Who wins the primary in this scenario?

[RI]

White moderates: Majority Biden over Sanders
White progressive men: Majority Sanders over Harris
White progressive women: Majority Harris over Sanders
Black men: Majority Biden over Harris
Black women: Majority Harris over Biden
Hispanics: Majority Sanders over Biden

[Lambsbread]

That's tough. Considering whites make up the highest percentage of Democratic primary voters racially and women make up the highest percentage of voters gender-wise, my guess would be that Harris winning both white (progressive) women and black women while coming in second for white (progressive) men gives her an edge, but Sanders winning white (progressive) men and hispanics puts him in a fairly close second. I'm not sure how many white Dem voters would self-identify as "moderate" over "liberal", but if Biden wins white voters that wouldn't self-identify as progressive, then he'd be pretty close behind in third.

I'm just doing my work out loud. Harris would win the primary in this scenario.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Bidem would win a plurality in early states and then pick up momentum and then lock up the nomination.