2028 4 Way race (Biden wins reelection against Pence/Noem Ticket by a similar EC margin but loses House in 2022 and Senate in 2024. Dies two years into his second term, Dems retake the House in 2026. Centrist and Progressive Dems officially split over policy disputes and Progressives thinking Centrists haven't done enough. The MAGAts decide to also split off from the Republican party and adapt a much more openly fascist platform (limiting all types of immigration, anti-gay marriage, etc.) and run as a fourth party).