Amy Klobuchar 2020 campaign megathread

[Queen Isuelt]

https://twitter.com/shelbyfleig/status/1214550033443545090

What's interesting with this is that at every event you get a caucus card and if you want to commit you give your details over so for the past 3-6months she's been picking up all these endorsement cards and data points so will have a list of everyone in each county that will or won't caucus for her. Its all about turnout.

She now has over 100 staffers on the ground in Iowa.

[Cinemark]

https://twitter.com/nowthisnews/status/1214610902713946113

Just a fun moment of levity, Klobuchar apparently has the ability to name all 50 states in 30 seconds. 

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://twitter.com/nowthisnews/status/1214610902713946113

Just a fun moment of levity, Klobuchar apparently has the ability to name all 50 states in 30 seconds. 

Well, now we know what she’s been doing instead of developing a message beyond “I’m from Minnesota”

[Florida Man for Crime]

What's interesting with this is that at every event you get a caucus card and if you want to commit you give your details over so for the past 3-6months she's been picking up all these endorsement cards and data points so will have a list of everyone in each county that will or won't caucus for her.

That is not really interesting, it is par for the course. That is how every single remotely serious Iowa caucus campaign works, and how they have worked in previous campaigns going back decades.

100 organizers is good, but other campaigns will also (or should also) have that. And they will also have organizers in other early states in similar sorts of #s, which presumably Klobuchar does not have due to greater financial constraints for her.

[Queen Isuelt]

What's interesting with this is that at every event you get a caucus card and if you want to commit you give your details over so for the past 3-6months she's been picking up all these endorsement cards and data points so will have a list of everyone in each county that will or won't caucus for her.

That is not really interesting, it is par for the course. That is how every single remotely serious Iowa caucus campaign works, and how they have worked in previous campaigns going back decades.

100 organizers is good, but other campaigns will also (or should also) have that. And they will also have organizers in other early states in similar sorts of #s, which presumably Klobuchar does not have due to greater financial constraints for her.

When that doesn't really work because Amy is the only person to have gone and campaigned in all 99 counties. Pete is on 49 counties. So she has campaigned in 50 more counties than Pete and all the other major candidates (all were in the 40s as of last week).

Look I'm not saying Amy is going to win Iowa! I'm just saying her campaign is go where its difficult, go where its rural and ask for their vote. Nobody else is doing that they just want to campaign where its easy. lets see what happens. I don't understand how anyone with a brain can honestly go to the polls and with a choice of Warren, Biden, Yang, Klobuchar, Sanders, Booker, Steyer go hmm I'M going to vote for a 37 year old gay dude from Indiana who lost a state race by 25 pts lost the DNC Chair and was a mayor of a town that hasn't voted Republican since the 1970s.

[Florida Man for Crime]

What's interesting with this is that at every event you get a caucus card and if you want to commit you give your details over so for the past 3-6months she's been picking up all these endorsement cards and data points so will have a list of everyone in each county that will or won't caucus for her.

That is not really interesting, it is par for the course. That is how every single remotely serious Iowa caucus campaign works, and how they have worked in previous campaigns going back decades.

100 organizers is good, but other campaigns will also (or should also) have that. And they will also have organizers in other early states in similar sorts of #s, which presumably Klobuchar does not have due to greater financial constraints for her.

When that doesn't really work because Amy is the only person to have gone and campaigned in all 99 counties. Pete is on 49 counties. So she has campaigned in 50 more counties than Pete and all the other major candidates (all were in the 40s as of last week).

Look I'm not saying Amy is going to win Iowa! I'm just saying her campaign is go where its difficult, go where its rural and ask for their vote. Nobody else is doing that they just want to campaign where its easy. lets see what happens. I don't understand how anyone with a brain can honestly go to the polls and with a choice of Warren, Biden, Yang, Klobuchar, Sanders, Booker, Steyer go hmm I'M going to vote for a 37 year old gay dude from Indiana who lost a state race by 25 pts lost the DNC Chair and was a mayor of a town that hasn't voted Republican since the 1970s.

Other campaigns also have organizers in rural counties, and also have a campaign presence in those counties in numerous other ways (TV ads, mail, campaign events with surrogates, etc). The only difference is that the candidates didn't personally go to each of those small rural counties.

I would tend to agree personally with your substantive points against Buttigieg, but that doesn't have anything to do with this.

