Midnight in America

[morgankingsley]

I am honestly amazed (and glad) that impeachment has only been mentioned once in this. In every other timeline with trump, impeachment is like every sixth word in the timelines

That’s why I barely read most timelines here tbh. But this is more than believable. Keep up the great work!

Impeachment is certainly going to come up again, but there is a lot of reasons why Democrats are avoiding impeachment.

What I like about this timeline is that you fully air out the process - 99% of new timelines start automatically with Trump getting impeached and then Pence losing reelection. This timeline is more in depth, and regardless of what happens in the end I’m almost certain that it’ll be believable.

This sort of reminds me of nj_dem's TL and how believable it is and I wonder if this will go after 2024.

Which timeline is that

Sun and Moon
It's not a modern TL but it is set in 2040 and it is really good, there is even some photoshops in it.

Oh I remember that one. Hasn't updated in nearly a year. Practically dead by now

[Edgeofnight]

This sort of reminds me of nj_dem's TL and how believable it is and I wonder if this will go after 2024.

The rest of 2021 is written, for the most part. I revise things quite often, which is why parts don't come out quickly. From there, I have an outline of 2022, including the 2022 elections. I know roughly what will happen in 2023 and 2024. From there, I have a very rough mental image of the timeline continuing on from there. Whether or not it does depends on how much time I am willing to commit and how busy I am, but i have an idea of where this timeline will be in 2040, so its more than possible for me to continue it that far at least.

As for everyone else's comments, I appreciate the kind reads and the fact you read this. I write this timeline to destress from IRL stuff, so I'm glad people are enjoying it. I agree that impeachment is overblown in a lot of timelines, however, I'd be lying if I said that impeachment won't be a plot point later in the timeline. In fact, its going to become relevant towards the end of 2021. However, at first at least, more of the focus will be on the internal debate among the Democratic party about how to approach impeaching Trump, if they even should at all.

[LoneStarDem]

I'm assuming McAuliffe won his old job back in VA.

Hoping Murphy wins reelection in NJ.

[Edgeofnight]

April 25th, 2021

Ken Paxton running for Texas Governor

   Republicans aren’t waiting for Abbott to make a decision. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton will seek the state’s highest office, as the incumbent Governor quite openly flirts with whether or not to seek a third term. Paxton is likely to be a serious contender regardless of Abbott's final decision on whether or not to run again for a third term.

April 27th, 2021

Riggleman is gaining steam while Wittman and Vogel stumble

   Congressman Denver Riggleman is gaining on his challengers, now polling second in the race for the Republican nomination for Governor. He has quickly risen in the race as the two front runners have taken shots at each other.

April 30th, 2021

Senator Chuck Grassley to retire, setting up for the first serious battle for the Iowa Senate Seat in decades.

     Senator Chuck Grassley has announced that he will not seek re-election in the 2022 midterms. Grassley consistently won by large margins, but his retirement throws the seat into jeopardy for Republicans. The race is likely to be one of if not the closest watched Senate races in the 2022 midterms. Joni Ernst was able to hold on to her senate seat in 2020 despite democrats gaining seats nationwide

May 1st. 2021

Lee Carter’s enigmatic Rise

   Democratic Socialist Lee Carter has been gaining steam in the Virginia Gubernatorial race. The little-known state legislator has risen to second place in the Democratic Primary polling. This rise in the polls has come with a rise in fundraising as well. Carter has raised the second most of any candidate competing for the Democratic Nomination, and the third most of all candidates competing for Governor. Carter started the race as a little known state legislator and was characterized as "too-far-left" for Virginia politics. Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney has attacked Carter’s fundraising, stating that “People form New York and California shouldn’t dictate who wins a race in Virginia.”

May 3rd, 2021

Lisa Murkowski breaks with Republican party, joins Manchin and Bredesen in SAM.

   Alaska Senator and moderate Republican Lisa Murkowski has announced her intentions to break with the Republican Party. Murkowski cited “increasing frustration” with the party’s “vapid embrace of a destructive ideology.” This moves means that for the first time since 1968, no Republican Represents Alaska in the U.S. Senate.

