NC-HPU: Cooper +16 Net Approval
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  NC-HPU: Cooper +16 Net Approval
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Author Topic: NC-HPU: Cooper +16 Net Approval  (Read 2276 times)
Zaybay
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« on: February 15, 2019, 05:12:25 PM »

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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #1 on: February 17, 2019, 11:00:55 PM »

The burgeoning Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs will destroy Trump in NC if he makes it to 2020.
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Xing
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« Reply #2 on: February 17, 2019, 11:02:34 PM »

If his approval is still this high on Election Day, he should be fine.
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #3 on: February 18, 2019, 12:29:05 AM »

I have this one as tilt/lean R, honestly. It’s a presidential year in an absurdly inelastic state, Trump will be on the ballot, and polarization is at an all-time high.

Cooper won in 2016 despite Trump carrying the state.
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #4 on: February 18, 2019, 12:31:42 AM »

I have this one as tilt/lean R, honestly. It’s a presidential year in an absurdly inelastic state, Trump will be on the ballot, and polarization is at an all-time high.

Agreed. North Carolina is very similar to Alabama in that they're both very inelastic, polarized Southern states. Cooper will also be facing a stronger opponent than Pat McCrory. This one's closer to likely R than lean.
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #5 on: February 18, 2019, 12:36:12 AM »

The burgeoning Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs will destroy Trump in NC if he makes it to 2020.

You have to keep in mind that the Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs are Southern. These suburbs will never vote Democrat because despite the delusions of some here they are very, very INELASTIC.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #6 on: February 18, 2019, 04:23:18 AM »

The burgeoning Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs will destroy Trump in NC if he makes it to 2020.

You have to keep in mind that the Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs are Southern. These suburbs will never vote Democrat because despite the delusions of some here they are very, very INELASTIC.

If that was true Mark Harris would not have cheated to "beat" Dan McCready.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #7 on: February 18, 2019, 05:08:42 AM »

The burgeoning Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs will destroy Trump in NC if he makes it to 2020.

You have to keep in mind that the Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs are Southern. These suburbs will never vote Democrat because despite the delusions of some here they are very, very INELASTIC.

This is some A+ content.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #8 on: February 18, 2019, 10:16:29 AM »

I have this one as tilt/lean R, honestly. It’s a presidential year in an absurdly inelastic state, Trump will be on the ballot, and polarization is at an all-time high.

Agreed. North Carolina is very similar to Alabama in that they're both very inelastic, polarized Southern states. Cooper will also be facing a stronger opponent than Pat McCrory. This one's closer to likely R than lean.

NC absolutely is somewhat inelastic and polarized, no educated or sane person would deny this. No one, least of all me would compare it to states like AL/MS, so I'm not sure what you clowns are supposed to be parodying.
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Smash255
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« Reply #9 on: February 18, 2019, 11:34:22 AM »

The burgeoning Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs will destroy Trump in NC if he makes it to 2020.

You have to keep in mind that the Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs are Southern. These suburbs will never vote Democrat because despite the delusions of some here they are very, very INELASTIC.

Yes, because Cary, NC is the same as suburbs in the deep south....
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MassBlueDog
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« Reply #10 on: February 18, 2019, 12:47:28 PM »

I have this one as tilt/lean R, honestly. It’s a presidential year in an absurdly inelastic state, Trump will be on the ballot, and polarization is at an all-time high.

Agreed. North Carolina is very similar to Alabama in that they're both very inelastic, polarized Southern states. Cooper will also be facing a stronger opponent than Pat McCrory. This one's closer to likely R than lean.

...North Carolina is now Alabama?  So why did Kay Hagan lose by an absurdly close margin in a red wave year while Jeff Sessions ran unopposed cause no Democrat would dare challenge him?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #11 on: February 18, 2019, 01:33:01 PM »

The burgeoning Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs will destroy Trump in NC if he makes it to 2020.

You have to keep in mind that the Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs are Southern. These suburbs will never vote Democrat because despite the delusions of some here they are very, very INELASTIC.

I guess Atlanta, Richmond, Dallas, and Huston suburbs are Yankee now.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #12 on: February 18, 2019, 02:16:43 PM »

Strong Lean R/Weak Likely R
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SATW
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« Reply #13 on: February 18, 2019, 02:54:04 PM »

Cooper wins by by 5 to 8 points in 2020. Pat McCrory was the lone GOP Gov of NC since Jim Martin, R-NC, left office in 1993.

NC is not WV and has been a consistent swing state since 2008, even if it leans GOP.

Dan Forest is a good candidate, and I support him, but Cooper looks like he is in good shape.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #14 on: February 18, 2019, 10:07:53 PM »

The burgeoning Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs will destroy Trump in NC if he makes it to 2020.

You have to keep in mind that the Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs are Southern. These suburbs will never vote Democrat because despite the delusions of some here they are very, very INELASTIC.

I guess Atlanta, Richmond, Dallas, and Huston suburbs are Yankee now.

Well, to an extent they are.  Especially Richmond on down to Atlanta.  The high education levels haven't been generated just internally but by immigration of educated Northerners.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #15 on: February 18, 2019, 10:52:48 PM »

The burgeoning Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs will destroy Trump in NC if he makes it to 2020.

You have to keep in mind that the Raleigh/Charlotte suburbs are Southern. These suburbs will never vote Democrat because despite the delusions of some here they are very, very INELASTIC.

Yes, because Cary, NC is the same as suburbs in the deep south....
This. Cary, Apex, Holly Springs are kind of like Chester, PA. I wouldn't be surprised if dems got 65 % in wake in the next decade(probably not in 2020 but around 2024-2028)
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