Post Random Maps Here 3.0

[bagelman]

2016 averaged with 1976

2004 averaged with 1976

Both use 92-96-00 apportionment.

[bagelman]

Warren Harding (239) vs. Alf Landon (288)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bobby Kennedy 270
RM Nixon 268

1980: Teddy Kennedy/Lyold Bentsen 274
          Reagan/Bush I 264

[bagelman]

Average of all midterms elections in states with more than one statewide elections, usually a gubernatorial and senatorial race at once.

[bagelman]

What will happen if Joe Biden is nominated:

Biden 308, Trump 230

Ron DeSantis defeats Joe Biden's handpicked successor, who only barely scrapped by in the primaries.

The Progressives have a shot in the 2028 Democratic primaries but they'll be up against an incumbent Republican far stronger than Donald Trump.

[Politician]

2020 County Maps: IceSpear was right/Massive Urban-Rural Divide

[bagelman]

2020 County Maps: IceSpear was right/Massive Urban-Rural Divide

Why would Leelanau MI flip?

[Politician]

2020 County Maps: IceSpear was right/Massive Urban-Rural Divide

Why would Leelanau MI flip?

It swung D in 2016

To be honest, I should also have flipped Grant Treverse County.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Had a dream last night that Beto was funded by his drug trafficking empire, ran as a third party, and picked Ellen Page as his VP. He also owned a bar, which I think was the HQ for his drug trafficking empire.

Senator Bernie Sanders / Senator Jeff Merkley 279

President Donald Trump / Vice President Mike Pence 259

Former Congressman Robert F. O'Rourke / Actress Ellen Page 0

**SNIP**

Legal disclaimer: This post is based on someone else's dream and does not imply that Beto is a drug kingpin.

Beautiful. Thanks for writing that out! I made the following map before seeing yours, also a narrow win for Bernie. Funny that the states are the same. I added in a far-right ticket of Don Blankenship and Roy Moore to help boost Sanders over Trump. And of course, the mini-TL that I had grand thoughts (but no real intention of putting in the effort needed) included Blankenship going on about “Cocaine Beto.”

I might make a county map of Texas though. I had Beto narrowly beating Sanders in Texas, with Beto winning some counties. Also have him winning Imperial County, CA for kicks.

[Pericles]

2018 midterms-GOP wins all races lost by 4% or less
2018 Senate elections
Mitch McConnell-Republican: 56+5 41.1%
Chuck Schumer-Democratic: 42-5 57.3%
Independent: 2_
100 seats
51 for majority

2018 House elections
Nancy Pelosi-Democratic: 220+26 51.4%(+3.4%)
Paul Ryan-Republican: 215-26 46.8%(-2.3%)
435 seats
218 for majority

2018 gubernatorial elections
Bill Haslam-Republican: 29-4 49.31%
Jay Inslee-Democratic: 21+5 48.36%
Independent: 0-1

[Mr. Smith]

Exhibit A

Exhibit B

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

2018 House of Representatives Election with uniform swing to Democratic veto-proof super-majority displayed and tipping point AZ-08 shown in its own color.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Senate Margins if the above map happened:

Safe is >10%
Likely is >5%
Leans is >.2%
Tilt is <.2%

[Comrade Funk]

2004 Battleground Map (according to RCP polling)

George W. Bush (Republican): 227
John Kerry (Democratic): 203
Battleground: 108

2008 Battleground Map (according to RCP polling)

Barack Obama (Democratic): 311
John McCain (Republican): 156
Battleground: 71

2012 Battleground Map (according to RCP polling)

Barack Obama (Democratic): 257
John McCain (Republican): 206
Battleground: 75

2016 Battleground Map (according to RCP polling)

Hillary Clinton (Democratic): 268
Donald Trump (Republican): 204
Battleground: 66

[HomestarSB9]

George Wallace (D-AL) - 219 Electoral Votes
Ross Perot (R-TX) - 219 Electoral Votes
John Anderson (I-IL) - 100 Electoral Votes

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

George Wallace (D-AL) - 219 Electoral Votes
Ross Perot (R-TX) - 219 Electoral Votes
John Anderson (I-IL) - 100 Electoral Votes

I assume this is based on how each candidate did in a given state as compared to their share of the national PV?