May 9th, 2021

Crowded race to replace de Blasio growing in New York City

   In the race to replace term limited Mayor Bill De Blasio, the number of candidates has grown again. Former State Senator Daniel Squadron has become the eighth Democrat to enter the race. He is running against former Congressman Joe Crowley, Former City Councilor Melissa Mark-Viverito, City Comptroller Scott Stringer, City Council Speaker Corey Johnson, Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr., State Assemblyman Michael Blake, and Professor David Eisenbach. Three Republicans remain in the race: Businessman Paul Massey, City Councilor Eric Ulrich, and former detective Bo Dietl.  

May 11th, 2021

Trump wades into Virginia and New Jersey Primaries. Endorses insurgents in both races.

   President Trump, seemingly over the protests of National Republicans and even some of his own advisers, has made endorsements in both the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections. In Virginia, President Trump has endorsed, and members of his family have donated to Congressman Denver Riggleman’s campaign for governor, with the President calling him “a really good guy. Phenomnal Guy.” Trump issued a similar statement in support of John McCann in the New Jersey Gubernatorial primary, who is running a long shot campaign against frontrunner Bob Hugin.

May 12th, 2021

Murphy rebounding while Gottheimer and Wisniewski attack each other.

   6 months ago, Governor Phil Murphy was at serious risk of losing his own party’s nomination. Now, however, his approval rating among Democrats, and as a result overall approval rating, has increased steadily. In November 2020, his approval among Democrats was down to 54%. Now, its risen to 68%. Meanwhile, his competitors for the Democratic nomination have spent more time targeting each other than the governor. Gottheimer has accused both of his opponents of being "spoilers" while Wisniewski has attacked Gottheimer, calling him "Bob Hugin in denial."

May 13th, 2021

Hardiman confirmed by a 51-50 vote to the Supreme Court.

   Judge Thomas Hardiman has been confirmed to the highest court in the land to replace the late Justice Ginsburg. Hardiman’s nomination comes after several other failed nominations, and after much speculation about whether or not Republicans could secure the votes to pass his nomination. However, with the Vice President’s Tie Breaking Power, Republicans got their guy. His confirmation shifts the ideological balance of the court, 6-3 in favor of the Conservative block. Hardiman’s judicial positions make him the new ideological center of the court as well.  

2022 Generic Ballot Polling:
Democrats -- 44% (-4%)
Republicans -- 41% (+3%)
Serve America Movement -- 10% (+3%)
Undecided/Others -- 6%
DEMOCRATS +3%

Approval of Donald Trump:
Disapprove -- 51% (-3%)
Approve -- 42% (+4%)
Unsure -- 7% (-1%)

Do you approve of Thomas Hardiman's nomination to the Supreme Court?
Yes -- 54% (+2%)
No -- 38% (-1%)
Unsure -- 7%


New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Democratic Primary:
Governor Phil Murphy -- 34% (+2%)
Fmr. State Assemblymember John Wisniewski -- 26% (+1%)
Congressmen Josh Gottheimer -- 23% (-2%)
Mr. Titus Pierce -- 8% (-2%)
Undecided/Others -- 9% (--)
MURPHY +8%

New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Republican Primary:
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 45% (-4%)
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 27% (+10%)
Fmr. Mayor Randy Brown -- 13% (-4%)
Undecided/Others -- 15% (-2%)
HUGIN +18%


Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 25% (+1%)
State Delegate Lee Carter -- 21% (+5%)
Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton -- 15% (-2%)
Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney -- 12% (+1%)
State Attorney General Mark Herring -- 9% (-1%)
Lt. Governor Justin Fairfax -- 5% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 12% (-3%)
MCAULIFFE +4%

Virginia Republican Gubernatorial Primary:
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 28% (+6%)
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 22% (-2%)
State Senator Jill Vogel -- 20% (-4%)
Fmr. Congresswoman Barbra Comstock -- 8% (-1%)
State Delegate Nick Freitas -- 6% (-1%)
Mr. John Adams -- 5% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 11% (+1%)
RIGGLEMAN +6%

