CA-45: Laguna Hills city councilman Don Sedgwick (R) in
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Author Topic: CA-45: Laguna Hills city councilman Don Sedgwick (R) in  (Read 574 times)
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« on: March 09, 2019, 07:20:24 PM »
Katie Porter just received her first opponent.
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S019
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« Reply #1 on: March 09, 2019, 07:24:22 PM »
CA-45: Lean D

CA-48: Tossup

CA-39, CA-10: Likely D

CA-49, CA-21: Safe D
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socaldem
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« Reply #2 on: March 11, 2019, 08:17:40 PM »
Republicans are gonna have to do better than that...
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #3 on: March 11, 2019, 08:24:14 PM »

Yeah, I'm not going to worry about a 50-44 Clinton seat that's trending D by the day.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #4 on: March 11, 2019, 11:43:45 PM »
Quote from: Senator ON Progressive on March 11, 2019, 08:24:14 PM

Yeah, I'm not going to worry about a 50-44 Clinton seat that's trending D by the day.

It voted for Cox...but, personally, I am ok with Democrats taking their gains for granted.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #5 on: March 11, 2019, 11:47:52 PM »
Quote from: Young Conservative on March 11, 2019, 11:43:45 PM
Quote from: Senator ON Progressive on March 11, 2019, 08:24:14 PM

Yeah, I'm not going to worry about a 50-44 Clinton seat that's trending D by the day.

It voted for Cox...but, personally, I am ok with Democrats taking their gains for granted.

WV-03 voted for Joe Manchin by 33 points two years before Republicans defeated a 3-decade incumbent by 10 points.

Presidential results matter a lot more in determining where a district is going than Senate or gubernatorial results, it really is that simple.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #6 on: March 12, 2019, 09:11:46 AM »
One if the things he has already made a statement about is his opposition to sanctuary cities, not an ideal policy when a healthy chunk of the district is Hispanic or Social Liberal whites who are looking for a reason to remain loyal Trump's Republican party. I still think we likely see Walters go again here, a move that probably gives her a primary victory but another General Election loss.
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Politician
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« Reply #7 on: March 12, 2019, 10:29:32 AM »
Quote from: TX more competitive than OH on March 12, 2019, 08:49:37 AM
Quote from: Young Conservative on March 11, 2019, 11:43:45 PM
Quote from: Senator ON Progressive on March 11, 2019, 08:24:14 PM

Yeah, I'm not going to worry about a 50-44 Clinton seat that's trending D by the day.

It voted for Cox...but, personally, I am ok with Democrats taking their gains for granted.

Look out Joseph Kennedy III, Charlie Baker won your district in a landslide too!
Cox didn't over-perform Clinton by 60 points.
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Sestak
jk2020
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« Reply #8 on: March 12, 2019, 12:57:10 PM »
This is Likely D.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #9 on: March 14, 2019, 01:56:39 AM »
Likely D for now.

If Trump's approval remains static in the district, I'm assuming Katie will win by about 25,000 votes in a presidential year. If it drops, Kickass Katie will completely bulldoze whoever runs against her.
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