

[Bumaye]

I like that stuff. Seriously if Biden doesn't run Bernie marches through as it stands. If Biden runs and it becomes a Biden vs Bernie matchup Bernie's two only major critical points are nullified. Biden is just as old and also a white guy. Of course it's super early and all that.

[Thatkat04]

If polls looks this in January of 2020, I fully expect Sanders to win Iowa, New Hampshire and then Nevada. With that, he gains enough momentum to do much better in South Carolina. With that he becomes the front runner and starts polling better than Biden. Hillary was leading Sanders by double digits nationally and still barely tied in Iowa. Biden should be very worried.

[Harlow]

Is this one of the polls the DNC will be using to determine the debate threshold? If so, that 1% gives Yang even more of a boost in addition to his $65,000 raised in case there are more than 20 candidates who qualify.

[OneJ]

A sample of n=310 respondents said they supported Clinton 61-Sanders 34.

W/ Biden:
Biden - 35% of Clinton supporters and 15% of Sanders '16 supporters.
Sanders - 14% of Clinton supporters and 46% of Sanders '16 supporters.
Harris - 12% of Clinton supporters and 8% of Sanders '16 supporters.
Warren - 8% of Clinton supporters and 6% of Sanders '16 supporters.
O'Rourke - 8% of Clinton supporters and 2% of Sanders '16 supporters.

W/O Biden:
Sanders - 22% of Clinton supporters and 52% of Sanders '16 supporters.
Harris - 17% of Clinton supporters and 11% of Sanders '16 supporters.
Warren - 11% of Clinton supporters and 7% of Sanders '16 supporters.
O'Rourke - 9% of Clinton supporters and 3% of Sanders '16 supporters.

Also, O'Rourke does better with older voters (50+) rather than younger voters (18-49). With Biden, it's 8% and 4% respectively and without Biden, it's 11% and 5% respectively. Beto doesn't seem to be as much of a threat to Sanders that I thought he would be, at least not right now. And Harris does better with younger voters than older voters in this poll while past polls show the opposite.

[Mr. Morden]

Is this one of the polls the DNC will be using to determine the debate threshold? If so, that 1% gives Yang even more of a boost in addition to his $65,000 raised in case there are more than 20 candidates who qualify.

Yes, it's counted by the DNC, but the rules say that each candidate can only count one poll from each polling firm, and Monmouth already had a poll in January, in which almost the exact same list of people got 1% or more (including Yang), so this doesn't do anything for Yang there (but it doesn't matter, if he already has 65,000 donors then he doesn't need to worry about the polls).  The only candidate who got 1% in this one who didn't last time is de Blasio.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Is this one of the polls the DNC will be using to determine the debate threshold? If so, that 1% gives Yang even more of a boost in addition to his $65,000 raised in case there are more than 20 candidates who qualify.

Yes, it's counted by the DNC, but the rules say that each candidate can only count one poll from each polling firm, and Monmouth already had a poll in January, in which almost the exact same list of people got 1% or more (including Yang), so this doesn't do anything for Yang there (but it doesn't matter, if he already has 65,000 donors then he doesn't need to worry about the polls).  The only candidate who got 1% in this one who didn't last time is de Blasio.

If there are more than 20 candidates, he still has to worry about polls.

[The Ex-Factor]

Bill de Blasio being included in this poll is a great case of East Coast media bias. C'mon Monmouth

[Mr. Morden]

Is this one of the polls the DNC will be using to determine the debate threshold? If so, that 1% gives Yang even more of a boost in addition to his $65,000 raised in case there are more than 20 candidates who qualify.

Yes, it's counted by the DNC, but the rules say that each candidate can only count one poll from each polling firm, and Monmouth already had a poll in January, in which almost the exact same list of people got 1% or more (including Yang), so this doesn't do anything for Yang there (but it doesn't matter, if he already has 65,000 donors then he doesn't need to worry about the polls).  The only candidate who got 1% in this one who didn't last time is de Blasio.

If there are more than 20 candidates, he still has to worry about polls.

At the rate we're going, I highly doubt there'll be more than 20 candidates who qualify.

[Shadows]

A sample of n=310 respondents said they supported Clinton 61-Sanders 34.

W/ Biden:
Biden - 35% of Clinton supporters and 15% of Sanders '16 supporters.
Sanders - 14% of Clinton supporters and 46% of Sanders '16 supporters.
Harris - 12% of Clinton supporters and 8% of Sanders '16 supporters.
Warren - 8% of Clinton supporters and 6% of Sanders '16 supporters.
O'Rourke - 8% of Clinton supporters and 2% of Sanders '16 supporters.

W/O Biden:
Sanders - 22% of Clinton supporters and 52% of Sanders '16 supporters.
Harris - 17% of Clinton supporters and 11% of Sanders '16 supporters.
Warren - 11% of Clinton supporters and 7% of Sanders '16 supporters.
O'Rourke - 9% of Clinton supporters and 3% of Sanders '16 supporters.

Also, O'Rourke does better with older voters (50+) rather than younger voters (18-49). With Biden, it's 8% and 4% respectively and without Biden, it's 11% and 5% respectively. Beto doesn't seem to be as much of a threat to Sanders that I thought he would be, at least not right now. And Harris does better with younger voters than older voters in this poll while past polls show the opposite.

Sanders excluding Supers had like 46% of the Pledged delegates so the poll in general oversamples Clinton 2016 voters meaning Biden & Sanders could actually be tired or Sanders could be ahead. Anyways they are both within the margin of error.

Sanders retain around half of this 2016 vote. He has to get that up to 60-70% if he wants to win. His Clinton 2016 voter numbers are better than expected. O'Rourke doesn't seem much of a threat to Sanders' young voter base.