2024: Steve King (R-IA) vs Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY)

[pondscum]

What would the map look like?

[Grassroots]

Steve King wins, and the map would be purely by racial lines.

[lfromnj]

AOC wins easily.

She may be a bit crazy but isn't a NAZI.

Omar might be interesting though.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

By that point, AOC's views are more mainstream, and she is much more competent than she is now.

probably something like this

[Politician]

An anti-Trump Republican runs third party and wins a couple states, and splits the Republican vote allowing Ocasio-Cortez to win a landslide victory.

[Medal506]

AOC wins easily.

She may be a bit crazy but isn't a NAZI.

Omar might be interesting though.

She's a follower of Linda Sarsour and Steve King is a staunch supporter of Israel yet somehow King is the Nazi?

[Medal506]

By that point, AOC's views are more mainstream, and she is much more competent than she is now.

probably something like this

I wouldn't say banning cows is such a mainstream view

[Medal506]

King wins over 60% of the popular vote as well.

[S019]

The GOP disavows Steve King
The Establishment Dems disavow AOC

Both parties instead hold conventions and nominate 3rd party candidates

The Right Wing Conservative Party: John Cornyn

The Left Wing Liberal Party: Steny Hoyer

https://www.270towin.com/maps/dQ06X

Tossup is Hoyer
Independent is Cornyn

The Election is the first since 1824 to go to the House

The GOP controlled House delegation (even though Dems control the chamber)
elects John Cornyn with 26 votes, Steny Hoyer gets 23 votes.

This scenario is like this, because if this was the election, party elites would work to get third party candidates on the ballot and send it to the House, which is controlled by party elites and not firebrands