Sen. Dawn Addiego (R) is switching parties, will join NJ Senate Dems

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/politico_chris/status/1089999002282704899

[Gass3268]

Dang, she was Republican leadership too as the Deputy Whip.

District 8 - (Atlantic, Burlington and Camden)  Berlin Borough, Eastampton, Evesham, Hainesport, Hammonton, Lumberton, Mansfield (Burlington), Medford, Medford Lakes, Mount Holly, Pemberton Borough, Pemberton Township, Pine Hill, Pine Valley, Shamong, Southampton, Springfield (Burlington), Waterford, Westampton, Woodland

[Bidenworth2020]

Dang, she was Republican leadership too as the Deputy Whip.

District 8 - (Atlantic, Burlington and Camden)  Berlin Borough, Eastampton, Evesham, Hainesport, Hammonton, Lumberton, Mansfield (Burlington), Medford, Medford Lakes, Mount Holly, Pemberton Borough, Pemberton Township, Pine Hill, Pine Valley, Shamong, Southampton, Springfield (Burlington), Waterford, Westampton, Woodland

Wow, this really interests me. This is a very obama-trump type seat.

[lfromnj]

The senate majority leader looks like he is big trouble. Assuming normal high d turnout in trump era he was to won over menendez voters to win

[Bidenworth2020]

The senate majority leader looks like he is big trouble. Assuming normal high d turnout in trump era he was to won over menendez voters to win

Sweeney? Nah, he is very safe. He just won his largest margin ever in 2017.

[PragmaticPopulist]

A little surprising, because while her district did vote for both Obama and Clinton, it was a Trump-curious district; Went from 53-46 Obama to 49-47 (2535 vote difference) Clinton.

[Bojack Horseman]

The senate majority leader looks like he is big trouble. Assuming normal high d turnout in trump era he was to won over menendez voters to win

Sweeney? Nah, he is very safe. He just won his largest margin ever in 2017.

Worth adding that the teacher unions donated tons of money and actively campaigned for his Trump-loving opponent.

[Oryxslayer]

The senate majority leader looks like he is big trouble. Assuming normal high d turnout in trump era he was to won over menendez voters to win

Sweeney? Nah, he is very safe. He just won his largest margin ever in 2017.

I think Imfromnj means the minority leader Kean (there is some really bad grammar in there). It still remains though that Kean is popular...but he only won by 8% or so in 2017. 

[lfromnj]

The senate majority leader looks like he is big trouble. Assuming normal high d turnout in trump era he was to won over menendez voters to win

Sweeney? Nah, he is very safe. He just won his largest margin ever in 2017.

I think Imfromnj means the minority leader Kean (there is some really bad grammar in there). It still remains though that Kean is popular...but he only won by 8% or so in 2017. 

Yeah I meant minority leader. I mean sure he is popular but this wont have a governors race on the ballot about tax cuts but mostly just educated voters who hate trump and will vote D anywhere. Reminder that menendez won Keans district.

[Bidenworth2020]

The senate majority leader looks like he is big trouble. Assuming normal high d turnout in trump era he was to won over menendez voters to win

Sweeney? Nah, he is very safe. He just won his largest margin ever in 2017.

I think Imfromnj means the minority leader Kean (there is some really bad grammar in there). It still remains though that Kean is popular...but he only won by 8% or so in 2017. 

Yeah I meant minority leader. I mean sure he is popular but this wont have a governors race on the ballot about tax cuts but mostly just educated voters who hate trump and will vote D anywhere. Reminder that menendez won Keans district.

yeah, and Murphy is pretty popular.

[Mr.Phips]

The senate majority leader looks like he is big trouble. Assuming normal high d turnout in trump era he was to won over menendez voters to win

Sweeney? Nah, he is very safe. He just won his largest margin ever in 2017.

I think Imfromnj means the minority leader Kean (there is some really bad grammar in there). It still remains though that Kean is popular...but he only won by 8% or so in 2017. 