[Queen Isuelt]

https://twitter.com/LexiForSenate/status/1215776521291472901

This was a beauty. Press play the day the gay dude got spanked by his mommy.

Petes 25m spend in Iowa sees him drop 9 points in the latest des moines register poll.

[Progressive Pessimist]

She may have helped halt his momentum, but there are more factors than this that did it. Don't forget about Warren's "wine cave" attack. Also, it's a bit premature to say this. We don't know how the next debate will go, even as it looks like Iowa is moving away from him.

[Cinemark]

I'm bumping this thread just in case of a last minute #Klobusurge(so I dont have to look through 15 pages to try and find it) and also to note a few observations.

Her rallies have continued to increased in size. Notably, she's been in Washington D.C. so she hasnt been able to hold all that many of them which might be contributing to that. But Klobuchar's rallies have had to make use of overflow rooms. Something she's never had to do untill recently.

Also the age of the attendants at her rallies seems to be declining.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Can this thread be pinned? Where is Klobuchar focusing her last campaigning etc this week, and does that tell us anything about her strategy?

[Cinemark]

Can this thread be pinned? Where is Klobuchar focusing her last campaigning etc this week, and does that tell us anything about her strategy?

She was in Bettendorf this morning. Her next event is in Sioux City later today.

[Florida Man for Crime]

She was in Bettendorf this morning. He next event is in Sioux City later today.

Here is a guess for why she would be campaigning in those eastern cities, other than the fact that they have a lot of people, obviously.

If she is surging, those are probably the areas where she would have the most difficulty getting over the 15% viability threshold. So I think maybe she is thinking that if she is surging, she will be viable elsewhere and needs to make sure she is also viable in the more progressive cities, so that she doesn't end up losing delegates from lack of viability in precincts.

[Queen Isuelt]

She was in Bettendorf this morning. He next event is in Sioux City later today.

Here is a guess for why she would be campaigning in those eastern cities, other than the fact that they have a lot of people, obviously.

If she is surging, those are probably the areas where she would have the most difficulty getting over the 15% viability threshold. So I think maybe she is thinking that if she is surging, she will be viable elsewhere and needs to make sure she is also viable in the more progressive cities, so that she doesn't end up losing delegates from lack of viability in precincts.

Don’t want to say to much but 80% of precincts will see no more than 400 people. So you need 60 to hit viability.

Hint on strategy
If you’re a republican, you can change registration to democrat and vote in the caucus.

[Florida Man for Crime]

Election Update: Is Klobuchar Having A Last-Minute Surge In Iowa?

To quote Buffalo Springfield, “there’s something happening here, but what it is ain’t exactly clear.” What is clear, though, is that Sen. Amy Klobuchar’s poll numbers are on the rise in Iowa — she’s now at 10 percent in our Iowa polling average, and her chances of winning the most votes in Iowa have ticked up to 3 percent in our primary forecast.

...

But taken together with other Iowa polls that have dropped this week, we can’t dismiss the possibility that Klobuchar is having a last-minute rise that could put her in contention to finish better than fifth, where she’s been ranked in Iowa for a while now. And a higher-placed finish could have long-term ramifications if it keeps Klobuchar in the race well beyond Iowa and hurts someone else’s standing in the process.

A late surge for a candidate in Iowa wouldn’t be unprecedented either. Some notable past shifts include the 2004 Democratic race, in which John Kerry and John Edwards ended up capturing 38 and 32 percent of the vote, respectively, after polling at 24 and 19 percent going into the caucuses. And then, of course, there is the 2012 GOP contest, when Rick Santorum made a remarkably late push and actually won the caucuses with around 25 percent support despite polling at 13 percent going into caucus night. (It took a couple of weeks for the voting count disputes to settle.)

So we’ll be very interested to see whether the final survey from Selzer & Co. on behalf of CNN, the Des Moines Register and Mediacom also shows a notable improvement for Klobuchar tomorrow. (She was at 6 percent in their last survey from earlier this month.) Other polls, too, could show more Klob-mentum — or tamp it down. But for the moment, it does look like there’s something to Klobuchar’s upswing in the polls, and it’s a reminder that Iowa still is pretty wide open.

[Florida Man for Crime]

http://www.startribune.com/amy-klobuchar-faces-final-iowa-verdict/567492902/

But in a symbolic victory for Klobuchar, Kelly Shaw, the Republican Mayor of Indianola, announced Friday that he will switch parties and caucus for Klobuchar.

A Klobuchar adviser said that caucus night organizing has focused in part on rural areas and Iowa's northern swath, along the Minnesota border. The campaign also sees fertile ground in more blue-collar, older cities like Waterloo and Davenport, as well as suburban areas around Des Moines and Cedar Rapids.

It's a sound but potentially risky strategy, said Christopher Larimer, a political-science professor at the University of Northern Iowa.

"It would have to a be a pretty good sweep" of rural areas, plus "finishing first or second in most of northern Iowa," Larimer said.

"The big question for me is how does she do in the suburbs. I think she'll do well in rural areas," said Jeff Link, an Iowa strategist who worked for Obama's winning Iowa caucus campaign in 2008.

[Queen Isuelt]

http://www.startribune.com/amy-klobuchar-faces-final-iowa-verdict/567492902/

But in a symbolic victory for Klobuchar, Kelly Shaw, the Republican Mayor of Indianola, announced Friday that he will switch parties and caucus for Klobuchar.

A Klobuchar adviser said that caucus night organizing has focused in part on rural areas and Iowa's northern swath, along the Minnesota border. The campaign also sees fertile ground in more blue-collar, older cities like Waterloo and Davenport, as well as suburban areas around Des Moines and Cedar Rapids.

It's a sound but potentially risky strategy, said Christopher Larimer, a political-science professor at the University of Northern Iowa.

"It would have to a be a pretty good sweep" of rural areas, plus "finishing first or second in most of northern Iowa," Larimer said.

"The big question for me is how does she do in the suburbs. I think she'll do well in rural areas," said Jeff Link, an Iowa strategist who worked for Obama's winning Iowa caucus campaign in 2008.

So apparently Johnson county is owned by sanders and Warren. It’s brutal for everyone else

[Astatine]

Klobuchar just received her first major non-Minnesota endorsement as Linda Sanchez of California just endorsed her.

[John Dule]

Klobuchar has polled behind Andrew Yang consistently for the entire campaign, tying with him or beating him in only a handful of polls. I look forward to seeing Yang's thread pinned on this site's homepage posthaste.

[Cinemark]

^
While it's true Yang and Klobuchar have been around tied nationally for the last few months, Klobuchar is polling significantly ahead of Yang in Iowa. And in terms of actually winning the nomination, an Iowa win could propel Klobuchar into the top tier. She also has a pretty decent shot at winning delegates on Monday which would give her a spot in the debate after next.

Which is why the Selzer poll will be incredibly important tonight. It will give us a better(although not perfect) idea on whether or not there is a last minute #Klobusurge going on.

[GeneralMacArthur]

Yeah, nobody's pinning this thread because Yang has 4% in RCP.  Bloomberg has twice that much and he's not pinned.  The thread is polled for the next few days because she may possibly have 18% in Iowa.

[Cinemark]

Klobuchar had three packed rallies today, but this one takes the cake. Campaign is saying 700 people at this event in Des Moines. I think something is definitely happening on the ground. Not sure if that translates into a top 3 finish, but at least we won't have to wait long to find out.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

I would hugely appreciate having her instead of Biden as the more responsible alternative to Bernie.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

If you are pinning this one pin Yang’s

[KaiserDave]

Could somebody explain the issue with her as DA in detail?

Was she responsible or push for the wrongful conviction?

[Queen Isuelt]

Could somebody explain the issue with her as DA in detail?

Was she responsible or push for the wrongful conviction?

So my understanding is the following

- The innocence project looked into the case and did some investigating. After investigating they dropped the case
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Innocence_Project
- Mike Freeman has been lead attorny since 2006 and he hasn't received anything regarding the case. Amy said that any new evidence should be immediately reported to mike freemans office. Hes been leading the office for nearly 14 years.
- He was convicted twice. Amy was already in the senate the second time.
- Another thing that is questionable is that the story says things like that Amy banned the mom from seeing the alleged shooter. No thats what a judge decides. The context is important because an 11 year girl was shot dead and like everything nobody takes responsibility for what happened.

My main concern are the sources within the NAACP - Nakima called Ilhan Omar a conservative democrat and when she ran for minneapolis mayor Klobuchar didnt support her and like most black life matters hit jobs its all about the narrative rather than the facts. I don't get this kamala is a cop amy is a cop crap.