Does Beto Still Have A Decent Shot At Winning The Nomination?

[Barack Oganja]

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https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/428083-beto-orourke-sees-stock-fall

[Heebie Jeebie]

No.  Not holding public office and not having a campaign infrastructure in place, he has no way of sustaining interest in his potential candidacy.  He blew whatever momentum he had and now his opportunity is nearly gone.

[Lambsbread]

His claim to fame is losing a close race to one of the most repulsive politicians in America. His ship has sailed.

Though it is cool that he played in a band with the Mars Volta dudes.

[Sorenroy]

His support arose among people who saw him as a relatable candidate that shared their values, not from any specific policy or speech. I feel like, with a lot of candidates, jumping into the race late will not have a serious impact. Given a couple of months, Beto could easily regain his support shown in some of the earlier polling. Whether or not that amount is enough to win is the real question.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Yes. He’s no longer the flavor of the month candidate, but if he did jump in the momentum would probably catapult him back into the top 3 in polling. He’s still garnering more support than actual candidates like Gillibrand, Booker, and (in some polling) Warren.

The only reason he’s dropped is that the Washington press corps isn’t used to candidates not felating them and donors to build a campaign, and that’s not Beto’s style. David Axelrod actually just wrote an article saying the same thing this past week.

[Mr. Smith]

Yes. He’s no longer the flavor of the month candidate, but if he did jump in the momentum would probably catapult him back into the top 3 in polling. He’s still garnering more support than actual candidates like Gillibrand, Booker, and (in some polling) Warren.

The only reason he’s dropped is that the Washington press corps isn’t used to candidates not felating them and donors to build a campaign, and that’s not Beto’s style. David Axelrod actually just wrote an article saying the same thing this past week.

This.

[Roll Roons]

Yes. He’s no longer the flavor of the month candidate, but if he did jump in the momentum would probably catapult him back into the top 3 in polling. He’s still garnering more support than actual candidates like Gillibrand, Booker, and (in some polling) Warren.

The only reason he’s dropped is that the Washington press corps isn’t used to candidates not felating them and donors to build a campaign, and that’s not Beto’s style. David Axelrod actually just wrote an article saying the same thing this past week.

Exactly. Beto raised $70 million for his Senate race through small donations alone. He has an enormous reservoir of support among activists, which includes donors (see Louis Susman, a prominent Democratic donor and Obama's first Ambassador to the UK) and could very easily recreate it for a presidential run. Plus the media loves him because he's young and telegenic, and they would absolutely go back to fawning over him if he jumped in, no matter when he does it. I'm very curious to see what he says in his interview with Oprah this week. 

[Canis]

Yes I think for all we know the nominee is someone were not even talking about at this point its only feb of 2019 fools

[Rookie Yinzer]

Yes. He’s no longer the flavor of the month candidate, but if he did jump in the momentum would probably catapult him back into the top 3 in polling. He’s still garnering more support than actual candidates like Gillibrand, Booker, and (in some polling) Warren.

The only reason he’s dropped is that the Washington press corps isn’t used to candidates not felating them and donors to build a campaign, and that’s not Beto’s style. David Axelrod actually just wrote an article saying the same thing this past week.

Exactly. Beto raised $70 million for his Senate race through small donations alone. He has an enormous reservoir of support among activists, which includes donors (see Louis Susman, a prominent Democratic donor and Obama's first Ambassador to the UK) and could very easily recreate it for a presidential run. Plus the media loves him because he's young and telegenic, and they would absolutely go back to fawning over him if he jumped in, no matter when he does it. I'm very curious to see what he says in his interview with Oprah this week. 

This to both posts. There are many who are simply waiting for him to officially announce before jumping on his bandwagon. It's not like he has the name recognition of Sanders and Biden to keep him afloat while he does nothing pointing towards a run.

[MT Treasurer]

Lol, he never had a "decent shot" at winning the nomination. Flavor of the month, to quote this forum's favorite populist "WWC hero".

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

TX is no swing state and all the Dems like Harris, Warren both are in states that Dems can win, with fundraising potential. That's why Castro is locked out of nomination as well.