New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary:
Fmr. Congressman Joe Crowley -- 19%
City Comptroller Scott Stringer -- 15%
City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 15%
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 13%
Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr. -- 9%
Fmr. State Senator Daniel Squadron -- 9%
State Assemblymember Michael Blake -- 7%
Dr. David Eisenbach -- 3%
Undecided/Others -- 10%
CROWLEY +4%

New York Mayor Republican Primary
Mr. Paul Massey -- 43%
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 37%
Mr. Bo Deitl -- 4%
Undecided/Others -- 16%
MASSEY +6%

Texas Governor Republican Primary (Abbott in):
Governor Greg Abbott -- 68%
[Attorney General Ken Paxton -- 17%
Undecided/Other -- 15%
PAXTON +17%

Texas Governor Republican Primary (Abbott Out):
Land Commissioner George P. Bush -- 21%
[Attorney General Ken Paxton -- 21%
Lt. Governor Dan Patrick -- 13%
Congressman Dan Crenshaw -- 13%
Fmr. State House Speaker Joe Strauss -- 11%
Undecided/Other -- 21% (-3%)
PAXTON +21%

Texas Governor Democratic Primary:
Fmr. HUD Secretary Julian Castro -- 19%
State Rep. Rafael Anchia -- 15%
State House Speaker Pro Tempore Joe Moody -- 13%
Mrs. Eva Longaria -- 13% (+1%)
State Rep. Gene Wu -- 11%
Fmr. Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez -- 9%
Mr. Andrew White -- 7%
Undecided/Others -- 14%
LONGARIA +13%


New Jersey General Election Polling

Mr. Bob Hugin -- 46%
Governor Phil Murphy -- 44%
HUGIN +2%

Governor Phil Murphy -- 49%
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 40%
MURPHY +9%


Mr. Bob Hugin -- 45%
Fmr. State Assemblymember John Wisniewski -- 44%
HUGIN +1%

Fmr. State Assemblymember John Wisniewski -- 48%
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 41%
WISNIEWSKI +7%

Generic Democrat -- 50%
Generic Republican -- 43%
DEMOCRAT +7%


Virginia General Election Polling:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 49%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 45%
MCAULIFFE +4%

Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 49%
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 45%
MCAULIFFE +5%

State Delegate Lee Carter -- 46%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 46%
EVEN

State Delegate Lee Carter -- 46%
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 44%
CARTER +2%


Generic Democrat -- 49%
Generic Republican -- 45%
DEMOCRAT +4%

[Continential]

I thought Andrew Yang was running for mayor?

[LoneStarDem]

Paxton will get crushed by Abbott.

[Continential]

Also, Castro is leading by 4%

[LoneStarDem]

Also, Castro is leading by 4%

I still think Abbott wins reelection in this TL.

[Edgeofnight]

I thought Andrew Yang was running for mayor?

Yes, he’s running as an independent though.

Also, Castro is leading by 4%

It goes only by the declared candidates. Longoria is the only candidate running currently.

Also, Castro is leading by 4%

I still think Abbott wins reelection in this TL.

Just remember Abbott is still yet to declare.

[LoneStarDem]

I thought Andrew Yang was running for mayor?

Yes, he’s running as an independent though.

Also, Castro is leading by 4%

It goes only by the declared candidates. Longoria is the only candidate running currently.

Also, Castro is leading by 4%

I still think Abbott wins reelection in this TL.

Just remember Abbott is still yet to declare.

What are his approval ratings in this TL ? I'm assuming 60+%.

[Edgeofnight]

What are his approval ratings in this TL ? I'm assuming 60+%.

Probably lower. Around mid to high 50s,

[Edgeofnight]

The Confirmation of Justice Thomas Hardiman

The confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Thomas Hardiman was the first major victory of the Trump Administration's second term. Hardiman's nomination came after two other failed nominees. The After several weeks of discussion and debate, much of it behind closed doors, The senate voted on Hardiman's nomination on May 13th, 2021. Up until the vote actually occurred, no one was truly sure if he would be confirmed. Several senators remained silently undecided, and several where public in their hesitations. Still, in the end, and in a surprising vote, Hardiman was confirmed, 51-50, the first time the Vice President's tie breaking powers where invoked in a Supreme Court vote.

