My Current Take On The 2006 Senate Races...

[Keystone Phil]

Polls have shown Democrats leading in Pennsylvania, Missouri, Ohio and Minnesota.

He has PA as lean Dem and aside from one poll (I think it was just one), the McCaskill has been down in MO.

[TheresNoMoney]

The two Rasmussen polls in the MO race had the race tied at 46-46 and the one that just came out had McCaskill up 47-45.

[Keystone Phil]

The two Rasmussen polls in the MO race had the race tied at 46-46 and the one that just came out had McCaskill up 47-45.

Again, only one had her leading. Thanks for restating my point, Scoonie.

[Alcon]

MO and OH I would probably both put at Toss-up (leaning Dem).

I should do a Senate review when I get my laptop back.

[Jake]

Ohio was tough. Taking it from this second, I'd say whoever the Dems get is in a nice place. If it's Brown, they can kiss disgruntled Republicans goodbye. If it's Hackett, they'll have to run the campaign on Bush sucks/GOP sucks because Hackett has only that. Missouri is lean Republican because of Talent's money lead and incumbency. If it gets to May and McCaskill is still up and the money race is tied, then it may be tossup/lean Democrat.

[Defarge]

Since when did MO and MT become competitive?

[Jake]

When Bush started sucking ass in the polls.

[Alcon]

Since when did MO and MT become competitive?

I do not really think Burns (R-MT) is in jeopardy.  He was back when his approval ratings were mediocre, but now that he's net positive, the late tidal wave washing the Montana GOP away will probably not go high enough to knock him off.  At this point, though, the race is unclear - his opponents all have name recognition below 20%, although they have some nice pedigrees, with one representing the conservative Choteau County.

Talent (R-MO) is in trouble, on the other hand.  His opponent, State Auditor Claire McCaskill, is widely respected and has much higher approval ratings, although Talent's are still positive.  Recent polls show the race tied or McCaskill slightly up.  It should be a very interesting one.