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April 28, 2024, 03:07:32 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post Random Maps Here 3.0 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 170381 times)
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Abdullah
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,300
United States
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« on: March 03, 2021, 10:22:34 PM »

Decided to do a map comparing the combined vote for "Progressive" (Sanders + Warren + Yang + Gabbard (I know with how Gabbards acted now labeling her as progressive is questionable same for Steyer but she was perceived as part of that wing of the party sorta so whynot) + Steyer)  and " "Moderate" (Biden + Bloomberg + Buttigieg + Klobuchar) Candidates in the primary until Sanders Drops out  I couldn't really figure out how to classify Bennet and Patrick but decided to leave them out of it likely has no Impact either way as they received a very small amount of votes.  

P = Progressive M =Moderates O = Other
IA
P 50.17 - M 49.07
NH
P 44.39 - M 53.89
NV
P 56.78 - M 42.55
SC
P 39.64 -  M 59.98
AL
P 22.93 - M 75.38
AR
P 34.38 - M 63.71
CA
P 52.44 - M 46.53
CO
P 56.39 - M 43.15
ME
P 50.07 - M 49.40
MA
P 49.57- M 49.2
MN
P 45.95 - M 53.56
NC
P 36.24 - M 61.48
OK
P 41.84 - M 56.44
TN
P 36.45 - M 62.56
TX
P 42.73 - M 55.01
UT
P 53.86 - M 45.79
VT
P 64.57 - M 35.01
VA
P 35.13- M 64.47
ID
P 46.29 - M 53.34
MI
P 38.83 - M 59.64
MS
P 16.05 - M 83.85
MO
P 36.76 - M 62.48
WA
P 47.2 - M 52
ND
P 56.64 - M 43.31
AZ
P 39.84 -M 59.5
FL
P 25.31 - M 73.66
IL
P 38.43 - M 60.98
AK
P 47.35 - M 52.33
WY
P 29.57 - M 69.48
WI
P 34.29 - M 65.01

This is really quite heavily impacted on how long after Super Tuesday that state's election took place, though. Washington state for instance would certainly have gone for Sanders (and thus the Progressives as a whole, Warren took 9% of the vote in that state) had their election been on Super Tuesday.

I'd argue the same goes for Alaska.
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Abdullah
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,300
United States
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« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2021, 06:06:55 PM »

States with a violent crime rate above the national average in purple vs. states with a violent crime rate below the national average in green



Tipping Point State - Florida

Data
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Abdullah
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,300
United States
P P P
« Reply #2 on: April 21, 2021, 11:32:12 AM »
« Edited: April 23, 2021, 09:10:36 AM by Abdullah »

Sherrod Brown vs. J.D. Vance, 2028


Image Link



[D] Sherrod Brown/Jim Hood - 420 Electoral Votes - 52.5% of the popular vote

[R] J.D. Vance/Charlie Baker - 118 Electoral Votes - 44.4% of the popular vote

Brown/Hood overperform with Latinos, Asians, African-Americans, and Working-Class Whites.

Vance/Baker overperform with College-Educated Whites.

Why? Just for fun.



This scenario was made with the FiveThirtyEight tool:

"What would it take to flip states in the 2016 election?".

Make your own.
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Abdullah
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,300
United States
P P P
« Reply #3 on: July 12, 2021, 10:08:17 AM »

The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election


Image Link

Democratic Party - Populist Joe/Chelsea Clinton - 49.3% Pop. Vote - 269 Electoral Votes
Republican Party - Elitist DeSantis/Jack "Hispanic" McCain - 49.3% Pop. Vote - 269 Electoral Votes
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Abdullah
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,300
United States
P P P
« Reply #4 on: July 12, 2021, 05:09:31 PM »



Interesting electoral vote allocations. What are they supposed to be, though?
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Abdullah
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,300
United States
P P P
« Reply #5 on: September 30, 2021, 05:48:22 PM »

Hypothetical Trend Map from 2020 - 2024 using Civiqs data



Really trash map and not reality-based in the slightest but I thought it was interesting

RED = DEMOCRAT
BLUE = REPUBLICAN
GREEN = NO CHANGE
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_.
Abdullah
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,300
United States
P P P
« Reply #6 on: December 20, 2021, 02:30:26 PM »

States with a violent crime rate above the national average in purple vs. states with a violent crime rate below the national average in green

-2019 MAP-

2020 UPDATE:



Tipping Point State - Georgia

Data
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_.
Abdullah
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,300
United States
P P P
« Reply #7 on: December 20, 2021, 02:50:59 PM »

Hypothetical Trend Map from MAR 2021 - SEP 2021 using Morning Consult Data



Image Link

For reference, between the two dates, Biden's Net Approval Rating nationwide went from +12.22% to -0.29%.

Not reality-based in the slightest (it's literally a tracking poll) but I thought it was interesting

RED = DEMOCRAT
BLUE = REPUBLICAN
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