Vote on Thomas M. Hardiman's nomination to the Surpeme Court
Aye's (51)
Alhquist (R-ID)
Barrasso (R-WY)
Blackburn (R-TN)
Blunt (R-MO)
Boozman (R-AR)
Bredesen (SAM-TN)
Burr (R-NC)
Byrne (R-AL)
Cardin (D-MD)
Carper (D-DE)
Cassidy (R-LA)
Cotton (R-AR)
Crapo (R-ID)
Cruz (R-TX)
Donnelly (D-IN)
Ernst (R-IA)
Feinstein (D-CA)
Fischer (R-NE)
Grassley (R-IA)
Hietkamp (D-ND)
Hoeven (R-ND)
Hyde-Smith (R-MS)
Isakson (R-GA)
Johnson (R-WI)
J. N. Kennedy (R-LA)
Krist (SAM-NE)
Lamb (R-OK)
Lankford (R-KS)
Lee (R-UT)
Manchin (SAM-WV)
McCaskill (D-MO)
McConnell (R-KY)
Mead (R-WY)
Moore Capito (R-WV)
Moran (R-KS)
Murkowski (SAM-AK)
Nelson (D-FL)
Orman (SAM-KS)
Paul (R-KY)
Portman (R-OH)
Romney (R-UT)
Rounds (R-SD)
Rubio (R-FL)
Scott  (R-SC)
Shelby (R-AL)
Thune (R-SD)
Toomey (R-PA)
J. Warren (R-SC)
Wicker (R-MS)
Young (R-IN)
Vice President Pence (R-IN)

Nay's (50)
Baldwin (D-WI)
Bennet (D-CO)
Biss (D-IL)
Blumenthal (D-CT)
Booker (D-NJ)
Brown (D-OH)
Bullock (D-MT)
Cantwell (D-WA)
Casey (D-PA)
Coons (D-DE)
Cortez Masto (D-NV)
Duckworth (D-IL)
Duran (D-CO)
Gillibrand (D-NY)
Harris (D-CA)
Hassan (D-NH)
Heinrich (D-NM)
Hirono (D-HI)
Jackson (D-NC)
Kaine (D-VA)
J. P. Kennedy (D-MA)
King (I-MD)
Klobuchar (D-MN)
Kriess Tomkins (D-AK)
Leahy (D-VT)
Lopez (D-AZ)
Lujan (D-NM)
Menendez (D-NJ)
Merkley (D-OR)
Murphy (D-CT)
Murray (D-WA)
O'Rourke (D-TV)
Perriello (D-VA)
Peters (D-MI)
Pingree (D-ME)
Reed (D-RI)
Riggs Amico (D-GA)
Rosen (D-NV)
Sanders (I-VT)
Schatz (D-HI)
Schumer (D-NY)
Shaheen (D-NH)
Sinema (D-AZ)
Smith (D-MN)
Stabbenow (D-MI)
Tester (D-MT)
Van Hollen (D-MD)
E. Warren (D-MA)
Whitehouse (D-RI)
Wyden (D-OR)

In Red, states where both Senators voted against Hardiman's nomination. In blue, states where both senators voted in favor of Hardiman's nomination. In Green, states where one senator voted for Hardiman's nomination, and one against.

[LoneStarDem]

Let me guess: Abbott had a dreadful legislative session ?

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

I refuse to believe that Trump would ever endorse someone whose name sounds like John McCain.

[Edgeofnight]

Alright let me be real here:

after the next update, which is 90% done, I am gonna be re-writing the stuff I have worked on.  I'm gonna play around with how I format updates and posts. I want to do more original content (infoboxes, maps, news updates, etc.). I'm gonna be playing around with the new formatting and how that will impact the level of detail the timeline will cover. Bear with me, and please be sure to let me know what you think.

The next update will go up in the old format, while the subsequent update will go up in the new format. 

[Edgeofnight]

May 14th, 2021

Protests rise in response to Supreme Court vote.

   Across the Country, protests have risen in response to Hardiman’s confirmation. The activist wing of the Democratic Party regularly expressed their opposition to the nomination, and they are furious with Senate Democrats for allowing his confirmation. Organizations such as Our Revolution and the Justice Democrats have raised large sums of money, and have announced plans to launch primary challenges to “several” Democratic senators in 2022 and beyond.