Yeah I meant minority leader. I mean sure he is popular but this wont have a governors race on the ballot about tax cuts but mostly just educated voters who hate trump and will vote D anywhere. Reminder that menendez won Keans district.

I’m pretty sure that the state senate is no up until 2021.

[Sir Tiki]

Fun fact: the last legislator from the 8th district to switch parties was Assemblyman Fran Bodine (Republican to Democrat in 2007), whom Addiego replaced in 2008.

[lfromnj]

The senate majority leader looks like he is big trouble. Assuming normal high d turnout in trump era he was to won over menendez voters to win

Sweeney? Nah, he is very safe. He just won his largest margin ever in 2017.

I think Imfromnj means the minority leader Kean (there is some really bad grammar in there). It still remains though that Kean is popular...but he only won by 8% or so in 2017. 

Yeah I meant minority leader. I mean sure he is popular but this wont have a governors race on the ballot about tax cuts but mostly just educated voters who hate trump and will vote D anywhere. Reminder that menendez won Keans district.

I’m pretty sure that the state senate is no up until 2021.

ah yeah im an idiot. Don't really pay attention to NJ state politics. I think the house seat in that legislative seat is also the place of the GOP minority leader in the house and its also Romney Clinton Menendez.

[Pollster]

A little surprising, because while her district did vote for both Obama and Clinton, it was a Trump-curious district; Went from 53-46 Obama to 49-47 (2535 vote difference) Clinton.

This isn't Trump-curious, it's Clinton-averse. Trump only did 1 point better than Romney.

[Suburbia]

Addeigo will be a moderate Democrat.

The GOP is probably too socially conservative for her and her voters. Her voters are middle class swing voters that Christie Whitman, Chris Christie and John McCain did well in the 08 primary.

[Progressive Pessimist]

But New Jersey is trending R!

[lfromnj]

A little surprising, because while her district did vote for both Obama and Clinton, it was a Trump-curious district; Went from 53-46 Obama to 49-47 (2535 vote difference) Clinton.

This isn't Trump-curious, it's Clinton-averse. Trump only did 1 point better than Romney.

uh thats basically a d trending/neutral looking district to me

Obama did VERY Good in NJ in 2012 and would have gotten similar numbers were it not for hurricane Sandy.

[smoltchanov]

A little surprising, because while her district did vote for both Obama and Clinton, it was a Trump-curious district; Went from 53-46 Obama to 49-47 (2535 vote difference) Clinton.

Well, it's, probably, a "matgter of convenience", at least - partially. You really can do more in majority. That's the reason for Gabbard (father) being Democrat in Hawaii legislature, or for a lot of former Democrats (including NOT "true blue conservatives") switching to Republicans in the South (you REALLY can do more in, say, Louisiana state legislature, as pragmatic-conservative Republican, then as  conservatively-leaning Democrat). Though the actual displeasure with party's direction in Trump years could be a catalyst too.

[Senator Incitatus]

This comes as a real shock to me. I think this is pretty much pure horse-trading. She must have been offered something since she's neither a moderate (by NJ standards) nor in a particularly D district. Her race was only so close in 2017 because of the environment and because she voted in favor of the gas tax, which upset a lot of conservative residents.

[smoltchanov]

This comes as a real shock to me. I think this is pretty much pure horse-trading. She must have been offered something since she's neither a moderate (by NJ standards) nor in a particularly D district. Her race was only so close in 2017 because of the environment and because she voted in favor of the gas tax, which upset a lot of conservative residents.

I was surprised too. Chris Brown, for example, is much more moderate, and - still Republican. Though his switch would be much more logical. There are other more moderate Republicans in legislature too...

[Landslide Lyndon]

How many Republican legislators have switched to Democrats since November?
Seems like the suburban realigning is well underway. 

[Nyvin]

Not everyone wants to be a member of a cult.

[LabourJersey]

With this and the fact that the Democrats may pick up a few more Assembly seats in November, things are looking very very bad for the New Jersey Republican Party