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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 3.0  (Read 170151 times)
morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #250 on: July 31, 2019, 11:39:54 PM »


Trump beats beto
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Grassroots
Grassr00ts
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« Reply #251 on: July 31, 2019, 11:48:54 PM »


Trump vs Bel Edwards
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YE
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« Reply #252 on: July 31, 2019, 11:57:16 PM »


Wouldn’t explain AZ.
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erſatz-york
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« Reply #253 on: August 01, 2019, 12:42:36 AM »

Guess.
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Grassroots
Grassr00ts
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #254 on: August 01, 2019, 12:48:06 AM »


I see nothing.


I mean, it could?

Doug Ducey as running mate?
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #255 on: August 01, 2019, 12:56:22 AM »

Guess what
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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #256 on: August 01, 2019, 01:05:49 PM »

It's Williamson vs. Trump.
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #257 on: August 03, 2019, 12:57:07 AM »


No matter who wins... We lose...
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CookieDamage
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« Reply #258 on: August 03, 2019, 01:19:07 AM »
« Edited: August 03, 2019, 01:26:18 AM by Galletito »


1964 Presidential Election

Sen. Richard Garland (R-IL)/Gov. Clifford A. Blomkvist (R-MA) - 373 EVs ~ 47%

Sen. Margaret Eldridge (D-LA)/Gen. Thomas Willard McMann (D-CA) - 151 EVs ~ 40%

Sen. Sylvester Hill (P-MT)/Fmr. Gov. Elton Bromley (P-KS) - 14 EVs ~ 10%

I subtracted 5% from Garland in every state he won, 5% from Eldridge in every state she won and these are the results.

Garland picks up Kentucky, Tennessee, and Maryland and comes within a hair of taking Arkansas and Georgia. However he loses Missouri, South Carolina, and North Carolina to Eldridge, and further loses Montana, Idaho, and Colorado to Hill.

Eldridge of course would lose Kentucky, Tennessee, and Maryland, and all she'd gain would be MO, SC, and NC. She gets 151 in this scenario versus the 148 she got in real life.

Garland would only gain 373 EVs in this scenario versus the 390 he got in real life.

For reference, the actual 1964 results. 390 to 148. 49.1% to 41.3%.

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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #259 on: August 03, 2019, 02:32:25 AM »

At least the south is still relatively safe democrat here
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538Electoral
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« Reply #260 on: August 05, 2019, 11:53:50 PM »



A Mondale win in 1984.

Mondale 272
Reagan 266
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #261 on: August 22, 2019, 04:54:50 AM »

The true 2020 map

I mean, we all know that Kansas will never vote republican again, and Virginia is basically the stronger Kansas. But since outside these two states and DC, Trump has built a unbreakable lead, he still wins in a near Nixon landslide.


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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #262 on: August 25, 2019, 10:12:04 AM »



A Mondale win in 1984.

Mondale 272
Reagan 266

More like an RFK v Nixon 1972 election
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #263 on: August 27, 2019, 01:14:27 AM »




Tried my best to fit this together; might write a timeline on it
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #264 on: August 27, 2019, 01:30:11 AM »




Tried my best to fit this together; might write a timeline on it

What put Trump over the top in Minnesota
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #265 on: August 27, 2019, 01:44:39 AM »
« Edited: August 27, 2019, 01:52:40 AM by Devout Centrist »

Tried my best to fit this together; might write a timeline on it
What put Trump over the top in Minnesota
Biden gave Minnesota very little attention during the campaign. On election night, Hawkins got 5% of the vote and Kokesh managed to break 1.5%. Biden scarcely improved on Clinton's raw vote total, while Trump added about 80,000 votes. Twin Cities gave Hawkins about 7% of their total vote and the rural areas continue to swing away from the Democratic Party.

Final total:
Trump: 1,404,709
Biden: 1,402,225
Hawkins: 167,657
Kokesh: 45,725
Others: ~28,000
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #266 on: August 27, 2019, 02:54:49 AM »

Tried my best to fit this together; might write a timeline on it
What put Trump over the top in Minnesota
Biden gave Minnesota very little attention during the campaign. On election night, Hawkins got 5% of the vote and Kokesh managed to break 1.5%. Biden scarcely improved on Clinton's raw vote total, while Trump added about 80,000 votes. Twin Cities gave Hawkins about 7% of their total vote and the rural areas continue to swing away from the Democratic Party.

Final total:
Trump: 1,404,709
Biden: 1,402,225
Hawkins: 167,657
Kokesh: 45,725
Others: ~28,000

Thanks for the answer. I think this might be the most realistic Trump wins Minnesota case I've seen yet. And you can tell that Hawkins will never go the rest of his life without facing the scrutiny over this event
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #267 on: August 27, 2019, 07:35:22 PM »

The 2052 presidential election.

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538Electoral
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« Reply #268 on: August 27, 2019, 10:59:39 PM »




Tried my best to fit this together; might write a timeline on it

How did you edit the Wikipedia page like that?
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #269 on: August 27, 2019, 11:33:18 PM »

Tried my best to fit this together; might write a timeline on it

How did you edit the Wikipedia page like that?
It's a wiki infobox. There's a template for this online. I took the 2016 one and edited it to suit my needs. If you click 'view page source', you'll see the infobox for the Presidential election.

Editing the map is harder. It's an svg file. It requires a text editor to manually fix the electoral votes and state coloring. I took the 2016 map, edited which states voted red or blue, got rid of the faithless electors, and added those electors back to their respective state's total electoral votes.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #270 on: August 30, 2019, 09:50:34 AM »
« Edited: August 30, 2019, 12:52:14 PM by Cory Booker »



New Sen list of changed seats only 53/47 D

AL R pickup
AK Gross
AZ Kelly
CO Romanoff or Hickenlooper
GA 1D, 1R
IA Franken or Greenfield
KS Kris Kobach inc seat
ME Gideon
MA Joe Kennedy
NM Lujan
NC Cunningham
TN D.Black inc seat



DEL Carney inc
IN Holcomb inc
KY Beshear
MS Hood
MO Galloway
MT R pickup
NH Sununu inc
NC Cooper inc
ND Burgham inc
UT R hold
VT Scott inc
WVA Blankenship
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #271 on: September 01, 2019, 10:58:32 PM »



Trump wins 280-258

Stranger things have happened...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #272 on: September 02, 2019, 07:44:48 PM »



1980

Teddy Kenndy///Lloyd Bentsen 271
Reagan///H Bush 266
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #273 on: September 04, 2019, 09:33:21 PM »




State of Senate: Similar to 2008, Dems are set to gain 5 seats or more as CO, AZ and ME lean D and AL lean R

McConnell is only vulnerable if Rocky Adkins runs
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #274 on: September 09, 2019, 12:01:58 AM »

1968 presidential election

Hubert Horatio Humphrey and John Bowden Connally (Democratic) 348 electors, 45.67% votes
Richard Milhous Nixon and Spiro Theodore Agnew (Republican) 145 electors, 41.38% votes
George Corley Wallace and Curtis Emerson LeMay (American Independent) 45 electors, 12.95% votes
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