Morning Consult national: Biden 31 Sanders 27 Harris 11 Warren 7 O'Rourke 6
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  Morning Consult national: Biden 31 Sanders 27 Harris 11 Warren 7 O'Rourke 6
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Author Topic: Morning Consult national: Biden 31 Sanders 27 Harris 11 Warren 7 O'Rourke 6  (Read 1337 times)
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jfern
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« on: March 04, 2019, 07:42:51 PM »

Biden 31
Sanders 27
Harris 11
Waren 7
O'Rourke 6
Booker 4
Klobuchar 3
Bloomberg 2
Brown 1
Bullock 1
Buttigieg 1
Castro 1
Gabbard 1
Gillibrand 1
Hickenlooper 1
Holder 1
McAulifee 0
Inslee 0
Delaney 0

https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Political-Intelligence-3.5.19.pdf


Bernie gets 28% of blacks but only 25% of whites. Hmm....
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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« Reply #1 on: March 04, 2019, 08:16:30 PM »
« Edited: March 04, 2019, 08:32:47 PM by Chairman YE »

Biden 31
Sanders 27
Harris 11
Waren 7
O'Rourke 6
Booker 4
Klobuchar 3
Bloomberg 2
Brown 1
Bullock 1
Buttigieg 1
Castro 1
Gabbard 1
Gillibrand 1
Hickenlooper 1
Holder 1
McAulifee 0
Inslee 0
Delaney 0

https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/Political-Intelligence-3.5.19.pdf


Bernie gets 28% of blacks but only 25% of whites. Hmm....


But Atlas told me their “black friends” on Twitter can’t stand that NASTY BERNIE!  
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UWS
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« Reply #2 on: March 04, 2019, 08:35:32 PM »

Surprising that Biden is widely preferred as second choice among Sanders supporters than Warren.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #3 on: March 04, 2019, 08:40:11 PM »

Surprising that Biden is widely preferred as second choice among Sanders supporters than Warren.

It's not actually surprising.

1) Average voters tend to view ideology through a different prism than the average Atlas poster.

2) Polls at this point are name recognition; it makes sense that many Sanders supporters who aren't quite tuned in yet might not recognize Warren but do recognize Biden.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: March 04, 2019, 08:52:00 PM »

Morning Consult isn't the best pollster, and we'll see where things stand in several months, but I don't think Twitter is the best place to make conclusions about how well each candidate is doing with each demographic, despite what a few posters here may believe.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #5 on: March 04, 2019, 09:05:36 PM »

Here's your weekly update:


Biden: 29%/31% (+2%)
Sanders: 27%/27% (+/-0%)
Harris: 10%/11%  (+1%)
Warren: 7%/7% (+/-0%)
O'Rourke: 7%/6%  (-1%)
Booker: 4%/4% (+/-0%)
Bloomberg: 2%/2% (+/-0%)
Klobuchar: 3%/3%  (+/-0%)

All other candidates received 1% or less.
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OneJ
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« Reply #6 on: March 04, 2019, 10:09:47 PM »

 Cry Warren.

Also, this is looking to be one interesting primary for sure.

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: March 04, 2019, 10:29:32 PM »

Hardly anything changed from their last poll.
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #8 on: March 04, 2019, 10:40:21 PM »

These early polls are useless.

Looking at historical primary polling this early on shows us its all pointless
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: March 05, 2019, 07:38:50 AM »

But muh Biden and Sanders surely will collapse!
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #10 on: March 05, 2019, 11:13:54 AM »

More info here:

https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

fav/unfav % among Dems:
Biden 79/11% for +68%
Sanders 75/15% for +60%
Harris 52/11% for +41%
Warren 54/19% for +35%
O’Rourke 43/8% for +35%
Booker 43/12% for +31%
Holder 32/13% for +19%
Gillibrand 32/14% for +18%
Klobuchar 28/13% for +15%
Brown 23/8% for +15%
Castro 25/12% for +13%
Bloomberg 33/23% for +10%
McAuliffe 17/9% for +8%
Buttigieg 13/7% for +6%
Gabbard 16/11% for +5%
Inslee 12/7% for +5%
Hickenlooper 12/8% for +4%
Delaney 13/10% for +3%
Bullock 10/8% for +2%

2nd choices of Biden supporters:
Sanders 28%
Harris 11%
Warren 9%

2nd choice of O’Rourke supporters:
Biden 22%
Sanders 21%
Harris 11%

2nd choice of Sanders supporters:
Biden 29%
Warren 16%
Harris 7%

2nd choice of Harris supporters:
Biden 17%
Sanders 16%
O’Rourke 12%

2nd choice of Warren supporters:
Sanders 17%
Biden 17%
Harris 11%
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History505
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« Reply #11 on: March 05, 2019, 02:48:00 PM »

Biden holding steady in the upper 20s/lower 30s.
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Sestak
jk2020
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« Reply #12 on: March 06, 2019, 02:50:07 PM »

But muh Biden and Sanders surely will collapse!

We are eleven months from Iowa, blockhead.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #13 on: March 07, 2019, 11:36:31 AM »

Came across this article and found a few of the data-points from the poll to be interesting:

Quote
The same poll found that the demographics Sanders is least popular with — at 19 and 17 percent, respectively — are Democrats who make more than $100,000 per year and Democrats who have post-graduate degrees.

Sanders, meanwhile, receives his strongest support support from those making less than $50,000 — a group that is, for the same reasons, much more diverse. The poll found that 30 percent of those with the lowest incomes backed Sanders.

Quote
Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., meanwhile, has half as much support, at 14 percent, among black voters as Sanders, according to supplementary polling data provided to The Intercept by Morning Consult. The findings are drawn from a sample of 2,587 black, likely Democratic primary voters.

Quote
Compared to Sanders in 2015, Harris is already fairly well-known among the Democratic primary electorate, with 79 percent having heard of her. (52 percent view her favorably, to just 11 percent unfavorably.)

Quote
The preference for Sanders among black voters might be better explained by ideology than identity. February’s Harvard-Harris poll found that 56 percent of black voters preferred a “mostly socialist” economic system, against 44 percent who want a “mostly capitalist” one.
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