NC-PPP (D): Gov. Cooper (D) in good early shape
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  NC-PPP (D): Gov. Cooper (D) in good early shape
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Author Topic: NC-PPP (D): Gov. Cooper (D) in good early shape  (Read 929 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: January 22, 2019, 01:15:50 PM »

Roy Cooper starts out as a favorite for reelection. 44% of voters approve of the job he’s doing to 35% who disapprove. That puts him in a good position compared to his two immediate predecessors at the half way point of their time as Governor. In January 2015 Pat McCrory’s approval rating was under water at 41% approving and 45% disapproving of him, and in January 2011 Bev Perdue had a 33% approval rating with 46% of voters disapproving of her.

Cooper is also the only sitting official with a positive approval rating in the state right now. Besides Trump’s negative approval Richard Burr comes in at 33/36 and Thom Tillis who is up for reelection next year comes in at 31/37.

Cooper leads 5 potential Republican opponents for next year by anywhere from 4 to 14 points. The closest possible contest is a rematch with McCrory- Cooper would start out ahead 45-41. The only other Republican who keeps Cooper to a single digit edge is Tillis who would trail him 46-37 if he decided to try to get back into state politics.

Right now the most likely opponent for Cooper is Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest. He would start out trailing Cooper by 12 points at 47-35. And as a new legislative session gets under way there’s not much doubt who voters stand with in the power struggles between Cooper and the Republican leaders in the legislature- Cooper would lead Phil Berger 48-34 and Tim Moore 46-32 in hypothetical contests for Governor.

The hottest issue in North Carolina politics over the last month has been what should happen with the contested election in the 9th Congressional District. Only 28% of voters in the state think Mark Harris should be declared as the winner of the election, while 48% think there should be another election because of the allegations of fraud around the election results.

Public Policy Polling surveyed 750 registered voters from January 4th to 7th. The margin
of error is +/-3.6%. 79% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded
via the phone, while 21% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the
survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel.

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/PPP_Release_NC_10919.pdf
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UncleSam
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« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2019, 04:43:44 PM »

Were there any head to head polls? He is definitely a favorite for re-election but comparing his approvals to that of McCrory is misleading since there’s a lot of Rs who might say they like Cooper or dislike McCrory but in actuality are unlikely to actually vote for a Dem.

Lean D for now - Cooper will outrun the top of the ticket but I doubt it’ll be by more than 5. I think Trump wins Nc by < 5 as of now but if the presidential race tilts against the Dems then this is the kind of race that would fall with it.
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Horus
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« Reply #2 on: January 22, 2019, 07:25:28 PM »

Cooper is one of the best governors and if Trump wins next year he's a frontrunner for 2024 prez.
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