IA/CO/NC-PPP (D, June 30 - July 1, 2017): Ernst +7, Gardner -14, Tillis -4

[MT Treasurer]

This was probably already posted somewhere, but since we now have a 2020 polling board...

Iowa
48% Joni Ernst (R, inc.)
41% Generic Democrat

Trump approval: 46/49 (-3)

http://static.politico.com/5c/bf/a2c16bd145938dfebf5c65a73df4/ppp-save-my-care-poll-of-iowa.pdf

Colorado
53% Generic Democrat
39% Cory Gardner (R, inc.)

Trump approval: 40/56 (-16)

http://static.politico.com/60/b7/f84038254e46a02a95b7fcf8803c/ppp-save-my-care-poll-of-colorado.pdf

North Carolina
48% Generic Democrat
44% Thom Tillis (R)

Trump approval: 46/50 (-4)

http://static.politico.com/3e/86/e3bf575445e9bd0e3c777a5916a0/ppp-save-my-care-poll-of-north-carolina.pdf

[Free Bird]

Interesting early barometers but I expect all of these to change some. Ernst probably holds a 2-4 point lead all the whole way through if Fink or Axne run (but I think they're saving Fink for Grassley's seat assuming she wins reelection herself). Gardner is probably gonna lose (if he even runs. He's not dumb. He probably sees the writing on the wall too) but the margin will depend on who the candidate is obviously. Despite that, I expect him to at least narrow it, significantly if it's against Crow but only moderately if Hick jumps in. The NC Dems bench is pretty weak. Of course, Ross did well, but that was from a last-minute push by the DSCC iirc. The only real serious candidate is Cooper who seems to enjoy being Governor; all of the other potential big-name Dem recruits are all in their 70s and don't seem especially interesting.

[MAINEiac4434]

Maine???

[Free Bird]

Maine???

iirc a poll a while ago had Collins up like 8-9 against Mr. Generic and up maybe 20 against Rice. Not happening if she runs. Not sure if there's any data about Generic vs. Generic yet tho. Collins is probably (probably) running for one more term so that the ME-GOP can build up its bench to replace her now that Poliquin, who was probably their first pick, has blown all his political capital and Moody demonstrated his campaigning skills to be absolute garbage. My own guess is that they're gonna groom Matt Pouliot to run for ME-2 and have him as Collins' heir apparent. He has a pretty decent resume tbh.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

[windjammer]

Nothing surprising at all.

Ernst is going to win, Gardner is toast and Tillis is more vulnerable than what the analysts are saying

[Pericles]

This seems to bolster the "Ernst is Safe" takes especially since Trump's net approval in Iowa is negative here. Interesting that Tillis and Gardner are less popular than Trump, this may just be due to undecideds but it may also be that they are indeed weak incumbents.

[America Needs R'hllor]

The NC Dems bench is pretty weak. Of course, Ross did well, but that was from a last-minute push by the DSCC iirc. The only real serious candidate is Cooper who seems to enjoy being Governor; all of the other potential big-name Dem recruits are all in their 70s and don't seem especially interesting.

Jeff Jackson? Anthony Foxx? And that's just two examples.

[Zaybay]

.....This poll is from 2017.....why is it even posted here? We have a more recent poll of these exact races from the same company.

[Mr. Illini]

lol Cory

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Corey Gardner's approval is at 27% with his disapproval at 54%...he is done for.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

lol Cory

It is really weird how so many Republicans like him in swing/blue states/districts make no real attempt to moderate themselves. It is like they don't want to be re-elected.

[Lachi]

Lol, 2017?!

tbh, this thread should be deleted, it's literally useless.