Which map is more likely? 2020: Harris vs Trump

[😥]

Your choose VP for Harris
These maps are compiled at random, I did not compile them according to any criteria

Map 1

Map 2

Map 3

[Deleted User #4049]

Map 3, but if Trump wins Minnesota against Harris he's also winning New Hampshire and Maine.

EDIT: nvm, I didn't see Oregon. Not happening.

[pbrower2a]

Poor choices because the first is a landslide that I don't see happening yet, and the others suggest that any Democrat can lose the Great Lakes region. The approval ratings for Trump in Minnesota,  Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania have been consistently hideous.  I cannot see how he recovers. At this point I predict that just about any Democrat will do similarly well against this President. The difference may be more important in 2024, but that is a different story that Democrats will have to decide upon in 2020.

Trump will have to win states that have Democratic Governors who will do nothing to help him (well, that means that the Governor will at the least avoid appearing with him and will have no sympathetic words about his appearance) as might Scott Walker and Rick Snyder were they still Governor. He will need to win states that solidly rejected him (and this includes Iowa and Arizona) in House races. 

Any structural weakness that the GOP now has will work against Trump in 2020. He has less going for him as an incumbent since at the least the elder Bush in 1992. With the late elder Bush, his problem was that the world changed largely for the better and he had no idea of what to do next.

Trump will get most of his votes on issues of identity, but that will not be enough.

[Frenchrepublican]

It’s difficult to see any of theses maps happen in the reality. How can Trump wins Oregon but loses GA ?

[Former Crackhead Mike Lindell]

It’s difficult to see any of theses maps happen in the reality. How can Trump wins Oregon but loses GA ?

White people, I guess.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Definitely not map 1.
Map 3 is very unlikely not not impossible, but i think the second map is more possible in case of a Trump surge and a progressive third candidacy. so i'll vote for map 2.

[Lechasseur]

It’s difficult to see any of theses maps happen in the reality. How can Trump wins Oregon but loses GA ?

[Frenchrepublican]

It’s difficult to see any of theses maps happen in the reality. How can Trump wins Oregon but loses GA ?

White people, I guess.

Oregon is a fairly white state but many white voters here are socially liberal, so unless Trump supports abortion again I don’t see how he wins Oregon

[538Electoral]

Map 3 except Oregon.

[Wazza [INACTIVE]]

Definitely not map 1.
Map 3 is very unlikely not not impossible, but i think the second map is more possible in case of a Trump surge and a progressive third candidacy. so i'll vote for map 2.

[Deleted User #4049]

It’s difficult to see any of theses maps happen in the reality. How can Trump wins Oregon but loses GA ?

White people, I guess.

The GOP will not win Oregon for at least another 15-20 years unless the Dems become an explicitly anti-white party, which is very not likely.