May 16th, 2021

Trump, Republicans, receive bump after Hardiman’s confirmation

   President Trump and Congressional Republicans have received a strong polling and fundraising bump following Hardiman’s confirmation. The news comes as Republicans look to claw their way out of deep minorities in both the House and Senate.

May 19th, 2021

Tulsi Gabbard Selected to head Our Revolution as rumors about 2024 circulate

   The Hawaii Congresswoman, and 2020 Democratic VP nominee, has been selected to lead the activist organization Our Revolution, which sprung from Senator Sanders’ 2016 campaign and helped him secure victory in the 2020 Primaries. The Hawaii Congresswoman will resign her house seat to lead the organization. This news comes as rumors of Gabbard’s presidential ambition swirl in Washington and across the Democratic Party.

May 21st, 2021

Greg Abbott confirms retirement rumors, will not seek re-election.

   The Texas Governor has confirmed the rumors that he will not seek a third term in office. Governor Abbott announced at a press conference that he would retire at the end of his current term.  “I have been honored to serve as Governor of this great state.

May 21st, 2021

Fetterman running against Toomey.

   Lt. Governor John Fetterman has announced that he will run against Pennsylvania Republican Senator Pat Toomey in the upcoming senate election. Fetterman is considered a top tier candidate against arguably the most vulnerable Republican Senator.

May 24th, 2021

Andrew White running for Texas Governor

   The Texas Businessman, Son of the former Governor, and 2018 primary runner up Andrew White has announced a second campaign for governor. “Democrats need an outsider candidate to take back the state.” White said in his announcement speech.

May 25th, 2021

Squadron impresses and Stringer falters.

   At a Democratic primary debate, Former State Senator Daniel Squadron impressed voters with his performance. Meanwhile, City Comptroller Scott Stringer was stuck with the problem of being perceived as “boring” compared to other candidates.

May 26th, 2021

Jill Vogel withdraws from Gubernatorial Election

     The Virginia State Senator polling numbers had been in collapse for the past few weeks, and she announced at a tearful press conference that she was grateful for the support that she had received, however she did not believe that a path to the nomination remained open. She did not offer any endorsement, but pledged to support Republicans up and down the ballot.

May 29th, 2021

Bob Krist for President? Nebraska Senator stresses need for “centrist presidential bid.”

   The Republican-turned-Independent-turned-Democrat-turned-Independent at a town hall event stressed the need for an independent campaign for president, rebuking the notions that his third party, the Serve America Movement helped hand Donald Trump the Presidency. “When both sides run to the extremes, there needs to be a centrist in the conversation,” said the senator, adding “it’s for the good of all Americans.”

May 30th, 2021

Virginia Primary set to test Democratic and Republican Mood over Parties’, Country’s direction

   In both the Democratic and Republican Primaries, the expected front runners have been upended. The question for the Democrats will be if they are ready to accept a devout Democratic Socialist, or will they prefer a more known quality. On the Republican side, Trump's unwavering support within the Republican party has come into question since the 2020 primaries. Does he still hold enough sway to get his top pick for the nomination?


2022 Generic Ballot Polling:
Democrats -- 44% (--)
Republicans -- 42% (+1%)
Serve America Movement -- 9% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 6%
DEMOCRATS +2%

Approval of Donald Trump:
Disapprove -- 50% (-1%)
Approve -- 42% (--%)
Unsure -- 8% (+1%)


New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Democratic Primary:
Governor Phil Murphy -- 36% (+2%)
Fmr. State Assemblymember John Wisniewski -- 27% (+1%)
Congressmen Josh Gottheimer -- 22% (-1%)
Mr. Titus Pierce -- 7% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 8% (-1%)
MURPHY +9%

New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Republican Primary:
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 42% (-3%)
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 31% (+4%)
Fmr. Mayor Randy Brown -- 13% (--%)
Undecided/Others -- 14% (-1%)
HUGIN +18%


Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 25% (--%)
State Delegate Lee Carter -- 23% (+2%)
Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton -- 15% (--%)
Richmond Mayor Levar Stoney -- 11% (-1%)
State Attorney General Mark Herring -- 8% (-1%)
Lt. Governor Justin Fairfax -- 5% (--)
Undecided/Others -- 12% (--)
MCAULIFFE +2%

Virginia Republican Gubernatorial Primary:
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 34% (+8%)
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 26% (+4%)
Fmr. Congresswoman Barbra Comstock -- 12% (+4%)
State Delegate Nick Freitas -- 6% (--)
Mr. John Adams -- 5% (--)
Undecided/Others -- 17% (+6%)
RIGGLEMAN +8%

New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary:
Fmr. Congressman Joe Crowley -- 17% (-2%)
City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 14% (-1%)
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 13% (--)
City Comptroller Scott Stringer -- 12% (-3%)
Fmr. State Senator Daniel Squadron -- 11% (+2%)
Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr. -- 10% (+1%)
State Assemblymember Michael Blake -- 10% (+2%)
Dr. David Eisenbach -- 3% (--)
Undecided/Others -- 10% (--)
CROWLEY +3%

New York Mayor Republican Primary
Mr. Paul Massey -- 45% (+2%)
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 39% (+2%)
Mr. Bo Deitl -- 5% (+1%)
Undecided/Others -- 11% (-5%)
MASSEY +6%


Texas Governor Republican Primary:
Land Commissioner George P. Bush -- 23%
Attorney General Ken Paxton -- 20% (-1%)
Lt. Governor Dan Patrick -- 14%
Congressman Dan Crenshaw -- 10%
Fmr. State House Speaker Joe Strauss -- 9%
Undecided/Other -- 24% (+3%)
PAXTON +20%

Texas Governor Democratic Primary:
Fmr. HUD Secretary Julian Castro -- 20%
State Rep. Rafael Anchia -- 16%
State House Speaker Pro Tempore Joe Moody -- 14%
Mrs. Eva Longaria -- 14% (+1%)
State Rep. Gene Wu -- 10%
Mr. Andrew White -- 9% (+2%)
Undecided/Others -- 14%
LONGARIA +5%


New Jersey General Election Polling

Mr. Bob Hugin -- 45%
Governor Phil Murphy -- 44%
HUGIN +1%

Governor Phil Murphy -- 50%
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 41%
MURPHY +9%


Fmr. State Assemblymember John Wisniewski -- 45%
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 43%
WISNIEWSKI +1%

Fmr. State Assemblymember John Wisniewski -- 47%
Fmr. Cresskill Borough Councilman John McCann -- 39%
WISNIEWSKI +8%

Generic Democrat -- 51%
Generic Republican -- 42%
DEMOCRAT +9%


Virginia General Election Polling:
Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 48%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 45%
MCAULIFFE +3%

Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 49%
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 44%
MCAULIFFE +5%

State Delegate Lee Carter -- 47%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 47%
EVEN

State Delegate Lee Carter -- 47%
Congressman Rob Wittman -- 44%
CARTER +3%

Generic Democrat -- 47%
Generic Republican -- 43%
DEMOCRAT +4%

You probably noticed there are no pictures, this is to reduce the number of copywritten images in this timeline. Going forward, almost all of the images I use will be oc in part for this reason.

[Edgeofnight]

June 8th, 2021

Virginia Primary Results set stage for November Election, sort of.

In the race for to replace Ralph Northam, Democrats still don't have a candidate. With 97% of the vote in, both State Delegate Lee Carter and former Governor Terry McAuliffe sit with around 30% of the vote each, with Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton in a distant third. A recount will likely be held, regardless of who ends up on top, but right now Carter leads McAuliffe by roughly 500 votes.

Meanwhile, on the Republican side, Congressman Denver Riggleman easily coasted to victory. With the support of President Trump, and deep personal wealth, Riggleman easily captured the Republican nomination, and will face whoever the Democrats nominate in the fall.

June 8th, 2021

June 23rd, 2021

The moderate two term congressman first won election to the house in a tightly fought 2017 Special election. Since then, he has become something of a rising star within his own party, and has become a leader figure on several key issues, most recently gerrymandering, where he filled legislation to explicitly criminalize partisan gerrymandering.