[S019]

George Wallace (D-AL) - 219 Electoral Votes
Ross Perot (R-TX) - 219 Electoral Votes
John Anderson (I-IL) - 100 Electoral Votes

Why does my state vote for Wallace

[OSR stands with Israel]

George Wallace (D-AL) - 219 Electoral Votes
Ross Perot (R-TX) - 219 Electoral Votes
John Anderson (I-IL) - 100 Electoral Votes

Why does my state vote for Wallace

That map is comparing each of these candidates performance when they made their third party runs(1968,1980,1992) not a hypothetical map if all of them ran in the same election

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

TRUMP LANDSLIDE STUNS PUNDITS
'We Told You So,' Says Atlas
President Sweeps Nation, McCains Give Biden Arizona
Democrats Celebrate Defeat of Scandal-Ridden Right-Wing Candidate

Donald Trump and Mike Pence (Rep) 524 electors, 94% popular votes Joe "Jeb" Biden and Howard Schultz (Dem) 11 electors, 5% popular votes None Of The Above (D.C.) 3 electors, —% popular votes Others (Lib, Grn, Con, etc.) 0 electors, 1% popular votes

[America Needs R'hllor]

2016 Democratic Primary- Elizabeth Warren runs

2016 Democratic Candidates:
Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY) ✓
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)
Fmr. Governor Martin O'Malley (D-MD)
Fmr. Senator Jim Webb (D-VA)
Fmr. Governor Lincoln Chafee (D-RI)

2016 General Election- No Change

2020 Democratic Primary- Liz is the One

2020 Democratic Candidates
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) ✓
Fmr. Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE)
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA)
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN)
Fmr. Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-TX)
Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ)
Others (dropped out before Super Tuesday): Senator Michael Bennet (D-CO), Mayor Bill de Blasio (D-NY), Governor Steve Bullock (D-MT), Fmr. HUD Secretary Julián Castro (D-TX), Fmr. Rep. John Delaney (D-MD), Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI), Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY), Mayor Andrew Gillum (D-FL), Fmr. Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK), Fmr. Governor John Hickenlooper (D-CO), Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN), Senator Jeff Merkley (D-OR), Mayor Wayne Messam (D-FL), Rep. Seth Moulton (D-MA), Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH), Rep. Eric Swalwell (D-CA), Ms. Marianne Williamson (D-CA), Mr. Andrew Yang (D-NY)

2020 General Election- the Warren Era Begins

Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)\Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN)- 50.3% (305 Electoral Votes) ✓
President Donald Trump (R-NY)\Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN)- 45.8% (233 Electoral Votes)
CEO Howard Schultz (I-WA)\Fmr. City Councillor Mary Norwood (I-GA)- 2.2% (0 Electoral Votes)
Mr Adam Kokesh (L-AZ)\Mr. Jacob Hornberger (L-VA)- 0.8% (0 Electoral Votes)
Mr Howie Hawkins (G-NY)\Board of Education Member Dario Hunter (G-OH)- 0.7% (0 Electoral Votes)
Others- 0.2% (0 Electoral Votes)

2024 General Election- the Progressive Revolution

President Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)\Vice President Pete Buttigieg (D-IN)- 53.6% (389 Electoral Votes) ✓
Senator Tom Cotton (R-AR)\Fmr. UN Ambassador Nikki Haley (R-SC)- 45.0% (149 Electoral Votes)
Others- 1.4% (0 Electoral Votes)

2028 General Election- Enforcing the Legacy

Vice President Pete Buttigieg (D-IN)\Senator Sharice Davids (D-KS)- 51.4% (331 Electoral Votes) ✓
Fmr. Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL)\Fmr. Governor Bill Lee (R-TN)- 46.8% (207 Electoral Votes)
Others- 1.8% (0 Electoral Votes)

2032 General Election- Locking Up the Re-Alignment

President Pete Buttigieg (D-IN)\Vice President Sharice Davids (D-KS)- 54.5% (418 Electoral Votes) ✓
Fmr. Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL)\Fmr. Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX)- 44.4% (120 Electoral Votes)
Others- 1.1% (0 Electoral Votes)

2036 General Election- a New Party

Governor Erin Stewart (R-CT)\Senator Abby Huntsman (R-UT)- 49.7% (280 Electoral Votes) ✓
Vice President Sharice Davids (D-KS)\Senator Mark Kelly (D-AZ)- 49.3% (258 Electoral Votes)
Others- 1.0% (0 Electoral Votes)

Note: I know the EC numbers will change. Just pretend it's adjusted, it'll just be a change of a few EVs every year anyway

[morgankingsley]

Had a dream last night that Beto was funded by his drug trafficking empire, ran as a third party, and picked Ellen Page as his VP. He also owned a bar, which I think was the HQ for his drug trafficking empire.

