Post Random Maps Here 3.0

[SingingAnalyst]

1956: only Black votes count

Stevenson 61% / 384 EV
Eisenhower 39% / 147 EV

[SingingAnalyst]

1976 (hypothetical)

Carter/Mondale 49.0% / 188 EV
Ford/Brooke 48.7% / 350 EV

A beautiful map it is, truly! I'm sure many holes could be poked in it, but...

AL and MS vote differently;
OR, whose Senator was one of only 2 in the US who voted against the Tonkin Gulf Resolution in 1964, and one of McGovern's best states in '72, votes with the military-minded Deep South;
MA, MN defy the rest of the North;
MS defies the rest of the South;
a PV loser crushes its opposition in the EC.

[SingingAnalyst]

2020 if every state with a margin < 1% is flipped

Trump/Pence 269
Biden/Harris 269

I believe 2016 was the first election in which such a flip would have changed the outcome, and 2020 the second.

[SingingAnalyst]

1976 and 2000 (with 2000 EV allocations)

Carter - Gore 113 EV
Ford - Bush 92 EV
Ford - Gore 154 EV
Carter - Bush 179 EV

Of the Carter - Gore states, all voted for Biden in 2020.
Of the Ford - Bush states: AZ, CO, NE-2, NV, NH, and VA voted for Biden in 2020.
Of the Ford - Gore states: all but IA and ME-2 voted for Biden in 2020.
Of the Carter - Bush states: all but GA voted for Trump in 2020.

A change in 1,000 votes in 1976 and 3,500 votes in 2000 would have made Oregon yellow, rather than green.

[SingingAnalyst]

White women in 1984 (my estimate)


Reagan/Bush 62% / 500 EV
Mondale/Ferraro 38% / 38 EV

[SingingAnalyst]

1972: McGovern vs. Nixon, voters aged 18-29 only

Nixon 51% / 359 EV
McGovern 47% / 179 EV

[SingingAnalyst]

1948 with CA, NY, OH flipped


Truman 301, Dewey 192, Thurmond 38

1952 with KY and TN flipped:


Eisenhower 441, Stevenson 90

1956 with MO, TN flipped:


Eisenhower 459, Stevenson 72

1960: CA, HI, IL flipped:


Kennedy 317, Nixon 212

[SingingAnalyst]

1964, AZ and ID flipped:


Johnson 487, Goldwater 51

1976 with IA, ME, OH, OR flipped:


Carter 290, Ford 248

[SingingAnalyst]

2000: flip FL, IA, NH, NM, OR, WI:


Bush 272, Gore 266

Under the alternative scenario in my last 3 posts to this thread:
1. There would have been no Eisenhower - Stevenson states and only two Stevenson - Eisenhower states, LA and WV.
2. TN would have been a Stevenson 1952 and 1956 - Nixon 1960 state.
3. Idaho would have a Republican streak going back to 1952.
4. Iowa, Oregon and Wisconsin would have been Carter 1976 - Bush 2000 states outside the South.
5. New Hampshire would have a Democratic streak going back to 1992 after being tied for the 2nd most Republican state in 1988.