2022 Generic Ballot Polling:
Democrats -- 45% (+1%)
Republicans -- 42% (--)
Serve America Movement -- 7% (-2%)
Undecided/Others -- 7%
DEMOCRATS +3%

Approval of Donald Trump:
Disapprove -- 50% (--%)
Approve -- 43% (+1%)
Unsure -- 7% (-1%)


New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary:
Fmr. Congressman Joe Crowley -- 16% (-1%)
City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 14% (--)
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 14% (+1%)
City Comptroller Scott Stringer -- 12% (--)
Fmr. State Senator Daniel Squadron -- 12% (+1%)
Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr. -- 10% (--%)
State Assemblymember Michael Blake -- 10% (--%)
Dr. David Eisenbach -- 2% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 10% (--)
CROWLEY +2%

New York Mayor Republican Primary
Mr. Paul Massey -- 44% (-1%)
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 41% (+2%)
Mr. Bo Deitl -- 4% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 11% (--)
MASSEY +3%


Texas Governor Republican Primary:
Land Commissioner George P. Bush -- 25%
Attorney General Ken Paxton -- 22% (+2%)
Lt. Governor Dan Patrick -- 16%
Fmr. State House Speaker Joe Strauss -- 13%
Undecided/Other -- 24% (+3%)
PAXTON +22%

Texas Governor Democratic Primary:
Fmr. HUD Secretary Julian Castro -- 21%
State Rep. Rafael Anchia -- 18%
Mrs. Eva Longaria -- 17% (+3%)
Mr. Andrew White -- 13% (+4%)
State Rep. Gene Wu -- 12%
Undecided/Others -- 19% (+5%)
LONGARIA +5%


Governor Phil Murphy -- 46%
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 45%
MURPHY +1%

Fmr. Governor Terry McAuliffe -- 47%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 46%
MCAULIFFE +1%

State Delegate Lee Carter -- 46%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 46%
EVEN

[You don't see any blue avatars now]

Can't wait for PharmaBob to blow it. Sad about Wis, though.

[morgankingsley]

Interesting how Trump's approval is slowly on the rise in his first year of his second term. Maybe people are just completely desensitized to everything he says by now?

[Huey Long is a Republican]

Interesting how Trump's approval is slowly on the rise in his first year of his second term. Maybe people are just completely desensitized to everything he says by now?

It's very likely. Eventually, you just get used to how he speaks and judge him based on his job as President instead of how he speaks.

[nerd73]

Enjoying this TL so far. Hopefully Lee Carter doesn't win the primaries.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

BIG LEE destroys centrist McAulliffe

[Edgeofnight]

June 23rd, 2021

The young Democratic Socialist prevails against long odds to win an upset against the well funded and well liked former Governor. Carter has shocked the political scene in Virginia, and many in the state Democratic party are cautious about his candidacy, with one staffer stating anonymously "He's not tested. We don't know if he's ready or able to win this. He's a liability."

June 26th, 2021

Sen. Rand Paul: "I will not seek another term in office"

Kentucky Senator and prominent libertarian Republican Rand Paul announced today his decision to not seek a third term in office. He becomes one of may prominent Republicans not seeking re-election and the first Republican Senator to bow out of the renomination contest.

June 29th, 2021
Longoria earns several endorsements in Texas Gubernatorial Contest

The actress, activist, and outsider candidate has snagged several key endorsements in the race to become the Texas Democrats next lost cause. Notably, she has been endorsed by Dallas Mayor Eric Johnson, MJ Hegar, a veteran, twice failed congressional candidate, and candidate for Lt. Governor, and Gene Wu, a State Representative who once flirted with his own bid. And, although she lacks a formal endorsement, she has recived online support from various progressive groups, including the Justice Democrats among others, making her their "de-facto candidate"

June 30th, 2021
Jon Husted for Governor

The Republican party lost a closely fought race in 2018, but Jon Husted believes that he and his party have learned from that and can oust Richard Codray. In his announcement speech, Husted attacked the incumbent Governor, accusing him of "using the state as a stepping stone." He also attacked interparty rivals, former Congressman Jim Rennaci, fmr. State Treasurer Josh Mandel,  and Fmr. Lt Governor Mary Taylor. Husted currently claims the "frontrunner" title, although several other Republicans are considering entering the race.