Senator Bernie Sanders / Senator Jeff Merkley 279

President Donald Trump / Vice President Mike Pence 259

Former Congressman Robert F. O'Rourke / Actress Ellen Page 0

**SNIP**

Legal disclaimer: This post is based on someone else's dream and does not imply that Beto is a drug kingpin.

Beautiful. Thanks for writing that out! I made the following map before seeing yours, also a narrow win for Bernie. Funny that the states are the same. I added in a far-right ticket of Don Blankenship and Roy Moore to help boost Sanders over Trump. And of course, the mini-TL that I had grand thoughts (but no real intention of putting in the effort needed) included Blankenship going on about “Cocaine Beto.”

I might make a county map of Texas though. I had Beto narrowly beating Sanders in Texas, with Beto winning some counties. Also have him winning Imperial County, CA for kicks.

I know that this is just alternate history and stuff, but I do not really see a situation where if two democrats are splitting the ticket like this where Trump does not come up with a easy win. It just seems impossible to me. Here is my realistic ish map on this silly case, and on this one, I did give Beto a couple of states just for kicks

[😥]

2016 Democratic Primary

Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT) 39% PV
Frm. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY) 23% PV
Senator Mark Warner (D-VA) 17% PV
Frm. Governor Brian Scweitzer (D-MT) 15% PV
Frm. Senator Jim Webb (D-VA) 6% PV


2016 Presidential election

Bussinessman Donald Trump (R-NY)/Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) 48,6% PV, 322 EVs
Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT)/Frm. Rep. Dennis Kuchinich (D-OH) 46,4% PV, 216 EVs


2020 Democratic primary

Frm. Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE) 43% PV
Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT) 15% PV
Frm. Representative Beto O'Rourke (D-TX) 13% PV
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) 10% PV
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN) 10% PV
Others (Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY), Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ), Frm. Governor John Hickenlooper (D-CO), Frm. Sec. Julian Castro (D-TX)...) 9% PV

2020 Republican primary

Vice President Ted Cruz (R-TX) 43% PV
Governor Larry Hogan (R-MD) 37% PV
President Donald Trump (R-NY) 20% PV

2020 Presidential election

Frm. Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE)/Senator Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 54,1% PV, 440 EVs
Vice President Ted Cruz (R-TX)/Senator Rand Paul (R-KY) 44,8% PV, 98 EVs

2024 Presidential election

Vice President Sherrod Brown (D-OH)/Governor John Bel Edwards (D-LA) 53,9% PV, 487 EVs
Senator Mark Green (R-TN)/Frm. Governor Rick Scott (R-FL) 44,3% PV, 51 EVs

2028 Presidential election

Vice President John Bel Edwards (D-LA)/Senator Stephanie Murphy (D-FL) 51,9% PV, 326 EVs
Senator Nikki Haley (R-SC)/Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) 46,5% PV, 212 EVs

2032 Presidential election

President John Bel Edwards (D-LA)/Vice President Stephanie Murphy (D-FL) 50,6% PV, 319 EVs
Frm. Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL)/Senator Tom Kean Jr. (R-NJ) 47,8% PV, 219 EVs

2036 Presidential election

Senator Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA)/Governor Carlos Curbelo (R-FL) 53,1% PV, 319 EVs
Senator Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ)/Senator Josh Svaty (D-KS) 45,7% PV, 219 EVs

2040 Presidential election

Frm. Vice President Stephanie Murphy (D-FL)/Senator Mark Kelly (D-AZ) 49,3% PV, 270 EVs
President Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA)/Governor Carlos Curbelo (R-FL) 49,1% PV, 268 EVs

[HomestarSB9]

George Wallace (D-AL) - 219 Electoral Votes
Ross Perot (R-TX) - 219 Electoral Votes
John Anderson (I-IL) - 100 Electoral Votes

Why does my state vote for Wallace

That map is comparing each of these candidates performance when they made their third party runs(1968,1980,1992) not a hypothetical map if all of them ran in the same election

This is correct, except that I used Perot's data from 1996.

How I achieved this method is I added all of the votes each candidate got in their third-party runs, and calculated the percentage.

[Mr. Smith]

A)

B)

C)

D)

E)

[Politician]

2020 Republican Wave

Presidential Result:

Donald Trump/Mike Pence: 350 EVs, 50.6%
Joe Biden/Kamala Harris: 188 EVs, 47.4%

Senate Result: