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April 25, 2024, 10:24:54 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 169902 times)
Alcibiades
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« Reply #1000 on: December 31, 2020, 07:35:58 AM »
Quote from: bagelman on December 28, 2020, 01:26:00 AM
If each state swung like the strongest D swing for Biden. Added lots of extra data for hovering over.



So, each state swings the same as its strongest county swing in real life? Also, a minor point, I think Cook, MN swung so much because it’s vacation country and full of liberal retirees, and is actually ancestrally Republican.
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #1001 on: January 01, 2021, 03:22:03 PM »
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1002 on: January 04, 2021, 07:47:49 PM »
Here's a new map I created. This is a map of the 2004 election by county, in the Ferguson Scenario. Incumbent Democratic President Al Gore wins reelection to a second term against Republican Senator Bob Smith and one particular businessman, who is the Reform Party nominee. Who is that businessman, and what would the state results map look like?
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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
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« Reply #1003 on: January 04, 2021, 09:09:30 PM »
Quote from: Calthrina950 on January 04, 2021, 07:47:49 PM
Here's a new map I created. This is a map of the 2004 election by county, in the Ferguson Scenario. Incumbent Democratic President Al Gore wins reelection to a second term against Republican Senator Bob Smith and one particular businessman, who is the Reform Party nominee. Who is that businessman, and what would the state results map look like?




Is this the map? And I assume it's Trump based off the way you're describing. Unless it's a trick question…
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1004 on: January 04, 2021, 10:58:12 PM »
Quote from: P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong on January 04, 2021, 09:09:30 PM
Quote from: Calthrina950 on January 04, 2021, 07:47:49 PM
Here's a new map I created. This is a map of the 2004 election by county, in the Ferguson Scenario. Incumbent Democratic President Al Gore wins reelection to a second term against Republican Senator Bob Smith and one particular businessman, who is the Reform Party nominee. Who is that businessman, and what would the state results map look like?




Is this the map? And I assume it's Trump based off the way you're describing. Unless it's a trick question…

The map is close, but not quite. And it is Trump, who is the stand-in for Ross Perot. The Ferguson Scenario, as I've noted before, is predicated off George H.W. Bush winning reelection easily in 1992.
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bagelman
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« Reply #1005 on: January 08, 2021, 03:02:08 PM »
« Edited: January 08, 2021, 03:07:24 PM by bagelman »


Average of 2016 and 2020, the 2018 election.
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Chips
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« Reply #1006 on: January 08, 2021, 04:12:36 PM »
Quote from: bagelman on January 08, 2021, 03:02:08 PM


Average of 2016 and 2020, the 2018 election.

All hell breaks loose.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #1007 on: January 08, 2021, 07:30:00 PM »
1968 Alt History: RFK vs Nixon vs Wallace



Thoughts? Concerns?
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #1008 on: January 09, 2021, 02:53:10 AM »
Quote from: Tucker/DeSantis 2024 on January 08, 2021, 07:30:00 PM
1968 Alt History: RFK vs Nixon vs Wallace



Thoughts? Concerns?

Who does Bobby pick for VP?
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EEllis02
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« Reply #1009 on: January 09, 2021, 04:59:17 PM »
Quote from: Josh Hawley looks like he only has one nostril on January 09, 2021, 02:53:10 AM
Quote from: Tucker/DeSantis 2024 on January 08, 2021, 07:30:00 PM
1968 Alt History: RFK vs Nixon vs Wallace



Thoughts? Concerns?

Who does Bobby pick for VP?

Oof, didn’t think about that.

Eugene McCarthy maybe? They were both against the Vietnam War. I don’t know how much that would’ve helped or hurt them. Though maybe if the JFK nostalgia was still strong then he could probably pull it off, or maybe the average voters back then would’ve saw both of them as too far left.
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Andrew Yang 2024
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« Reply #1010 on: January 09, 2021, 06:10:46 PM »
A good RFK VP could be someone like Terry Sanford or Ralph Yarborough.
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𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆
Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #1011 on: January 10, 2021, 04:04:17 PM »
Quote from: Tucker/DeSantis 2024 on January 09, 2021, 04:59:17 PM

Oof, didn’t think about that.

Eugene McCarthy maybe? They were both against the Vietnam War. I don’t know how much that would’ve helped or hurt them. Though maybe if the JFK nostalgia was still strong then he could probably pull it off, or maybe the average voters back then would’ve saw both of them as too far left.