2022 Generic Ballot Polling:
Democrats -- 47% (+2%)
Republicans -- 41% (-1%)
Serve America Movement -- 6% (-1%)
Undecided/Others -- 7%
DEMOCRATS +6%

Approval of Donald Trump:
Disapprove -- 51% (+1%)
Approve -- 40% (-3%)
Unsure -- 9% (+2%)


New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary:
City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 15% (+1%)
Fmr. Congressman Joe Crowley -- 14% (-2%)
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 14%** (--%)
Fmr. State Senator Daniel Squadron -- 13%*** (+1%)
City Comptroller Scott Stringer -- 12% (-1%)
State Assemblymember Michael Blake -- 11% (+1%)
Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr. -- 9% (-1%)
Dr. David Eisenbach -- 2% (--%)
Undecided/Others -- 10% (--)
JOHNSON +2%

**Endorsed by the Women's Equality Party
***Endorsed by the Working Families Party

New York Mayor Republican Primary
Mr. Paul Massey -- 43%** (-1%)
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 42%*** (+1%)
Mr. Bo Deitl -- 4% (--%)
Undecided/Others -- 11% (--)
MASSEY +1%

**Endorsed by the Conservative Party
***Endorsed by the Independence Party, also seeking Reform Party Nomination against Sal Albanese and several others, and the SAM nomination unopposed.


Texas Governor Republican Primary:
Land Commissioner George P. Bush -- 27%
Attorney General Ken Paxton -- 24% (+2%)
Lt. Governor Dan Patrick -- 19%
Fmr. State House Speaker Joe Strauss -- 12%
Undecided/Other -- 24% (-6%)
PAXTON +24%

Texas Governor Democratic Primary:
Fmr. HUD Secretary Julian Castro -- 22%
State Rep. Rafael Anchia -- 21%
Mrs. Eva Longaria -- 20% (+3%)
Mr. Andrew White -- 15% (+2%)
Undecided/Others -- 21% (+3%)
LONGARIA +5%

Ohio Republican Gubernatorial Primary:
Fmr. Secretary of State Jon Husted -- 24%
Fmr. State Treasurer Josh Mandel -- 19%
Congressman Troy Balderson -- 15%
Fmr. Congressman Jim Rennacci -- 13%
Mr. J.D. Vance -- 11%
Fmr. Lt. Gov. Mary Taylor -- 7%
Mrs. Beth Hansen -- 6%
Undecided/Other -- 5%
HUSTED +5%


New Jersey General Election:
Governor Phil Murphy -- 47%
Mr. Bob Hugin -- 45%
MURPHY +2%

Virginia General Election:
State Delegate Lee Carter -- 46%
Congressman Denver Riggleman -- 45%
CARTER +1%

New York City General Election:

City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 27%
Mr. Paul Massey -- 16%
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 13%*
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 12%*
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 12%*
JOHNSON +11%

City Council Speaker Corey Johnson -- 25%
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 17%
Mr. Paul Massey -- 12%*
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 12%*
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 11%*
JOHNSON +9%

Fmr. Congressman Joe Crowley -- 28%
Mr. Paul Massey -- 18%
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 13%*
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 12%*
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 11%*
CROWLEY +10%

Fmr. Congressman Joe Crowley -- 24%
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 16%
Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 15%*
Mr. Paul Massey -- 13%*
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 12%*
CROWLEY +8%

Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 32%
Mr. Paul Massey -- 17%
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 15%*
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 13%*
MARK-VIVERITO +15%

Fmr. City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito -- 30%
City Councilor Eric Ulrich -- 20%
Fmr. State Senator David Squadron -- 16%*
Mr. Paul Massey -- 12%*
MARK-VIVERITO + 10%


I uploaded the wrong version if the Lee Carter pic. If i can find the right one and remember tomorrow  I will fix it.

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

Lee for Governor! Corey for Mayor! 

[Politician]

>Attorney General Lindsey Graham