[Heebie Jeebie]

TX is no swing state and all the Dems like Harris, Warren both are in states that Dems can win, with fundraising potential. That's why Castro is locked out of nomination as well.

I think Castro's angling for a cabinet position.  Beto would be wise to do the same, if he even wants a career in politics.

[Progressive Pessimist]

He definitely could once he starts campaigning if he runs. That is his real claim to fame-being a stellar campaigner which is, at least partially, why he came so close in a state that he should have had no business coming within 3% of winning.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

It seems as if his hype is fading a bit, but we'll see what the Oprah interview does for him.

[Hoosier_Nick]

Yes. He’s no longer the flavor of the month candidate, but if he did jump in the momentum would probably catapult him back into the top 3 in polling. He’s still garnering more support than actual candidates like Gillibrand, Booker, and (in some polling) Warren.

The only reason he’s dropped is that the Washington press corps isn’t used to candidates not felating them and donors to build a campaign, and that’s not Beto’s style. David Axelrod actually just wrote an article saying the same thing this past week.

Exactly. Beto raised $70 million for his Senate race through small donations alone. He has an enormous reservoir of support among activists, which includes donors (see Louis Susman, a prominent Democratic donor and Obama's first Ambassador to the UK) and could very easily recreate it for a presidential run. Plus the media loves him because he's young and telegenic, and they would absolutely go back to fawning over him if he jumped in, no matter when he does it. I'm very curious to see what he says in his interview with Oprah this week. 

[Zaybay]

I mean, he has a shot, but its getting worse and worse with every passing day.

[Flyersfan232]

His claim to fame is losing a close race to one of the most repulsive politicians in America. His ship has sailed.

Though it is cool that he played in a band with the Mars Volta dudes.

Y’all been saying he was Obama 2.0 and his victory would kill the gop electoral forever

[Lambsbread]

His claim to fame is losing a close race to one of the most repulsive politicians in America. His ship has sailed.

Though it is cool that he played in a band with the Mars Volta dudes.

Y’all been saying he was Obama 2.0 and his victory would kill the gop electoral forever

I don't know who "ya'll" is but it sure is hell ain't me and it ain't anyone with a functioning brain inside their skull

[SCNCmod]

The type of relatable X-Factor that Beto showed during the Senate Campaign (or that past presidents like Obama & Bill Clinton have)... come out during campaigns- not in news stories.

So when/ if Beto gets in the Campaign... this x-factor will again come out on the campaign trail and in front of voters.

(That said- Beto does need to be careful when/if he gets in the campaign... to make sure his message is his focus...rather than his campaign-style being the focus.... ie don't get sidetracked by any "Dentist-office" type gimmicks.)  And I think  the message will be the focus when a campaign is announced--- the gimmicks have happened more during the down time when not in the middle of an actual busy campaign.

[Mister Mets]

I'm not sure.

He had a lot of momentum in November 2018, but it disappeared as he left the spotlight. There was a backlash as he was seen as an empty suit.

One of his advantages was the weaknesses of the big Senators (Sanders, Gilibrand, Booker, Harris, Warren) and polls showing them in the single digits, but Harris has had a tremendous launch, so that leaves less of an opening.

On the other hand, he has skill and some name recognition. And the big candidates are a bit older.

[Scottholes 2.0]

I can see Dems choosing good-looking and middle-aged Beto before any of the other candidates.

[killertahu22]

Never did, lol

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Eyes on Warren, Harris and Booker and Harris is the star due to fundraising in California😍🌉

[UWS]

If O'Rourke is now standing only 5th with just 5 % of the vote in nationwide Democratic primary polls while his fellow Texan Julian Castro has 1 or 2 % of the voting intentions nationwide, I wonder if O'Rourke could even lose the Texas primary on Super Tuesday. The moreover that only 28 % of Texas voters have a favorable opinion of him while 44 % of Texas voters have an unfavorable view of him.

https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/190202_crosstabs_POLITICO_RVs_v1_AP.pdf

http://politicselections.com/new-poll-beto-not-liked-in-texas/

[History505]

He could be competitive if he actually gets in.