The only way Kennedy wins Maine (with >50% to boot) is if he picks Ed Muskie as running mate. It would not have gone to Humphrey in real life otherwise, as the comparison to nearby Vermont and New Hampshire, which had a pretty similar electoral history, shows.
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #1012 on: January 10, 2021, 05:42:03 PM »
2014 South Carolina Gubernatorial Election

Gov. Vincent Sheheen: 56.43% | 703,328
State Sen. Lee Bright: 39.61% | 493,704
Other: 3.95% | 49,264
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Alcibiades
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« Reply #1013 on: January 10, 2021, 05:53:37 PM »
Quote from: Metallica Christian on January 10, 2021, 04:04:17 PM
Quote from: Tucker/DeSantis 2024 on January 09, 2021, 04:59:17 PM

Oof, didn’t think about that.

Eugene McCarthy maybe? They were both against the Vietnam War. I don’t know how much that would’ve helped or hurt them. Though maybe if the JFK nostalgia was still strong then he could probably pull it off, or maybe the average voters back then would’ve saw both of them as too far left.

The only way Kennedy wins Maine (with >50% to boot) is if he picks Ed Muskie as running mate. It would not have gone to Humphrey in real life otherwise, as the comparison to nearby Vermont and New Hampshire, which had a pretty similar electoral history, shows.

I agree Humphrey would probably have narrowly lost Maine without Muskie, but a win wouldn’t have been impossible. Maine was the most Democratic of the trio of Upper New England states in every election from 1964-1980 inclusive (very nearly voting for Carter twice), and Humphrey did very well in New England that election.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #1014 on: January 10, 2021, 10:38:21 PM »
2008 Alternate History (Hillary Clinton vs John McCain)



Also for running mates, McCain still chooses Sarah Palin, while Hillary Clinton chooses Evan Bayh (Indiana senator).

Louisiana is the closest state, followed by Tennessee, Montana, and North Carolina.
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #1015 on: January 10, 2021, 10:57:22 PM »
2024 Presidential Election in a split-party scenario:



VP Kamala Harris (CA)/Gov. Roy Cooper (NC): 406 Electoral Votes, 51% popular vote
Sen. Ted Cruz (TX)/Gov. Kristi Noem (SD): 132 Electoral Votes, 41% popular vote
Fmr. Rep. Lauren Boebert (CO)/Fmr. State Sen. Amanda Chase (VA): 0 electoral votes, 6% popular vote
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
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« Reply #1016 on: January 12, 2021, 02:46:44 AM »
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #1017 on: January 12, 2021, 08:55:09 PM »
A very different 1972 where RFK didn't die in 1968. He narrowly loses the nomination to Humphrey in 1968, who loses to Nixon.

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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #1018 on: January 12, 2021, 10:00:17 PM »


Last election in my RFK->[REDACTED]->Harrington game.
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bagelman
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« Reply #1019 on: January 13, 2021, 04:42:20 AM »
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #1020 on: January 13, 2021, 10:04:28 PM »
« Edited: January 14, 2021, 12:16:24 AM by Unconditional Surrender Truman »
2024

President Joseph Robinette Biden (Democratic, Delaware) / Vice President Kamala Devi Harris (Democratic, California) 496 electoral votes (44 states), 51% popular votes
Former President Donald John Trump (Patriot, Florida) / Governor Kristi Lynn Noem (Patriot, South Dakota) 42 electoral votes (7 states + NE3), 31% popular votes
Former Vice President Michael Richard Pence (Republican, Indiana) / former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nimrata Nikki Haley (Republican, South Carolina) 0 electoral votes, 16% popular votes
Others (Various) 0 electoral votes, 2% popular votes
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Agonized-Statism
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« Reply #1021 on: January 13, 2021, 11:15:30 PM »

Noem is South Dakotan.
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
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« Reply #1022 on: January 14, 2021, 12:16:38 AM »

Not after the poles reverse.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #1023 on: January 14, 2021, 07:20:33 PM »
« Edited: January 14, 2021, 07:25:54 PM by CookieDamage »
No Landslides

1964


1972

1980


1984


1988
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
Harry S Truman
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« Reply #1024 on: January 14, 2021, 07:37:19 PM »
Quote from: CookieDamage on January 14, 2021, 07:20:33 PM
1980


Would be very interested to know the pv result/margin ITTL, considering Reagan only barely got to 50%+1 IOTL.
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